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Bristawl Si

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Everything posted by Bristawl Si

  1. Bristawl Si
    Crap computer models! No private sector co that does modelling for its business would touch'em with a bargepole!
  2. Bristawl Si
    Agreed. But the "proper cold" was only really showing up on a couple of days' runs. I would agree though that even some of the more experienced posters on NW have been getting a bit over excited with some model runs, in last couple of weeks (and maybe they should know better). Anyway just try and chill this w/e - get out with your mates, have a few beers, a laugh, a dance and grab a kebab or Miss Millies at 3 in the morning! I'm off down Glos Rd (bristol) tonite for a bite to eat, a few bevvies and some live music in one of the bars. Ciao
  3. Bristawl Si
    Read Ian F's post below your post - that gives a Pro's view and is NOT without some encouragement!
  4. Bristawl Si
    "Turning into a non event" - i think you're talking about next week - it hasn't actually happened yet. And looking at the charts for next Thursday/Friday/Saturday .......at the moment there seems to a potential snow event that will probably change over the next few days of model runs. IF it did happen it would have varying outcomes for South Westerners, depending on how far any less cold air gets. Let's just wait and see and enjoy this weekend for some chill out time. Ciao...for now.
  5. Bristawl Si
    Seeing the charts this run produces for next Thursday/Friday/Saturday (one week away) - one word "Potential" (if you like Snow). Let's leave it at that...for now.
  6. Bristawl Si
    Just popped in here for some sanity. A few deliberate trolls in Mod disc thread tonite winding me up. Good to read your posts LS - v insightful!
  7. Bristawl Si
    Erm....xmas day is 25th.......as per every year. There really are some bozos on here this eve. Ciao!
  8. Bristawl Si
    Erm...yes. Backtracked from what exactly? U know as well as I that the Meto remains the UK public face of weather forecasting in the UK so have to be almost 100% sure of a weather event or forecast before publishing, otherwise they are jumped upon by people who have little or no knowledge of meterology.
  9. Bristawl Si
    Yes and is a model that the Meto do not take much notice of past 7 days i believe. That fact alone says a lot about its credibility in my view.
  10. Bristawl Si
    Exactly - i think my original post said a threat "from midweek onwards"
  11. Bristawl Si
    Ian Fergie just finished on our local Beeb - hint of a South West attack from midweek onwards next week! Up against entrenched cold by then, of course! Not exactly how he put it but u get the gist!
  12. Bristawl Si
    Dont fall into the trap of watching all 4 GFS runs each day and taking each one as 'gospel'. The trend is still favourable - we'll see snow action by this time next week.
  13. Bristawl Si
    i read GP's post earlier today and that's good enough for me. A number of people on here, incl some regs, are just posting comments to spark a reaction and they're prob at home getting v excited because following posts react to their posts.
  14. Bristawl Si
    Looks fine from where i'm 'sitting'!
  15. Bristawl Si
    By this time next week, i reckon we would've seen some snow for our part of the UK
  16. Bristawl Si
    See GP's post on P21 - much more promising for our neck of the woods if any 'battleground' scenario occurs.
  17. Bristawl Si
    Correct!
  18. Bristawl Si
    You're on in 5 mins on our local Beeb forecast - will u be dropping a hint in that forecast?
  19. Bristawl Si
    Thing is AWD it was wrong for last night -GFS picked up on shift to East
  20. Bristawl Si
    Thanks Ian - a solemn reminder for all on here of what this type of severe weather can mean for many. Certainly my elderly parents are not looking forward to it if it materialises - the heating has been on almost continuously for last 6 wks, as it is, in their house.
  21. Bristawl Si
    The trick there though is to not take every single run (4X each day from the GFS) as 'gospel' - just concentrate on the trends over a few days model watching.
  22. Bristawl Si
    That last sentence though AWD could set us up for an attempt from the Atlantic to get back in - if we're on the 'boundary' of any attempt could mean snowfall...lots of ifs at this point but a plausible development further down the line.
  23. Bristawl Si
    Ooohhhh! Retro chart - i'll dig out my Specials records!
  24. Bristawl Si
    He'll be on duty for our local Beeb forecast about now! Guess he'll join us in 30 mins or so or when he gets home from the studio later.
  25. Bristawl Si
    That's torn it! LOL
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