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Bristawl Si

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Everything posted by Bristawl Si

  1. Bristawl Si
    The chart CH showed is for next Saturday 8th December
  2. Bristawl Si
    Thing is we saw similar charts a week ago, progged for this weekend. So i'm not getting sucked in by charts a week or more out for the rest of the winter. Not having a dig, but that's the way i'm playing it, if only to preserve my sanity!
  3. Bristawl Si
    This December coming has a 'typical' look about it to me, even though it aint here yet! LOL! Cold and a bit snowy north, less cold dry south. A 'retro' December from the past - our turn will come late Dec/ early Jan.
  4. Bristawl Si
    Didn't want to post in Mod Disc thread as would get told off and prob off topic anyway. But what's happening to the HP to the north/north west that was basically going to be present for 1st 2 weeks of December? Looks on the models that the only one influencing our weather next week will be an Azores one!
  5. Bristawl Si
    No it's my fault - i bought some snow boots at clarks village, Street on Saturday!
  6. Bristawl Si
    Top stuff GP - a great blend of technical and easy to understand stuff. Interesting to note u use the CFS as one of the tools, whereas Meto do not.
  7. Bristawl Si
    Can't believe we have another 3 months of this kind of drama! Will it, won't it ? Far too much going on for me to make head or tail of it - leave it to the experts on here - the rest of us maniacs willl just sit back and try to enjoy the ride.
  8. Bristawl Si
    True AWD - but why have the models suddenly flipped? It's not as though it was 'anyone' jumping on the cold train these last couple of weeks. GP and others (the respected ones on NW) were quite bullish about a decent cold spell (not a snap) for next couple of weeks - they've been confident for a couple of weeks now - it just goes to show it's still as difficult as ever to forecast more than a week ahead.
  9. Bristawl Si
    Serious Q Phil. Why the big turnaround? GP was bullish for last 3 weeks, then some of the other 'big guns' on here came on board like chiono, yourself, John holmes - any thoughts? Or is it just simply that 'we' are no nearer being able to predict a week+ out than we were in the past? Does it just show how difficult it is, even for the best, to predict the weather?
  10. Bristawl Si
    Yes u could be right after all Fred! This has to be one of the biggest model turnarounds since NW started!
  11. Bristawl Si
    If this run actually verifies then the weather would've made fools of many! Confidence was so high a couple of days ago - back to the drawing board.
  12. Bristawl Si
    Ian's forecast just now on Points West will cheer up the folks who are currently suffering thru the dreadful floods - basically dry for a few days incl. the weekend. Looks like we'll be entering a rather boring period of weather in the West - for some it will be a welcome relief. Snow will have to wait it seems.
  13. Bristawl Si
    Ian Fergie on our local BBC now - becoming dry and cold incl the weekend. Looks like the UK in a no-mans land with Atlantic at bay, and not a lot going on to the East neither.
  14. Bristawl Si
    I'm surprised at the level of surprise on here this eve. Ian Fergie, with input from Meto, explained the Pros views earlier this eve - a large degree of uncertainty over the coming week. Obviously an East meets West scenario - a number of outcomes if we look 5 days+ ahead one would think. Possibly colder towards the weekend, then less cold MAYBE.....then colder again. But who really knows?
  15. Bristawl Si
    Almost looks like a stand-off! With UK in the middle mediating.
  16. Bristawl Si
    At this rate Alton Towers will be out of business!
  17. Bristawl Si
    Time to bring out the NW 'Big Guns' to restore some calm and rationality, before this thread descends into model output anarchy! Is GP about this eve? IF some of the models have picked up on a pattern change before the previously forecasted one has even begun then it just goes to show this forecasting business is just as difficult now as it was in the days before super computers. And would represent one of the biggest model changes on here since i first started viewing. BUT as the weekend and following week still hasnt even arrived, in real time, only time will tell.
  18. Bristawl Si
    The computer blew a fuse....seems to be having a similar effect in the Mod Disc thread this eve!
  19. Bristawl Si
    Hope you're wrong AWD. My hunch says we're in for a lot of snow fun & games in 1st few days of December. Bought snow boots at clarks village today - prob jinxed it for us for the winter! LOL
  20. Bristawl Si
    Forget the numerous weather soothsayers on here - just read GP's thoughts plus Chiono's, a dose of TWS, Steve Murr, Big John Holmes and a couple of others
  21. Bristawl Si
    Pathetic really. One Run - Cmon CC u know better than that!
  22. Bristawl Si
    Extract from GP's latest post in Mod Disc Thread 2nd week of December - "Moving ahead, GEFS mean also picking up on a slight westward shift in the blocking high allowing an attempted Atlantic attack from the south west." Could we see one of the infamous LPs approaching the south west, getting halted and dumping copious amounts of snow? Long way off but we can dream!
  23. Bristawl Si
    I think it was always progged as a "slow starter" and next week being "a changeover". Not sure "bitter cold" has even been forecasted anyway........unless i've missed something last few days.
  24. Bristawl Si
    It's 22nd November - the tastier charts are still 9/10 days away. That takes us up to 2nd December. Winter aint really started, so why the distress-type post? Grab a beer and chill out!
  25. Bristawl Si
    No - lesson of the day (and everyday) is not follow every run and take them as 'given'. The general trend is the key.
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