Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

[SteveB]

The sun is blank, but I am not sure for how long. With NOAA counting just about an blemish no matter how small or how long it stay on the surface.

[SteveB]

2 day's blank

[SteveB]

3 day's blank solar flux at 74.

Solar activity remains very low.

[SteveB]

Solar flux down to 71 which isthe lowest its been since September/October last year.

4 day's blank.

[picog]

Presumably, by now, we are over 800 blank days so far this cycle?

[SteveB]

Presumably, by now, we are over 800 blank days so far this cycle?

795 day's

[SteveB]

Really interesting now, solar flux has dropped to 69. this is the same level as last year when we had long runs of spotless day's.

5 day's blank.

[snowray]

Really interesting now, solar flux has dropped to 69. this is the same level as last year when we had long runs of spotless day's.

5 day's blank.

Indeed Steve, very exciting times. In fact on the laymans count we are looking at even lower activity now than cycle 5 (Mauders Minimum). Edited May 14, 2010 by snowray

[MR EXTREMES]

Really interesting now, solar flux has dropped to 69. this is the same level as last year when we had long runs of spotless day's.

5 day's blank.

yep very intresting maybe just maybe another revised statement by nasa if this was to continue.

i think were heading towards some very intresting decades.

[Gray-Wolf]

yep very intresting maybe just maybe another revised statement by nasa if this was to continue.

i think were heading towards some very intresting decades.

I'd agree, with Solar pegged a couple of percent below normal driving a H.P. dominated synoptic we end up with our air conditioner disabled and clearer skies across a warming ocean.......not what we need right now!

[snowray]

I'd agree, with Solar pegged a couple of percent below normal driving a H.P. dominated synoptic we end up with our air conditioner disabled and clearer skies across a warming ocean.......not what we need right now!

Hi Grey Wolf, can you explain what you mean there a bit more?

[SteveB]

Solar flux up slightly to 70.

6 day's blank

[SteveB]

7 day's blank

797 day's for cycle24

28 day's for 2010 19%

[SteveB]

8 day's blank

solar flux down to 69

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

8 day's blank

solar flux down to 69

To me, it looks like, after a quick burst of energy, the sun's gone back to sleep. Most interesting is the Solar flux dropping back to 69, that is very much a minimum level in any cycle. It had been showing signs of dragging itself up from this level

Edited May 17, 2010 by NorthNorfolkWeather

[SteveB]

To me, it looks like, after a quick burst of energy, the sun's gone back to sleep. Most interesting is the Solar flux dropping back to 69, that is very much a minimum level in any cycle. It had been showing signs of dragging itself up from this level

Yes we did have a period in January/February where it looked like cycle24 was ramping up. Currently back to levels pre October 2009, whether this is a blip & activity will resume, or Jan/Feb was a blip, time will tell.

[SteveB]

9 day's blank, solar flux remains at 69.

[Anti-Mild]

Yes we did have a period in January/February where it looked like cycle24 was ramping up. Currently back to levels pre October 2009, whether this is a blip & activity will resume, or Jan/Feb was a blip, time will tell.

Perhaps time will tell that Jan/Feb was the solar maximum!! http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif

[jonboy]

Does anyone know what the latest NASA projection is for cycle 24 and 25. It would be interesting to see how much they have downgrade their estinates from say two years ago?

[snowray]

10 days blank now.......our sun returns to significantly low levels, yup, we are in a deep solar minimum alright. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/ph34r.gif

Edited May 18, 2010 by snowray

[SteveB]

Does anyone know what the latest NASA projection is for cycle 24 and 25. It would be interesting to see how much they have downgrade their estinates from say two years ago?

http://daltonsminima.files.wordpress.com/2010/05/13.gif

They have certainly revised it downwards.

1 more blank day to make it 800 for cycle24

[SteveB]

11 day's & the 800 chalked up for cycle24.

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

11 day's & the 800 chalked up for cycle24.

800 is really going for it, especially as it looks as though it's pretty well gone to sleep again.

Solar Wind back down to around 69m which is what you'ld expect during the minimum, not 2 years on the upslope

[SteveB]

12 day's blank, but a sunspot has formed and will be numbered later.

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

Isn't it amazing, there was no indication that this latest spot would form as late as 22:00 last night. I suppose is shows that there is still a huge amount we don't know.

Have you seen the magnetic filament at http://www.spaceweather.com ?