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Elnonio

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Posts posted by Elnonio

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I like my snow to be heavy enough in the garden to make a snowman, yet keeps off the roads so they are drivable.

    Actually I just like seeing snow falling. It doesn't need to stick, just look nice coming down.

    Agree totally Joo. Love seeing falling snow but hate walking on the stuff. V paranoid after falling a few years ago skiing. Let's hope for a nice dusting but nothing too extreme.

    Welsh Cold Weather Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Don't get me wrong, I am totally addicted to this forum and it is much more forgiving and less 'sniffy' than the other 'very sensible and model driven' forums on here. However, since I am really rubbish at reading charts and the like, I would really like to see some more concrete evidence and explanation rather than ' it will snow on tuesday' and 'it is drizzling in Swansea'. whistling.gif E x

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Hehe ti'n hala mi i werthin smile.gif wyt ti'n enedigol o Gaerdydd neu wedi symud i'r Brif ddinas wyt ti?

    hehe are you from Cardiff or moved to the area?

    A baswn i ddim yn erfyn lot o eira ond unrhyw bryd ar ôl min nos ddywedwn i

    I wouldn't expect a lot of snow but any time after 12 tonight.

    Wedi symud yma pan roeddwn yn 12

    Moved here when I was 12

    True Cerdiff girl now!!rolleyes.gif

    My prediction is:

    1. Westerly wins - everybody sad

    2. Easterly wins - lots of cold cold.gif but not a lot of snowmad.gif , just enough to make life difficult - everybody sad !!!!dry.gif

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    It is fact that everyone in the model thread who's having a rant tonight have just been kicked out of their Local tongue.gif for Drunek disorderly tongue.gif the way they're acting anyway, I wouldn't listen to much to what's going on in there atm, Things will change tomorrow, yes mild weather has made an appearace on the models but they suddenly take that as the gospel itself which is ridiculous, yes we should take this into account just like we take cold weather in the balance, all in all I will stick my neck out and say the easterly is still on but mildER weather will have a part to play somewhere in the evolution. And snow is hard to forecast it's like the woman of the World tongue.gif " Does my bum look big in this? No of course not, Woman - Be onest now I need to know, Man - No seriously, Woman - But I think it does, Man - yes ok it does, (woman goes off on one mans ears turn off tongue.gif) That's Snow for you

    Is the ground cold enough for me to settle? Is my thickness right, are the upper air temps on my side today? am i going to have a mild sector today? We say no its not going to snow then Snow goes nuts and were all off work and distruption is rife, We say its certainly going to snow make preparations and the snow doesnt arrive tongue.gif Its the beauty of Welsh Weather tongue.gif

    She's not called Mother Nature for nothing you know! And she might just send you to your room for such blatant sexism. blum.gif

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    GFS and ECM are computer models that help us predict what weather we will be having

    check out

    http://www.wetterzen...n/fsavneur.html

    And the current charts are showing a 1947/63 forecast for Feb - mega cold and snow with Siberia holidaying in Britain!

    Great news for some but also could be scary for a lot too - this could turn out to be extremely severe!

    Thanks Andy. I know I've asked you before !! I do know that the charts predict what weather we will be having - it's just the nuances that you committed weather watchers understand that I have problems with. My A level Geography teacher would be turning in his grave ( if he was dead - which he is not!). rolleyes.gif

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Seems the meto and BBC are going for an easterly all next week (not the best direction for us to get snow unless an atlantic low comes in from the south west) - weird thing is the models really aren't showing this right now - so - theories -

    The Meto/BBC are using a brand new computer model we don't know about!

    The Meto/BBC have taken on a new tea boy and allowed him to come up with the forecasts!

    The Meto/BBC have sacked a few of their old scientists and taken on some new ones and are now getting forecasts correct!

    The Meto/BBC have decided to try other forms of forecasting such as a gypsy reading a crystal ball!

    I'm only saying this because as from this week - last wednesday's snow was forecast as a warning five days before it happened and it was a marginal event - this sort of forecasting has never even happened before with the meto in such detail with such confidence - before this they were floundering all over the place so something has changed - and this insistence that we are having an easterly all this week seems very over confident considering the models we can see are not showing this!

    Maybe they've borrowed MrMonopoly's pendulum?!!

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Elnonio

    Pouring with rain here. 2 centigrade. If only it was just a little bit colder sad.gif

    Would still probably been pouring with rain. I have been in the alps at minus something and it still manages to rain!!!

    Mr E back. It did rain in the alps once when we were skiing for about an hour. Then we had sleet for about an hour. Then we had blizzard conditions for 36 hours. Just wanted to clarify.

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Oh dear no messages all day,this thread will surely die.

    Hello?

    Even Andymusic has gone??

    Have we given up?

    I'm watchin'. Always watchin'

    Keep the faith. I suspect Andy is out with his girlfriend buying a new freezer. In the volvo.

    There is no way this winter is over. It's like half time at the football.

    Ha - that was Mr E hacking into my account. As far as I'm concerned half time is the good bit in the football.

    Don't let this thread die guys. It might be pouring with rain outside but imagine if it was snow....yahoo.gif

    Wales Cymru Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Major snows over the weekend forecasted if the GFS 18z comes off - it pushes the front due over us thursday into friday and then back over us saturday/sunday and then holds the front over wales from then on - snowing continously!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I will believe it when I see it!! Met office for Wed/Thurs doesn't seem to make much sense and forecasts don't back it up. Where can I get this GFS 18z ?? And more to the point - is it free?! And even more to the point - is it right !!!!?

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