Alex95
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Posts posted by Alex95
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Nothing at all here! I can see yellow clouds to my south though.
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The strong echoes out to sea look like losing strength as they come in to me. Could be a disappointing night.
Hopefully its just the normal waxing and waning of showers, and also as I said earlier the radar has been playing up, which is rather annoying when you're trying to track showers!
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Just looked out and there's a dusting of what appears to be grauple. Plenty of showers on the radar now
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I think the radar was broken - earlier all the precipitation suddenly appeared light, then at 19:30 it became heavier again. If those showers continue to build some of us should wake up to a decent covering tomorrow morning.
I reckon Durham will be the sweet spot tonight based on the current trajectory of those showers.
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The next area of showers is only about an hour away now as the dry slot is sinking south slightly.
Troughs and showers can appear at short notice in these setups can't they?
Not saying that will be the case tonight but hey who knows ...
I always try and predict who will get snow based on the radar, but I'm often wrong for this exact reason. The showers often disappear or form from one radar frame to the next, making them very unpredictable.
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The radar looks OK. Not fantastic, but there are enough showers forming to keep my hopes up for tonight
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I'm back home, and there's less snow here than in Cumbria - typical!
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Drove through a cracking snow shower near Penrith, only a slight covering by the roadside though.
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I should be home by around half five, the North Sea will surely fire up then!
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Moderate snow shower in Keswick - didn't expect much this far west!
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The radar looks similar to the 26th Nov 2010 when the trough formed offshore and moved inland to give 4-8 inches in NE Scotland and NE England.
Snowing lightly in Keswick this morning.
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I don't mind the S Coast getting a decent dumping - they have to put up with pretty awful snow chances most of the time.
I think we'll see something, but once again the convective potential looks like being watered down from what was forecast. I've never known a winter with such poor convection. we've had next to nothing!
Have you forgotten the convective snow falls in January, as well as early December, and also two weeks ago?
I actually think this has been one of the better winters in terms of convective snow, although I'll admit some Armageddon scenarios have been shown on the models which always get downgraded.
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Yeah those snow depth charts are pretty rubbish in North Sea events, the two charts just don't match up at all!
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Sunday and Sunday night look very snowy to me, then Monday will see the showers dying away as the flow becomes less unstable.
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I'm conveniently going to be in Keswick again this weekend, although I'll be back on Sunday morning / early afternoon to see the fun and games (hopefully).
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I'm pretty confident the NE will get heavy snow on Sunday and Monday, before it turns to slush on Tuesday, and more especially Wednesday. It still looks cold after that though and there seems to be a growing trend for more cold blasts mid month.
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As usual convection doesn't show up too well on GFS - the South has some persistent snow on Sunday morning/pm. Are we looking at similar amounts too from convection?
Fingers crossed - the fact that some precipitation is being shown suggests that we will get plenty of convection from this, as the models usually look bone dry if the North Sea isn't going to deliver the goods. With 850s getting close to -15 and a clean ENE flow I don't see how we will miss out here, unless it gets watered down before then of course.
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The ENE'ly on Sunday and Monday could well be the most potent we've seen since 1991 - maybe not in terms of snow depths, but certainly in the intensity of the cold easterly wind. I expect to see plenty of drifting powdery snow by Monday.
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The 0z GFS would bring heavy snow on Sunday, but then the high slowly sinks so the snow would gradually turn more marginal. The ECM on the other hand is incredibly cold for all of next week really. All the main models show maximum temperatures below freezing by Sunday, with 850s well below -10, which is pretty impressive for mid March.
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Some pretty juicy charts knocking about for early next week - will this finally be the clean NE'ly we've been waiting for? well, those who actually still want snow of course
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Yup, pretty chilly here today, didn't really feel like Spring at all. Fingers crossed for tomorrow then!
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What subject?
Maths.
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6/10 for me. We had significant snow for a a couple of days in early December, then that longer cold spell in January gave quite a lot, 15-20cm by the end of it and more than double that in the higher parts of County Durham,which was nice to go and see once the roads were clear again. There was another significant snow event here last weekend, although I was away so I missed it. The most disappointing thing in my opinion is that all the snow events were quite marginal, otherwise it would have been an 8/10.
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Where are you headed?
I don't want any more snow. It's spring, it felt lovely today in the sun, great to be back in the garden getting things tidied up... I want more of that, not a week lost to cold and snow.
I haven't decided yet lol, I'll hopefully be going to university - I'm currently torn between Durham and Warwick as my first choice. Yes, I know I'll have to put up with being near Coventry if I choose Warwick, and it is a bit of a hole
Far North of England Regional Discussion 09/03/13 21z---->
in Regional
Posted
There's a nice clump of showers heading towards Newcastle for around midnight.