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keithlucky

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Everything posted by keithlucky

  1. If this stratospheric warming correct , This has been forecasted for weeks ,look at the USA the polar votex has spilt one section going there and other Europe,a second down dwelling occurring Monday this drive colder air down to the surface, inturn causing winds to swing to a easterly ,we can see colder air travelling westwards across Europe next week. Chance of snow for some Saturday night.
  2. A sustained Northerly looks likely for weeks thanks to the building Greenland HP very rare to have a sustained Northerly.
  3. We can now see Hp building over Greenland due to stratospheric warming. 2nd and 3rd week of March looks particularly cold .As a secoundstratospheric warming effect draws colder air down from the NEast.
  4. This what now showing up due to stratospheric warming expect more easterly flow start showing more and more next week.Secound thrid week very cold farmers beware with lambing season in full flow.
  5. I really think they don't understand the negativity in the model thread.Most people don't understand the massive influence of stratospheric warming. Complete zonal reversal won't be in place around 3rd,Quickly dragging bitter temperatures westwards from the east .Model outputs won't settle down until around the 28th.As the press had said previously. and will say "Weather Bomb"is coming.
  6. Just as big downdwelling,Interesting to see how warm the Arctic gets.PV in half sending Arctic air over Europe when we had the 2010 blizzard missed Swansea lol and went Carmarthen and Cardiff lol.
  7. Agreed records are there to be broken March record low temperature will fall.Major stratospheric warming underway!
  8. Snow risk maps are a bit of joke at this range but it does show what daytime temperatures to expect come Thursday.Friday
  9. As predicted slow but a steady stratospheric warming effect underway.Colder air forecasted by the Thursday next week,as a easterly wind get established across UK.Even though the the Sun is stronger as we head into March we should tap into extremely cold weather over siberia -35c a.t.m. Possible record nightime tempretures come the fist week of March.
  10. The first wave of the strat warmings has occurred causing a brief cold snap ,in seven days time .The second wave a more powerful down dwelling has occurred today.This will effect the UK in 14 days time, this will lead to win zonal reversal So again a bitter cold around on St David's day .
  11. Stratopheriic warming event has happened today, Approximately 2 week before stratospheric warming has full effect on UK. Expect model output to have a nervous breakdown!!
  12. Lovely spring like weather.this12 c on it's way.By next weekend the strat warming will be picked by all models ,Will it transfer far enough west we shall see,
  13. Strong Stratospheric Warming now underway over Arctic.It will take a few weeks to ser up zonal reversal.
  14. Strong stratospheric warming now underway over Arctic it will take about 2weeks before it start to cause zonal wind reversal, Easterly then setting up.
  15. Major stratospheric warming underway smashing the polar votex driving colder air southwards ,leading to zonal reversal. A weak jet stream allows cold air to escape and push south over Europe and USA.A very strong warming area is forecasted to appear over Siberia .We will see USA cooling first.Then Siberia cold pool moving westwards ,Last week of February 1st week of March is fascinating watch to see if the very cold air can reach UK. Cold is now starting to show up the end of the month
  16. Zonal wind reversal is underway looks like very cold from Siberia 3rd week of February
  17. Yes can be awful for farmers cold can kill,not so much heat.By the way good few early lambs in the gower already.
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