keithlucky
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Everything posted by keithlucky
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If this stratospheric warming correct , This has been forecasted for weeks ,look at the USA the polar votex has spilt one section going there and other Europe,a second down dwelling occurring Monday this drive colder air down to the surface, inturn causing winds to swing to a easterly ,we can see colder air travelling westwards across Europe next week. Chance of snow for some Saturday night.
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A sustained Northerly looks likely for weeks thanks to the building Greenland HP very rare to have a sustained Northerly. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We can now see Hp building over Greenland due to stratospheric warming. 2nd and 3rd week of March looks particularly cold .As a secoundstratospheric warming effect draws colder air down from the NEast. -
I really think they don't understand the negativity in the model thread.Most people don't understand the massive influence of stratospheric warming. Complete zonal reversal won't be in place around 3rd,Quickly dragging bitter temperatures westwards from the east .Model outputs won't settle down until around the 28th.As the press had said previously. and will say "Weather Bomb"is coming.
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed records are there to be broken March record low temperature will fall.Major stratospheric warming underway! -
As predicted slow but a steady stratospheric warming effect underway.Colder air forecasted by the Thursday next week,as a easterly wind get established across UK.Even though the the Sun is stronger as we head into March we should tap into extremely cold weather over siberia -35c a.t.m. Possible record nightime tempretures come the fist week of March.
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Stratopheriic warming event has happened today, Approximately 2 week before stratospheric warming has full effect on UK. Expect model output to have a nervous breakdown!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
keithlucky replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Strong Stratospheric Warming now underway over Arctic.It will take a few weeks to ser up zonal reversal. -
Major stratospheric warming underway smashing the polar votex driving colder air southwards ,leading to zonal reversal. A weak jet stream allows cold air to escape and push south over Europe and USA.A very strong warming area is forecasted to appear over Siberia .We will see USA cooling first.Then Siberia cold pool moving westwards ,Last week of February 1st week of March is fascinating watch to see if the very cold air can reach UK. Cold is now starting to show up the end of the month