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Everything posted by weatherobsuk
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Frosty hollows Assuming the models remain consistent i'll be setting up shop NE of Oxford between the Costwolds & Chilterns, it's a almost a 3hr straight-run down the M1 from where I live and there's always the options of using the M40, A34, A420 just incase the system moves further south than modelled. Its the first chase in my new car so i'm hoping to avoid any hail cores whilst getting the best of any lightning show within the dry inflow. Good luck to y'all also out chasing later on. -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I've been flipping between Reading, Portsdown Hill, Surrey Hills, and finally made a decision that i'll try and position closer to Bicester as google maps has come up trumps with a spot that has a expansive 180 view from the SE to SW. The problem chasing in the south is finding somewhere facing directly south that has parking and isn't surrounded by trees (ie. Surrey Hills). The slight northerly trend and cells forming within the MSC boundary outflow puts me in good confidence that there'll at least be something to see away from the heavier PPN core, even if it's not a direct hit. -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It sure is a tricky one to chase tonight as this morning's model runs have shifted things a bit south again, with the UKV now having a few home-grown storms breaking out over Reading at 2am to add to the complexity. The local METAR forecasts in the south aren't looking too promising with low-cloud bases (base level at 300ft with 1.8mi vis at Brize Norton for example) as the MSC complex becomes embedded within the warm-front. It's looking less likely i'll be chasing now based on the visibility forecast, but if things change then it's 'only' a 4hr drive -
WeatherArc Watching the Topeka live cam before it was evident the wall-cloud was spinning like crazy, just missed out on seeing the CC drop as the rain wrapped around that area of circulation north of downtown but luckily Reed was there just minutes afterwards for a confirmed visual.
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Topeka live cam looking at the area of interest Webcam livestream - Topeka WEBCAMS.WINDY.COM Webcam livestream - Topeka, provided by Windy.com
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Sycamore Gap tree in Northumberland Felled
weatherobsuk replied to Metwatch's topic in Space, Science & nature
An update on the two inbreds who caused this needless damage.. I hope and pray they're given at least a minimum 200 hours of community service, each, to plant tree's under all weather conditions. No ifs or buts. Two men charged over felling of Sycamore Gap tree WWW.BBC.CO.UK Two charged with causing criminal damage to the famous Sycamore Gap tree and Hadrian's Wall. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
UKV and NW-SR are continually pushing Wednesday night's convection further southwards with each run so it's difficult to pin-point the exact area i'd personally like to be intercepting the storms given the current uncertainty. If I had to make a guess (and a last-minute chase) i'd set-up somewhere around Thatcham and then use the M4 to quickly head west if needed, using the MWay to get as much time close to the core before it exits out over the Bristol Channel. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
weatherobsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm tempted to head out in the new car and chase this one as it feels like a millennia since there's been any significant storms here in the NW, a more northerly component in the models would mean setting up somewhere in Norfolk but somewhere along the southeast coast is looking likely (assuming there's no MWay closures to get there.) Otherwise it'll be webcam watching and hoping something closer to home pops off towards the South Midlands. -
Its looking nice outside this early morning although there's rain inbound for later this afternoon, somewhat turning blustery with 50mph likely over the high routes during the next 48hr before a brief respite into Wednesday. Already the weekend ahead has the potential to be another wash-out again so i'm not holding out any hope on seeing long-spells of sunshine anytime soon.
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Max is currently livestreaming for tonight but after yesterday's 14hr youtube streaming marathon and with work tomorrow I won't be watching for too long this evening. The risk is still moderate and already some confirmed touchdowns within the risk area.
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The poor residents of Sulphur, OK got hit pretty bad last night with not only two tornadoes tracking through town and another close-by, but also 8" of torrential rain over a 6hr period that caused further issues with flash-flooding. This morning's drone footage is quite sombre.
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Oklahoma towns of Marietta, Dickson, and Sulphur have been hit badly tonight with reports of complete damage in all 3 towns. There's currently an alert for another Tornado heading towards those responding to the last alert at Dickson.
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Moore/Norman twin Tornado threat
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Reed has somehow gotten the Dominator stuck in mud, at the worst possible time
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It's been quiet so-far today aside from a few brief spin-ups, however Freddy McKinney has a developing wall-cloud close to Red Rock, OK https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kOaJI0bDDQA
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bazookabob I normally listen to Ryan as a collective or find any local live TV Stations within the vicinity of the Tornadoes for realtime info, livestormchasing is handy for finding chasers on the ground but i'm also subscribed to many chasers over on YouTube and then quickly browse through their 'live preview' windows if/when things get interesting.
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It was non-stop yesterday from 7pm - 3am (UK time) with one Tornado report after another coming in, and some insane chaser footage of multi-vortex Tornadoes on the ground well within 1/2 mile distance. By some miracle there are no reported deaths and only a handful of injuries reported as a result of this outbreak.
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Des Moines next in the firing line as the CAPE transfers eastwards, already there's 3x Tornado warned storms tracking NE to the SW of the city.
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32 Tornado reports so-far, I tuned in to Ryans stream not expecting to be seeing anything until at least midnight UK time based on yesterday's model runs, the intensity of this outbreak is quite unexpected but fortunately many in those parts of the States were already prepping for tomorrow's event.
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