Hurricane Gordon

[Storm Track]

Hurricane Gordon could may impact to Europe, where a hurricane warning is in effect including English Channel, Northern France and Southern England could may be likely to a downgraded into a Category 1 hurricane or a strong tropical storm with the next few days or so.

[Methuselah]

Hurricane Gordon could may impact to Europe, where a hurricane warning is in effect including English Channel, Northern France and Southern England could may be likely to a downgraded into a Category 1 hurricane or a strong tropical storm with the next few days or so.

GORDON Bennett!

[Sainsbo]

Models putting Gordon to the north of spain

Whereas these mode;s seem to still have a possibility of the storm running over the south of the UK

[Somerset Squall]

Gordon's peak was 95kts, and the hurricane is down to 85kts now. The eye is much less defined as shear increases over the hurricane. Weakening is expected to continue from here on in, but Gordon should still be a hurricane as it passes over the Azores.

[summer blizzard]

Hurricane Gordon could may impact to Europe, where a hurricane warning is in effect including English Channel, Northern France and Southern England could may be likely to a downgraded into a Category 1 hurricane or a strong tropical storm with the next few days or so.

I smell a troll!

[weatherobsuk]

The right curve in Gordon I would guess is a given-estimate until further analysis of the system is apparent. We have the Theta-plume moving north along the current LP situated between Iceland and Scotland which will no doubt have a mid-level influence on where Gordon ends up.

Hopefully the hand-over to European/British agencies will be slightly less abrasive as the last Gordon/Irene event.

[tinybill]

Models putting Gordon to the north of spain

Whereas these mode;s seem to still have a possibility of the storm running over the south of the UK

should make things interesting if it comes off!!!

[Methuselah]

Still looks like Spain to me?

[Robbie Garrett]

This reminds me of Hurricane Vince in the Infamous 2005.

[Storm Track]

By the time it reaches the UK, on Sunday night or early next week, it is likely to have been downgraded to a tropical storm heads towards the UK early Tuesday.

[Coast]

MIAMI (AP) — Hurricane Gordon sped across the Atlantic early Sunday toward the eastern Azores islands, where a hurricane warning is in effect, U.S. forecasters in Miami said.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Gordon was centered about 340 miles (550 kms) west-southwest of Sao Miguel Island in the Azores as of 8 a.m. EDT (1200 GMT). It added that Gordon remained a Category 2 hurricane with top sustained winds of 100 mph (155 kph) and higher gusts. The hurricane, which formed on Saturday, was moving toward the east at 23 mph (37 kph).

The hurricane was on a forecast track expected to take it near or over the islands of the eastern Azores early Monday. Forecasters said that while the Gordon was expected to weaken somewhat Sunday, it still was expected to be a hurricane pasing near or acrosss the eastern Azores. Portugal's government, meanwhile, has discontinued a hurricane warning for the central Azores.

Forecasters said Gordon, on an eastward track in the pre-dawn hours, was expected to turn toward the east-northeast later Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 35 miles (55 kms) from the center and tropical storm force winds reached outward up to 125 miles (205 kphs).

Gordon's dangerous surf and ocean swells could reach the central and eastern Azores on Sunday afternoon and heavy rains were expected, the Miami forecasting center said. Gordon became a hurricane on Saturday even as onetime Tropical Storm Helene swiftly weakened into a tropical depression as it lumbered ashore on Mexico's Gulf Coast and degenerated into a rain storm without reports of significant damage.

http://lubbockonline...issipates-along

Hurricane Gordon Advisory Number 18

Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl

1100 Pm Ast Sun Aug 19 2012

Summary Of 1100 Pm Ast...0300 Utc...Information

-----------------------------------------------

Location...36.7n 25.8w

About 45 Mi...70 Km Wsw Of Santa Maria Island In The Azores

Maximum Sustained Winds...80 Mph...130 Km/H

Present Movement...Ene Or 70 Degrees At 20 Mph...32 Km/H

Minimum Central Pressure...980 Mb...28.94 Inches

Watches And Warnings

--------------------

Changes With This Advisory...

None.

Summary Of Watches And Warnings In Effect...

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For...

* The Eastern Azores

A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Expected

Somewhere Within The Warning Area. Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Have Been Completed.

Discussion And 48-Hour Outlook

------------------------------

At 1100 Pm Ast...0300 Utc...The Center Of Hurricane Gordon Was

Located Near Latitude 36.7 North...Longitude 25.8 West.

Gordon Is Moving Toward The East-Northeast Near 20 Mph...32 Km/H...And A Gradual Decrease In Forward Speed Is Expected Over The Next Couple Of Days.

On The Forecast Track...The Center Of Gordon Will Pass Near Or Over The Eastern Azores In A Few Hours...And Move East Of Those Islands Later On Monday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 80 Mph...130 Km/H...With Higher

Gusts.

Gordon Is A Category One Hurricane On The Saffir-Simpson Scale.

Weakening Is Forecast Over The Next Day Or Two...But Gordon Is Expected To Maintain Hurricane Intensity Until After It Passes The Azores.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 35 Miles...55 Km...From The Center...And Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115 Miles...185 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 980 Mb...28.94 Inches.

Hazards Affecting Land

----------------------

Wind...Tropical Storm Conditions Are Now Affecting Portions Of The

Eastern Azores...And Hurricane Conditions Are Expected Over Parts Of The Eastern Azores Within The Next Couple Of Hours.

Rainfall...Gordon Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Amounts Of 3

To 6 Inches Over The Central And Eastern Azores.

Surf...Swells Generated By Gordon Will Cause Dangerous Surf And Rip Current Conditions In The Central And Eastern Azores.

Next Advisory

-------------

Next Intermediate Advisory...200 Am Ast.

Next Complete Advisory...500 Am Ast.

Forecaster Pasch

Will the jet direction have any effect on Gordon's path??????

[Lynxus]

Looking at this, it seems like it will hit spain.

Id be shocked if it came anywhere near us at the moment.

[Storm Track]

Hurricane Gordon is now downgraded to be a tropical storm will not hit in Spain or Europe and could becoming a ex-tropical storm heads toward UK early tomorrow or Wednesday,

[Sainsbo]

Still looking like it will hit northern Spain to me..

[summer blizzard]

Hurricane Gordon is now downgraded to be a tropical storm will not hit in Spain or Europe and could becoming a ex-tropical storm heads toward UK early tomorrow or Wednesday,

It comes nowhere near the UK and what is left hits Portugal.

[Methuselah]

It comes nowhere near the UK and what is left hits Portugal.

That's at least three times someone has claimed that HG is heading for the UK...

[knocker]

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012

1500 UTC MON AUG 20 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 22.3W AT 20/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.

50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.

12 FT SEAS..120NE 200SE 240SW 60NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 22.3W AT 20/1500Z

AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 23.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N 20.3W...POST-TROPICAL

MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.2N 18.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.2N 17.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N 16.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 22.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BROWN

NNNN

[Coast]

Hurricane Gordon causes minor damage in Azores, losing intensity

Hurricane Gordon caused only minor flooding and power outages as it hit the two eastern-most islands of Portugal's Azores archipelago early on Monday and was losing its strength as it headed towards continental Europe.

Gordon was expected to weaken to a post-tropical cyclone later in the day, according to forecasters at the U.S. National Hurricane Centre in Miami. There was little property damage aside from some broken doors and windows, and no reports of injuries in the Azores, about 1,000 miles west of the Portuguese coast. The Atlantic islands are a popular tourism destination and are particularly busy at this time of year.

Power supply was re-established after brief outages in a few locations, but some roads remained blocked by fallen trees. "We were ready for the worst, but luckily it wasn't as bad as expected," said Jose Bolieiro, mayor of the archipelago's largest city of Ponta Delgada, on the eastern island of Sao Miguel. "We only had small damage from rain and winds." Civil protection services had been put on alert before Gordon made landfall on the islands of Santa Maria and Sao Miguel, but were stood down after the hurricane passed, local officials said. Winds blew at 75 mph (120 km/h), with gusts reaching 105 mph (170 km/h).

Gordon had lost intensity after passing over colder waters before hitting the Azores and was downgraded to a Category 1 hurricane from Category 2. Category 1 hurricanes have enough strength to uproot trees, blow off poorly attached roof tiles and cause coastal flooding and power outages.

http://uk.reuters.co...E87J09X20120820

[weatherobsuk]

Met Office surface obs has post-Gordon running up through Spain and into central France on Friday, possibly the nothern half of this hitting the south depending on the speed of the low coming in from the Atlantic. Looks to be a close-run affair with Gordon being resigned to a typical LP area however.

[Coast]

Met Office surface obs has post-Gordon running up through Spain and into central France on Friday, possibly the nothern half of this hitting the south depending on the speed of the low coming in from the Atlantic. Looks to be a close-run affair with Gordon being resigned to a typical LP area however.

Upon reaching land:

[Coast]

+ 33 hours