kumquat
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Posts posted by kumquat
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Thanks for the update Steve, and bang on cue its snowing in Bristol, great stuff.
And special thanks to SM for his great analysis in the model discussion thread.
Location Bristol
I would certainly second that! Been fantastic reading Steve's (amongst many other's) posts this winter.
And the snow is getting heavier here in Winterbourne (NE of Bristol)
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T minus 10 Mins to Bristol Wipeout-
S
Awesome!!! Nice heavy echoes going to score a bullseye!!!
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Put it this way, on a macro-scale the low is progged to move NE.
However, on a micro-scale the low is wrapping this ppn around itself anticlockwise towards the NNW.
At the scale of the radar I think Bristol is in for a good shout and the like of farmer and matt1234456678 are just trolling.
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Nice of Steve Murr to pop his head in and give the Bristol posse a lift! Thanks for the Netweather closeup and also thanks to Bristolblizzard. That is gonna keep me out of bed lol!
Just hope we can keep the ppn as snow and that it doesn't all wash away in the rain at 9:00am.
Thanks for all the links, maps and radar pics, much appreciated.
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Just got back from the pub (run
). Had a dusting here in Winterbourne. Dissapointed to see all the potential ppn very much to the East. Is that stuff swinging slightly West to hit us in a couple of hours? To my eye its slightly nudging west and we might catch the western (heaviest) edge. Please tell me this is correct?? My MO radar has gone blank. Meteo showing slight move west? Stuff still building out of France behind it, though. -
When do the BBC update their web forecast? They are still talking about 13:00 today at the beginning. That's ridiculous!
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Another informative post and looking good for Bristol. Many thanks pyro!!
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From Met Office:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...ings.html?day=2
Heavy Snow
Valid From: 0100 Thu 5
Valid To 1500 Thu 5
60% confident risk of disruption
There is a high risk of a severe weather event affecting parts of the Midlands, the West Country and southern and eastern Wales during Thursday. An area of snow will move in from the south during the early hours of Thursday and will continue through the morning and into the afternoon. There will be accumulations of 2 to 5 cm of snow in general, with 5 to 10 cm likely in places and 20 to 30 cm possible over higher ground. This will cause disruption to travel across the region.
Issued at: 1047 Wed 4 Feb
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Very nice post post from BBC's Ian Ferguson at "another" weather forum this morning. It looks pretty hopeful.
The snow zone very much like TEITS white box in the output thread, except more on a SW-NE tilt. (Not so much a horizontal rectangle as TEITS's lol)
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local weather forecast this morning shows Bristol well within the snow zone for tonight. 5-10cms they are saying into tomorrow.
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Yes - Two big lumps coming out of NW France. Just had heavy hail here - given a new bit of whiteness to the ground. I'd wouldn't be surprised if that stuff later was just rain though. We'll see in the morning.
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You must be right on the western edge. I suppose I'm a couple of miles east of you??
Nice proper snow now but looks too wet out there to stick. Still.. makes the radar watch worthwhile to get even a small payoff
As I typed that it stopped lol. Oh well off to bed!
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heavier now - ice pellets lol.
Fatter flakes in with sleet now - it might turn - just!
definite wet snow!
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Very fine cold rain / sleet mix out here in Winterbourne. Hope that might turn to snow if it gets heavier.
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Excellent - thanks guys.
Hmmm. Looking more marginal again for us on that weatherview forecast, but nothing certain yet.
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Yeah I'll be up too. I don't have netweather radar. Is it showing as snow?
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Large area of PPN just breaking away from Brest, but 'm not waiting up for that lol. A dusting by morning would be nice, but milder air increasingly pushing in with the stuff from the south now, I fear.
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Is that a Polar Low developing to the NE of Iceland on the latest satellite frames?
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Surely one if not two of those will hit Bristol if they keep their intensity. Just hope it doesn't fizzle. Good luck guys. Gonna watch a film and hope to come back to see a few flakes before bed. (I know I'll be checking the radar ever 15 mins though - lol, its pathetic
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Damn, I'm sure I could almost touch those clouds to the East :blush:
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that line of showers should swing west so I think we'll see something overnight but wouldn't expect much.
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well Angwin did mention snow showers from the south but he seemed to underplay it. Its almost like he's been gagged.
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LOL - He said NOTHING!!! (Cagey or what!)
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Richard Angwin usually has a good handle on these sorts of events, and a quick spoiler before the weather had him talking about a possible major event.
). Had a dusting here in Winterbourne. Dissapointed to see all the potential ppn very much to the East. Is that stuff swinging slightly West to hit us in a couple of hours? To my eye its slightly nudging west and we might catch the western (heaviest) edge. Please tell me this is correct?? My MO radar has gone blank. Meteo showing slight move west? Stuff still building out of France behind it, though.
Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Bristol blizzard - did you say you were in Iron Acton the other night?