keithlucky
-
Posts
4,801 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by keithlucky
-
Lovely jubbly Tuesday
-
Plenty of snow around event stratospheric warming exceptional event not standard weather.
-
Best chart of the week! Ecm got the front stalled over S Wales for 2 days.Bur still 6 days away,great eyecandy though.
-
Not dry Monday according to netweather. Front pushes down from the North ,Front tries to push in from the Swest plenty of snow showers around in between.
-
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
keithlucky replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Really don't understand the negativity in here tonight.We are ignoring the power of a stratospheric warming event (look what's happened in the Usa)expect the second warming to reinforce the block. -
Possible snow eveny pushing in from the swest in 7days time. Cold block holding firm.
-
Everything rosie in the garden again again again ,plenty of snow around early next week.
-
Been building Strat warming is in control part of the Polar votex ,which normally over Arctic is now heading to UK.
-
Most snow potential I have seen for a long time loads of trough activity heavy snow burying uk WOW
-
No problem Monday night looks interesting as a front tries to push in from the Swest general snow possible ,also Tuesday Wednesday convective snow forms anywhere anytime excellent prospects for a bloody good covering!
-
SNOW storm named ANDY on it way unstable airflow on it's way.
-
Frigid air heading towards UK Polar Bomb heading to UK according ECM records will tumble -24uppers across Europe .I'm sounding like daily express,!!
-
Andy calm down we haven't had a flake yet!Andy quite now he's passed out
-
Yes they believe every run I spouting on about strat Warming since beginning of February like a stuck record. They been crying one day cheering the next lol. I have seen that the strat warming is predicted but they can't get the timing right yet.We have seen the polar votex spilt 2 in the USA met been accurate 10 days in advance!! Predicting severe cold 2 correctly.
-
Strat warming to last until APRIL MET joining in.
-
Because strat warming which model outputs doesn't understand the second warming is drivering cold upper air downwards .The down dwelling taken over causing wind reversal to a N easterly occurs.Showers developing over warm waters driving showers across UK.Then fronts run into Wales from the S Wales.
-
Not nice but we cannot control the weather.Snow showers moving into The east Sunday spreading westwards Snow trying to push into Swales early next week. Let battle commence!
-
So again models topsy turvy ,models cannot copewith with winds switching to a easterly after all these years still cannot cope with zonal reversal.
-
Saudi Arabia snowing first time for 100 years!
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Met Office cannot ignore stratospheric warming we seen what this has caused winter storms in the USA,The USA Met picked winter storm 10 days in advance. Same here.. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The reason to back the GfS it's it falls in line with Met Office forecast -
Interesting the Met mention very cold snaps in there forecast. BLOMIING COLD frigid air -10 uppers pouring south across UK
-
Slight adjustment westwards blizzards conditions gale force northerly winds
-
Gradually Met Office increasing there wintry outlook.
-
Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Spring has hibernated
