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Everything posted by winterof79
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite correct.It is the magnitude of the reversal that the models will have to adapt to.This mornings output bar the GEM shows no significant QTR which I find rather bemusing but what do I know. NOBODY on here knows wether they are capable of compensating for this one off event. Sit back and enjoy the commentary of the rollercoaster. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What blocking? If you believe the current output there is no effect on the Vortex from the SSW I am not convinced of any out put at present. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks similar to GFS If you run days 5 6 and 7 on UKMO you can see the ridge come more into play -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'll send the Samaritans round Terrier especially after Bournemouth game Chart at the end of next week and if this is still there it'll be quieter tgan now as we'll all be on regionals -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sent with love from Pyeongchang -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Here you go it's a recurring theme the Eastern Asian lobe feeding under the block westward -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Its been hinted at in the operationals too as i posted yesterday -
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I meant the evolution really if you click it bud. I know its miles away -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=72&mode=0&map=1&type=0&archive=0 Have a play Chevron. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is worth the entry fee alone the lump of PV across the ARCTIC may feed and support our HLB as the weather starts flowing in reverse in the NH -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well the way I read it is it will be fairly HLB and it aint going to be over Canada so that leaves Greenland or Scandi or both ,heavens that would be rather nice.There is the chance that we may get a blend of Svaldanavianland....sends a shiver down the spine. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would hazard a guess that ECM would have finished like this peturb had it not dragged its heels(excuse the elongation) -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Okay Dokay....or a mass snow storm over the UK in another 24hrs -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Small block developing too....should see us through to mid summer. With the wind reversal we may just squeeze that lump of PV at the top of the chart under our new block -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Low going nowhere as the east marches on. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Magnificent Kyle. That's one hell of a sub Chiono just sent on to win the gameand yes I have included all the post. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion