Shortening of the hurricane season?

[Cat 5]

Only 11 years have had named storms develop after 30th Sep since 1950 !

Could this be the 12th year?

Interstingly, this will be the third year out of 6 that no storms have been named after 30th Sep. I do not think this has happened since records begun.

[The PIT]

No doubt due to Global warming or whatever they want to call it.

[Cat 5]

The Pit - You are probably right.

It seems anything that can not be explained tends to get tarnished with the same global warming tosh.

It was only recently scientists decided that a 1 degree increase in the Surface Water Temp was the key ingredient to more hurricanes.

I would not be surprised if we have another inactive year next time - the same reason will be given for the lack of hurricanes!

[The PIT]

The Pit - You are probably right.

It seems anything that can not be explained tends to get tarnished with the same global warming tosh.

It was only recently scientists decided that a 1 degree increase in the Surface Water Temp was the key ingredient to more hurricanes.

I would not be surprised if we have another inactive year next time - the same reason will be given for the lack of hurricanes!

But then increased shear would kill more potential Hurricanes off which is happened this year so far.

[kold weather]

Well actually there probably will be a system upgraded at the end of the season that was just 300 miles away from the UK that looked amazingly like a subtropical storm and while the NHC didn't upgrade it at the time I think the odds are it was actually a subtropical storm despite how far north it and east it was.

Also it should be remembered you can get tropical/subtropical storms even in early December, there is still plenty of time for another system to develop, indeed the odds probably are quite high given the strong La nina forming that one more wave will find a region good enough for development...though its not a certainty by any means!

Edited October 11, 2007 by kold weather

[mettalfabrik]

yep only 2 years ago we were up to VINCE with a few more to come

[kold weather]

Talking of another system developing, Invest 96L has just been upgraded to Tropical depression 15. Looks like shear may prevent this becoming a tropical storm tohugh IMO as the center is detached from the heaviest convection.

[Cat 5]

Talking of another system developing, Invest 96L has just been upgraded to Tropical depression 15. Looks like shear may prevent this becoming a tropical storm tohugh IMO as the center is detached from the heaviest convection.

Just spotted AL15 in the mid atlantic.

Can someone please explain to me what the letters / numbers mean in this instance AL15. Also, Kold Weather has mentioned a system called 'Invest 96L' - is this the same system? What does this name mean and where does it come from?

Thanks in advance,

Ross

[crimsone]

L signifies that it's a system in the atlantic. 96 is the number of the system... the first system to form is 90, it counts to 99, and then goes back to 90 when a new system forms after it.

[Cat 5]

Ok thanks Crimsone... what about AL15? And what does invest mean?

Thanks

[crimsone]

AL15 means the 15th atlantic tropical depression of the season. An invest is an area of disturbed weather that is under investigation for possible tropical development that has not (at least officially) reached tropical depression status.

Edited October 12, 2007 by crimsone