Could someone please clarify the mean CET for June? Hadley seems to suggest something like 13.4, but I'm sure I read 14.1 somewhere on this topic. Thanks
No offence intended, but I'm pretty sure that figure is artificially high. With constant sun, the temperature should not alter that dramatically until sunset. You need a Stevenson Screen, or similar, to get accurate figures.
Why do the " GFS operational" data often differ so greatly from the ensembles, especially with precipitation, and what data do they actually use? Is the GFS generally seen as the most accurate? Thanks.
These may well be interesting, but from a statistical point they mean absolutely nothing! You'd be pretty hard-pressed to find any meaningul correlation between weather and the last number of a year.
All we can accurately say at the moment is that temperatures will almost certainly be above "average"; predictions about rainfall are any one's guess really, though amounts will probably be close to typical values.
How did you manage to infer that? It seems to me as though they have little clue; their "safe" forecast doesn't actually reveal much as far as I can tell.
Came right over me. It was fantastic! The ground was completely covered with a white blanket of chickpea-sized hail. Then came the thunder and lightning. Never mind snow, that has got to be my event of the year (so far).