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Everything posted by winterof79
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It is enough to drive you to drink.....CHEERS Ill have a GEM Mare with tonic
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Colder too
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GEM
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00Z 06Z Much better to our N/E
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Yes they did spring out of nothing here on the 7th Jan 1978 nothing to report A nudge from the Azores on the 12th and its get your sledge out time. Sometimes I think we know too much now.
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Plenty in the cold tank looking at that sir
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Difficult to say really at this stage but at 126z on the GFS which is pants compared to UKMO the wind is e/ne and coming from a scandi direction All hypothetic at this stage. Hoping for GFS to sustain the high further north over us.
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I was trying to explain the reasoning behind some "worries" people have about breakdowns in general. There is no breakdown as there is not yet a cold spell long live the cold spell I say
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If you look at this basic illustration by the ECM 00Z it shows a developing Easterly flow followed by an attempt by the Atlantic to displace the cold. I know this will probably change on the 12z and may not be the correct way forward. The latter frames to me look like the energy is moving s/e from the encroaching Atlantic and heights are desperately trying to reform to our n/e and n/w so this is why Exeter feel that they have to mention it. These situations can and have provided large snowfall totals in the past. Indeed the re establishing of the block has provided this country with many a classic winter as a battle ground over our cold land mass can occur.
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Light weight ,I have had many epic fails since that one.
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Yes it has been a while And it just kept coming Amazing beasts those blocking/deflecting highs
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Good call that Steve M HNY to you all. I love it when you guys start squabbling over who will miss out etc as it usually means someone/somewhere is going to get plastered.....again
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Edited for you Nick
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Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good resistance this run from an emerging block sending energy south east.Will change but good to talk about http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=228&mode=0- 1,418 replies
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Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Depends where you live but the trends are still very good http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&mode=1- 1,418 replies
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Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It cannot be accurate at that range- 1,418 replies
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Thank you.I return on Tuesday 9th so hopefully some snow next weekend to come back to. Hope you all get mullered with the stuff.
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http://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/england-wales.php?icao=EGNM Game on .......shame I am in Portugal Grrrrrrrr
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Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.myweather2.com/synop/player.aspx?synop=2 How far North will she go?- 1,418 replies
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
winterof79 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Probably a snow event next week but still depression reigns? -
Model output discussion - heading into 2018
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We had had -8 uppers down to the south coast preceding the "slider". That is not on the agenda at all so far for next week.Scottish mountains etc will always see some action.- 2,328 replies
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Model output discussion - winter proper underway
winterof79 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM = Cold rain next week GFS = Cold rain with back edge sleet at elevation No cold pool in place so any runner that MAY happen is running into milder uppers Further than that is up for interesting debate until the lack of data gets rolled out- 2,328 replies