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winterof79

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Everything posted by winterof79

  1. Cracking set of shorts for Lancs and Yorks with beefy showers building
  2. PV starting to be stretched Lovely UKMO keeping us on the cold side from Wednesday
  3. The PV is forecast to move position if i have read the quoted charts correctly. Most seasoned posters are quite aware of the pv and its current position. MET "There remains a small but increasing probability of much colder weather developing as we move further into March." Not possibility!!!
  4. I don't think that has any bearing on the affects of an SSW in the Trop.Wether it has been settled or not.
  5. Extremely vague forecast that for later next week. Doesn't resemble any output in my book
  6. GEFS sign posted a colder shot around 24th back on the 10th onward. I ,personally,prefer to look at trends every 12z rather than dissect the four runs per day it throws out. The NWP will be getting to grips of the warming very soon and i expect a cold blocked Match to evolve. I also feel this will hold until a rapid change to warmer weather ensues as the cold drained from the polar region runs out, but MLB will remain.Just my feelings of course.
  7. Yes and it's getting rather tedious with the GFS bashing from some.Did GFS forecast the Warming correctly i wonder.
  8. Never was going to at 168z Just folk misunderstanding output and linking it to an SSW happening now.The cold snap next week has been sign posted for a while and nothing to do with QTR.
  9. Some may find the attached table of interest linking SSW and cold shots with -AO
  10. GEFS beginning to suggest a pressure build to our W/NW Meteociel - Panel GEFS WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
  11. Sorry didn't understand your post haven't seen anyone stating GFS has to be correct just others telling us to ignore it.
  12. Here here sir. Posters looking to get their backs slapped for backing a favourite again.A half way house makes all models just as wrong as each other.Its become mass GFS hysteria this winter
  13. But a half way house would mean only a cursory glance for ALL the models then if we use your analogy? Easy to dis the GFS but would love it to be just nearly correct and see some posters reactions
  14. Heaven knows whats happened to the Mod thread. One liners Galore nowadays.Drama queens all over. Its like a manic depressive thread Even Nick Sussex dragged into looking at worst case scenario every post.
  15. Blue is referring to his previous post and its quite funny A few on here may get a surprise as the NWP gets to grips with what is/hasbeen an extended warming period in the strat.
  16. 2009 Had quite a few polar NW incursions with thunder snow,mostly on Sundays for some bizarre reason.
  17. Thank god someone's commenting on the reliable and not telling us that Feb is a write off.Charts showing more mobility but far from mild. I have no issues with this chart for example. I do have issues with posters misreading charts and derailing the thread, this year moreso than any others hence my lack of posting. Let the run end and try to make a level headed judgment and not try to score points for forecasting Cheers
  18. That's one mahooosive slider and is the usual shannon it dishes out when dealing with major change up above
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