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Timmead

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Everything posted by Timmead

  1. With overwhelming supporting evidence from numerous experts, it is time to act NOW.
  2. Could someone please clarify the mean CET for June? Hadley seems to suggest something like 13.4, but I'm sure I read 14.1 somewhere on this topic. Thanks
  3. Not based on extremes? "An August on par with July 2007": sounds pretty extreme to me!
  4. 30C is certainly looking possible tomorrow, especially so in London with the winds light and the sun shining.
  5. If only! Anyhow, plenty of >25C official recordings today.
  6. No offence intended, but I'm pretty sure that figure is artificially high. With constant sun, the temperature should not alter that dramatically until sunset. You need a Stevenson Screen, or similar, to get accurate figures.
  7. I don't think that their equipment is that crude to be honest. I thought the LWC was only dodgy on account of the UHI effect.
  8. Looks like someone's been upping the saturation ; but it's still good in any case.
  9. 25.2 Tuesday London So is it the person who accurately forecasts the earliest 25C who wins, or who gets the closest in temperature?
  10. Does it matter when the entries come in?
  11. Why do the " GFS operational" data often differ so greatly from the ensembles, especially with precipitation, and what data do they actually use? Is the GFS generally seen as the most accurate? Thanks.
  12. These may well be interesting, but from a statistical point they mean absolutely nothing! You'd be pretty hard-pressed to find any meaningul correlation between weather and the last number of a year.
  13. All we can accurately say at the moment is that temperatures will almost certainly be above "average"; predictions about rainfall are any one's guess really, though amounts will probably be close to typical values.
  14. Thunder and heavy hail passed over at around 13:00.
  15. Couldn't agree with you more; it seems people can read something then completely turn it on its head when they try to interpret it.
  16. How did you manage to infer that? It seems to me as though they have little clue; their "safe" forecast doesn't actually reveal much as far as I can tell.
  17. Light snow coverings sometimes give the best pictures:
  18. Yes but the latest charts suggest a return to a northerly setup after that, which could bring the CET right down; it all depends on how long it lasts.
  19. 8.4 - seems a reasonable guesstimate to me.
  20. Frequent heavy snow showers here in North London; not settling but its the first snow of the season!
  21. Came right over me. It was fantastic! The ground was completely covered with a white blanket of chickpea-sized hail. Then came the thunder and lightning. Never mind snow, that has got to be my event of the year (so far).
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