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Bristawl Si

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Everything posted by Bristawl Si

  1. Bristawl Si
    Dont think there's much chance of any of our extended region getting anyhing more than a few hours of light snow this evening/tom morning. And my original post was NOT only referring to my locality either.
  2. Bristawl Si
    No chance. A few hours of light snow later tonight and that'll be it before it turns to rain, until end of week....possibly. Maybe, just maybe, a few flurries midweek if an easterly sets in. Edit: love to be proved wrong though.
  3. Bristawl Si
    And how many times have we heard that on here so far this winter?! At the mo it's shaping up to be a winter of two distinct parts i.e. North and east v south and west (incl. N West)
  4. Bristawl Si
    This scenario has really been on the cards for the last 24 hours to be fair - no surprise.
  5. Bristawl Si
    At the moment this winter has not delivered to my area, other than copious amounts of rain! At the moment this winter is not much different than a bulk-standard winter with loads of rain - one that you'd want to quickly forget to be quite frank! Although it hasnt been that mild except for last week. I havent seen a single snowflake yet, let along lying snow! Despite the strat warming no delivery here. Here's hoping to changes soon.
  6. Bristawl Si
    Look at my profile and note my age. I experienced the snowy winters and fab blizzards of winters 78/79, 81/82, jan 87 and others, 91 and feb95. Hence my high expectations on such events for the now in our neck of the woods. A week like 1st week of Feb 09 would do me!
  7. Bristawl Si
    the one major missing ingredient compared to past years 'classic battleground' situs, for our neck of the woods, is days of near freezing temps - real entrenched v cold air. If this was present it means it's harder to shift and u get a true battleground event with stalling LP systems. These ingredients are not present at the mo - hence one reason why the fronts are progged to move through our region. I would love to be proved wrong.
  8. Bristawl Si
    because the weather is looking just like a wintry mix for our neck of the woods. Hoping end jan/early feb will ACTUALLY deliver proper snow for us. I said before crimbo that the west would miss out on the more wintry stuff. i called a north/east v West/south split with north and east getting the proper cold and snow this winter. i'll stick by that.
  9. Bristawl Si
    No snow here and no sign of it.
  10. Bristawl Si
    All true. My simple take on the situ is we haven't got a classic battleground event, as we havent had the v cold temps in place before the atlantic launches its attack.
  11. Bristawl Si
    The trend is not your friend this eve for monday. Last night there were stories of "the snow crippling everything in the SE". When will people on here ever learn? These models are fickle so-and-sos.....bit like the actual weather in the UK!
  12. Bristawl Si
    Dont u just hate those warm sectors! Even the SE are doomed! Last night's runs for monday looked so promising.
  13. Bristawl Si
    Trend may become the West's friend!
  14. Bristawl Si
    Morning all! Still up in the air for Monday then. I'm not even bothered, for now, with later in the week - let's see what happens for Sunday night, Monday.
  15. Bristawl Si
    I'll happily take a westward shift. After reading the mod disc thread just now it felt like it is game over for us but maybe further twists & turns to come then.
  16. Bristawl Si
    Latest NAE run? 9 o'clock this eve is it?
  17. Bristawl Si
    thats yesterdays!
  18. Bristawl Si
    Ah...u feeling left out?! LOL! Not me - i know little!
  19. Bristawl Si
    Forget those Rapido. Just stay tuned to Netweather. Best place for weather insight, as long as you sort the wheat from the chaff. AWD, Iceberg, Ian F himself - v knowledgeable trio in this regional thread!
  20. Bristawl Si
    With the situ as it is 2/3 days is a long time at the mo, in weather (and model) terms. Believe me it really is.
  21. Bristawl Si
    Trends fellow south westerners, trends indeedy! Patience required - come west dear models, because we are best! All to play for!
  22. Bristawl Si
    i think your last post AWD shows how dynamic this situ is. Just another 50-75 miles west and our whole region will be in with a chance. Swindon/Devizes looks right in the firing line.
  23. Bristawl Si
    Good point AWD. However, i'm not convinced the NAE is always better than GFS at the shortest timeframes when it comes to the 'actual'. BUT as i said in an earlier post the situ seems quite dynamic, although latest Beeb forecast i just watched seemed to indicate growing trend away from cold/snow in our neck of the woods, even for early next week. Let's hope it changes back!
  24. Bristawl Si
    All to play for. Read my post from a couple of hours ago. Details will chop and change - and in these situs the chopping and changing will likely be right up to the last minute! Forget the models predictions for next 7 days - everyday's a nowcast IMO. These 'battleground' scenarios don't always favour one area each day. If most of this thread's areas stay in less cold air next week we'll be right unlucky. The only downside i can see at the mo is that we haven't had a few days of a strong block to our East or NE to get entrenched cold (and not likely to - it's a bit 'flabby' so to speak). Can't get that 1st week of Feb 2009 out of my head at the mo.
  25. Bristawl Si
    The clue is in the day "Monday" - and today is Friday. Things will change by then - i can almost guarantee it. In these fluid situs one morning's tweet with a forecast can become out of date pretty quickly. In case anyone misinterprets this post by me i'm not having a dig at Ian or the poster, but this is a v dynamic weather situ that we have over the coming days. And to pinpoint areas that will defo get snow or rain or whatever is obviously prone to changes this far out.
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