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winterof79

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Everything posted by winterof79

  1. I wonder do we have any stats on the ECM 46 day verification over winters gone by? Matt Hugo used to roll it out regularly but I am less than convinced.
  2. I do not see anything out of the ordinary in the reliable time frames and cold zonality thereafter http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=198&mode=2
  3. 2009 brought some belting N/Westerlies if I recall Look what happened afterward So I will take a re-run of 2009
  4. It can only be one thing that is causing this......a rare occurrence is manifesting itself in the wings
  5. Yes I did need to put a chart up from Dec 86 same vortex intensity though
  6. Obviously, but still not that similar in my eyes. PV not organised this year.I hope we end up the same though 1987 2017
  7. For the newbies who may get drawn into thinking we are on the cusp of never ending zonal weather I suggest you read back through the thread and note Tamara and GPs posts, to name only two. A read of the longer term METO weather outlook would appear to lean toward a blocking high setting up in our locale after Christmas. My own personal understanding is that it could well be to our N/E.It could also be out West as the threat of snow for Northern and Central parts remains in the forecast. Plenty to look forward to and a cracking start to winter from day 1.
  8. Wrap around effect going on with snow moving in from East
  9. It looked like it had stalled over Sheffield but its slowed down a lot.Keep going my San
  10. I have not even bothered with the model thread as I know what will be happening.
  11. Nick I totally agree. Even a blind Squirrel will eventually stumble upon an acorn.
  12. Here is where it ends up.I would say it tracked through heart of England
  13. Slightly further north 18Z http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=78&mode=0
  14. OH NO on the 18z at 6h the Greenland high bone has connected to the Scottish low bone which can only mean the sliding snow fest will track into the Bay of Biscay which will mean the jet fires up and the blo torch westerlys pick up and we all BBQ for xmas ..........Does it not? Medic
  15. I would suggest the uppers will be colder over UK depending on snow cover and cold pooling.It will probably be different anyway. One thing looking more likely is a filling low somewhere e/se of us
  16. A more organised band of snow showers heading south and not showing on Euro4 yet
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