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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Just got back to the office from Hants, plenty of sunshine and showers. Haven't had a chance to look at radar or detectors - whats occurring? :unknw:

Diurnally driven showers are producing almost no sferics at the moment. Though the number and intensity is heading in the right direction.

CZ up across NE England/SE Scotland earlier, along with a last ditch intensification of the rain-mass east of the Thames Estuary, produced a fair few sferics earlier.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Diurnally driven showers are producing almost no sferics at the moment. Though the number and intensity is heading in the right direction.

Hmmm, still plenty of time to go. :good:

Just seen NW extra radar has one strike over Frant way - well it's a start!

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

Hmmm, still plenty of time to go. :good:

Just seen NW extra radar has one strike over Frant way - well it's a start!

wheres frant?

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Close sferics coming from showers inland from here near Aberystwyth.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

'near tunbridge wells' would have done but thanks! :good:

:lol: I like to give the full story! As the NW headline says today - short sharp showers, but no bangs yet.

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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted

I'm not entirely sure what happened at 15.10 but my road was on the edge of a downpour with rain rates around 100mm per hour while here

it was raining gently.

I think it must have just produced an extremely strong downdraught but on a day with a generally light breeze, even during the showers, there

was a sudden gust which was much stronger than gale force. I rushed to the front door to look outside in time to see trees a few hundred

yards away being blown very harshly before returning to their normal position.

I can't think it would have been anything tornadic but certainly a very strong convective downdraught gust.

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nikkirevo Newbie

nikkirevo

Posted
  • Location: Oswestry, Shropshire
  • Location: Oswestry, Shropshire
Posted

I'm super new to this but if i'm reading them correctly, the current CAPE charts are showing some quite tasty looking conditions, ripe for storms this evening..... especially in the South East, you lucky devils :)

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

Hmmm, still plenty of time to go. :good:

Just seen NW extra radar has one strike over Frant way - well it's a start!

We had 3 just north of herne bay <_<

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

I haven't got the detailed 12Z sounding for Herstmonceux, but the Nottingham one doesn't make especially pretty reading:

128213.gif

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

I haven't got the detailed 12Z sounding for Herstmonceux, but the Nottingham one doesn't make pretty reading:

According to GFS (if it is to be believed) Nottingham was just outside of the area most likely to see reasonable/decent convection today.

Furthermore, GFS has recently (i.e the past couple of days) pointed towards CAPE peaking (as it often does) between 3 and 6pm. In the last half an hour or so, convection has really taken off across southern areas of England. I would anticipate this to develop into something interesting (or more interesting) as it drifts east with the CAPE/LI maxima forecast to be in the next few hours.

That aside, I am not overly encouraged by the lack of sferics where the beefy showers are developing at the moment. If it is still this quiet by 5pm I'll readily start losing hope.

Edited by Harry
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Norfolk Sheep Seasoned

Norfolk Sheep

Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
Posted

Waiting for the rain band to clear (BBC Look East said 4pm, so it's got precisely one minute :D ) but would expect any showers to be fairly infrequent (if any) now. Still, 2hrs of light to moderate rain, mustn't grumble rolleyes.gif

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Forecast CAPE isn't great, but may have been superseded already?

cape.curr.1700lst.d2.png

zsfclcldif.curr.1700lst.d2.png

I'm just not getting the right vibes out of this currently :unsure:

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted (edited)

mmmmmmm two very dark clouds just skirted north and south of me while leaving sunshine here! typical!

Edited by Mesoscale
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Indeed CAPE in your chart there Coast looks pretty uninspiring!

Have massive raindrops falling here atm! Heard the raindrops thudding against floor, over my iPod! :blink:

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Let's cheer ourselves up - the French don't have much in store either today!!! :yahoo:

128223.gif

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Weather Wizard Newbie

Weather Wizard

Posted
  • Location: NW London, Golders Green
  • Location: NW London, Golders Green
Posted (edited)

Let's cheer ourselves up - the French don't have much in store either today!!! :yahoo:

128223.gif

The north of france doesnt seem to be doing to badly

post-13491-0-68512800-1308238830_thumb.g

Edited by Weather wizard
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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

The weather has been split personality today. It's literally been downpour, sunny, downpour, sunny, downpour, sunny.

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Skyscape Newbie

Skyscape

Posted
  • Location: Reading/West Berkshire/South Oxfordshire/Tilehurst border. (Purley-on-Thames)
  • Location: Reading/West Berkshire/South Oxfordshire/Tilehurst border. (Purley-on-Thames)
Posted

Dark clouds to the south of me. Raining here now!

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Biggin Rising Star

Biggin

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted

Let's cheer ourselves up - the French don't have much in store either today!!! :yahoo:

128223.gif

I havnt got a scooby doo what that is showing, or how to read it You might as well have posted a painting by Monet :)

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

I havnt got a scooby doo what that is showing, or how to read it You might as well have posted a painting by Monet :)

That's why I choose this version of the soundings, as the right hand side tells you what indices are showing what potential results (see the comments column). :good:

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

I havnt got a scooby doo what that is showing, or how to read it You might as well have posted a painting by Monet :)

bit of storm potential there-

120px-Claude_Monet_048.jpg

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

That's why I choose this version of the soundings, as the right hand side tells you what indices are showing what potential results (see the comments column). :good:

Even with the key, I still don't understand it!:cc_confused:

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