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Hot*Snow

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Posts posted by Hot*Snow

  1. I'd say this recent cold snap has been very notable for the Midlands and South in gerneral, the Pennine regions and the Scottish Highlands. -18 in Aviemore is notable, 10 days and counting of laying snow in the Pennines is notable, heavy snow in and around London is notable and a whole day + worth of blizzards in the south west is notable. But in northern lowland and coastal regions, such as Lancashire and East Yorkshire it has been a real let down. Here in sort of central Lancashire we have had two very light periods of snow, both on a sunday night, both marginal and both melting quickly. Its hung around on the fells a bit better but it always does. Also its been generally too cloudy and/or too windy to have any severe frosts and ice days etc. All in all for my neck of the woods its been a mare having to watch all you gits snowed in on the news, for us the cold spell in Dec/Jan was better. :D

    Those two drab days of snowfall you were referring too must have been the same ones got, both on Sundays, minimal accumulations and melting quickly. Yeah must have been. :doh:

  2. Here in my location I would say winter has been pretty average overall. The recent cold snap has'nt been too exciting either although my forecasts were pretty much spot on for my local area which I was proud of:

    01/02/09: Light/moderate snow showers on Sunday evening/overnight brought a covering of 1cm which had largely cleared by midday Monday.

    08/02/09: Light/moderate snow showers on Sunday evening.overnight brought a partial dusting which had gone by Monday morning.

    Neither of these I would class as significant snow events, because they are'nt. It has been almost a decade since significant snowfall (ie/2 inches+) affected my area, and alot of paces nearby.

    Nevertheless seeing the rest of the country in snow was great along with the model watching, nowcasting and dicussions have been interesting and great fun.

    Hot*Snow

  3. Well one thing is for sure it looks very interesting. The problem is I feel slightly out of my depth regarding polar lows. I remember wrongly forecasting one in winter 2003/2004 which never really came off so I have always been cautious ever since, so nowcasting will come into play.

    On another note, with the LP pressure system possibly feeding more energy behind it and spending more time out at sea surely thses are 2 positive contributions in terms of ppn intensity? Oron the other hand would the polar low simply merge with the LP system?

    EDIT: I see SP has answerd the above question.

  4. Totally agree with you mate mate, you know how it is weve been let down so often etc etc. I think alot of us here in the north-west have become extremely pessemistic over the last week ! :wallbash:

    As you say its a case of nowcasting and I will certainly be keeping my eye on it because as Stephen P said earlier weather-wise they are very exciting to observe.

  5. according to meto the snow is now south manchester and moving north

    i remember a long time back in the early 80's someone said something very similar, i mean we hadnt any snow like now for quite a period..and a pl developed and some one said that wont do anything for us..it too was stationary with an incoming nw lp..the next day lunch time we had 3-4 foot of snow and 15-20ft in drifts in the countryside lol

    Mate i'd love it if you were right but as a lot of people have said the track of the feature is'nt set to hit the north-west of England which is unfortunate.

    They are fantastic scenarios that have the potential to bring loads of snow to the nw every year but they seldom produce the goods.

    Anyway, 2 cracking quotes from tonight as I have read through the pages:

    "It's probably for the best really - the way things have gone so far it would probably advect warm air over us from the Irish Sea giving rain here before passing through the Cheshire gap and giving blizzards in the midlands and south east."

    "It seems that to be an indication of how poor tonight is that we are reduced to discussing another feature that will probably bring no snow too."

  6. Anyone want to stick their necks out regarding tomorrow:

    TUESDAY:

    A north/north-westerly regime will take hold of the region on Tuesday bringing cloud, with perhaps some periods of sunshine. Perhaps some rogue sleet/snow showers will affect parts of the region however they will not cause any disruption. Conditions will continue into the evening and night, bringing perhaps a frost in some areas particuarly over high ground.

    Hot*Snow

  7. Some light relief, the following links are a series of BBC weather bloopers - enjoy!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vq_5VeBdNBM - compilation from bbc 3

    (my personal favourite)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HtEmhMfz7M...feature=related - Schafernaker strop

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9ctEDqqJtk...feature=related - another Schafernaker classic

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S775bSk9lwQ...feature=related - dead ringers

    Hot*Snow

  8. ʍous*ʇoɥ

    ˙ɥƃnoɥʇ uoıʇɐɔoן ʎɯ ɹoɟ ɹǝʇuıʍ sıɥʇ uı pǝʇuıodɐssıp ʎןʇɥƃıןs ɯɐ ı

    ˙sıɥʇ ʇnoqɐ pǝʇuıodɐssıp ʇou ɯ,ı os ʎɐʍʎuɐ ɯıןs ʎʇʇǝɹd ǝɹǝʍ ʇsǝʍ-ɥʇɹou ǝɥʇ ƃuıʇɔǝɟɟɐ ɯǝʇsʎs sıɥʇ ɟo sǝɔuɐɥɔ ǝɥʇ ɹıɐɟ ǝq oʇ

  9. PPN has been falling as sleet and mostly rain over the last hour and more -

    (1) It was'nt forecasted, at most expect the odd brief shower otherwise clear spells, frost and ice.

    (2) It has'nt fallen as snow (?)

    (3) Ironiclly it has washed away any fallen snow.

    (4) It has just started to clear away.

    I my location the last week has now produced two nights (both Sunday's) where we have had a dusting of snow (ie/ less than ahalf an inch) that has rapidly melted away.

    Hot*Snow

  10. If the trend continues then it may very well reach NW.

    Personally I prefer Isobel Lang. There is something about here that just does it for me. :lol:

    That would be fantastic stuff if it were to come this far it really would, and I agree some trends are appearing to support this viewpoint. I do find it strange how the bbc have'nt picked up on this yet - although they are more likely to update tomorrow morning.

    Nevertheless it makes great viewing, there have been some intersting discussions across the boards today.

    Hot*Snow

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