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Bristawl Si

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Everything posted by Bristawl Si

  1. Only just catching up this eve, as the wee-man is here for the night. Still a small chance of snow tom morn then or v slight? Further down the line looks like things are firming up for an easterly later next week
  2. That is midnight though. I reckon (and i thought this a couple of weeks ago) there will be a North/South split this Winter with regards colder and snowier. The East will do better. Our chance will be when there are LPs approaching from West/South west, coming up against colder air. Can produce superb snowfalls for us but can also keep bringing milder scenarios with rain.
  3. Not a great lover of a cold, dry spell either but IF it happens before a more snowier spell sets in then i'll take it. Some of the best winters i've experienced have had a long feed of cold easterlies for days before pressure falls to the south/south west, heralding incoming fronts or channel lows - and then Boom!
  4. Don't believe the hype until it becomes reality - then u won't be disappointed. Yes i'm being pessimistic - i just wonder whether our little corner will be 'left out' this winter for any proper snow action -hope my hunch is incorrect come end of Winter.
  5. Just because there's a cold pool developing in Europe during Winter doesn't guarantee that the UK will tap into it - a cold pool in much of mainland Europe is pretty much the default position in Winter after all. I sincerely hope that we do eventually but is anyone else out there getting the feeling we could be chasing widespread deep cold (and maybe countrywide snow events) for all the period leading up to Xmas?
  6. Could be one of those "developing situations" over next few days?
  7. See Ian's post in the Mod Disc thread - interesting!
  8. So leave the fantasy of model predictions 1 week+ out and home in on Thursday's potential - take the hint.
  9. This seems to tie in with Beeb forecast i saw earlier today - i think that channel low scenario had already been ditched by Meto?
  10. "We were so close!!??"........."But still Jan and Feb to look forward to!!??" Have u banged your head or something and woken up to think it's December 31st or something?
  11. Well CC you are certainly being consistent in your thoughts, so fair play to that.Interesting to see others still keeping the faith. Give it another 2-3 weeks and we'll find out which train of thought was correct. Meanwhile looking at the model runs, with my limited model prediction knowledge, i sure haven't got a scooby! Fascinating if one isn't that bothered about what type of weather happens. One thing i would say is i wish people would stop using words in their posts such as "concerned" and "worried" - it's only the weather for pete's sake!
  12. Just checked on wunderground and there is no tropical storm development forecast for the North Atlantic for next 48 hrs - so maybe it's a 'rogue' in the computer!
  13. This is probably a silly Q but is that 'feature' actually in the Atlantic right now, somewhere further south? Anyone know?
  14. I think it'll be an average winter across all components that make up our weather in the UK. A bit of everything i suppose. Cold at times but no really prolonged cold spells. I think there'll be a north/south split, with coldest, snowiest in the north. The South experiencing fleeting glimpses of snow - maybe 2/3 days at a time. I just wonder whether it will be one of those 'so nearly winters' in terms of v cold and snow. Only a hunch from me.
  15. No one knows better than nature itself - and it will continue to baffle/tease mankind (and computers) for ever. Amen
  16. CH i've been around long enough to know what's normal in the UK weather wise. What we're seeing, at the mo, for next week is normal - cold in north with chance of wintry precipitation, less cold and maybe wet in south. For me a very typical UK December - dare i say it but a bit 70s/80s like.
  17. In truth there have been numerous chart scenarios for this weekend over the last week - the one u posted could be the one correct one.
  18. Very good post - all 'types' got sucked in this time around incl. the 'Big Guns' on here
  19. The chart CH showed is for next Saturday 8th December
  20. Thing is we saw similar charts a week ago, progged for this weekend. So i'm not getting sucked in by charts a week or more out for the rest of the winter. Not having a dig, but that's the way i'm playing it, if only to preserve my sanity!
  21. This December coming has a 'typical' look about it to me, even though it aint here yet! LOL! Cold and a bit snowy north, less cold dry south. A 'retro' December from the past - our turn will come late Dec/ early Jan.
  22. Didn't want to post in Mod Disc thread as would get told off and prob off topic anyway. But what's happening to the HP to the north/north west that was basically going to be present for 1st 2 weeks of December? Looks on the models that the only one influencing our weather next week will be an Azores one!
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