winterof79
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Everything posted by winterof79
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Would be nice but as you say lets see how and if it gets toasty.
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No that's a quattro
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Could we not get one this year?
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Happy Birthday #stodge
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That is one big block and with the aid of WAA the energy has only one way to go as the Arctic high rears its head and it is not two weeks away GFS UKMO ahead of the game at144z and for reference it is the ICON below at 180z
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The trend continues this pm on GFS and a rapid cooling to our N/E
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I don't think anything was meant TEITS mate. Here is a link to British snowfalls.It you can be bothered check out how many "MID JAN" events there have been even in average winters.....enjoy folks http://www.neforum2.co.uk/ferryhillweather/bonacina.html
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I see where you are coming from but I would say mid Wales and the midlands to name a couple of regions have done well without any help from an SSW .
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Hence why the professionals still show the risk of snow/snow events and why we should all concentrate a little more on 5 days at most. Trends thereafter like a building arctic high and dissolving PV over Canada
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whoops
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Thought he was looking at undercuts to be honest
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Never rated it
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TOO SLOW
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Snow grains were the pre-cursor to a proper snowfall in the 70s
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Not dissimilar to the 168 UKMO this morning
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Thanks for confirming it is odds on not to. That is one less thing to worry about.
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Differences yes. Downgrades...no
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Surely the block is more robust on th12z thus delaying the undercut I wouldn't say a down grade.
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Classic cases of one posters interpretation of the output to another this pm Some would benefit by sitting back a little rather than commenting on every 6h increment let alone every 6h run
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Hardly crud is it? UKMO GEM GFS better block 12z and lower heights to the south 06z
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I do not see much in the METO update from 02.46 that allows us to bin GFS and its ensembles entirely. They expect the breakdown much later I suppose. Any how I think we have been side tracked by a post suggesting there was new info...TBC
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Could you possibly give me a link their pm update as I see no update on our further outlook thread other than 02.46. Thanks
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What is more important is,did we get a clean ejeculation of the Short wave at 96z from Iceland Nick Sussex? Think so
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168z UKMO ECM 168Z Energy going under perhaps?
