South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - September 15th 2012>

[Snowangel-MK]

We need some rain, but why oh why on Sunday

......If it's going to be that bad I might revert to plan B and go to a trade show in London for the day, at least I will be inside

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Brrrrrr!! It's a tad nippy this morning. Central heating is on.

So, this child of Nadines; will it be a spoilt and petulant one? Could do with some rough weather.

Have a good un peeps. âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡

[Coast]

Mornin each.

Morning K!

So, this child of Nadines; will it be a spoilt and petulant one? Could do with some rough weather.

Not actually 100% sure it's going to arrive yet, but we'll keep an eye on it and I'm sure someone in here will have an update as the weekend moves on. I guess it will throw it's toys out of the pram at some point if it is born!

[Snowangel-MK]

So, this child of Nadines; will it be a spoilt and petulant one?

probably.....

I guess it will throw it's toys out of the pram at some point if it is born!

...they normally do and it's not always when they are young...

....there will be plenty of tantrums to come on here this winter I'm sure

[Mark Neal.]

Good Morning! Cloudy here with a few breaks, shouldn't be to bad a day, just cooler than of late.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Upgrade in the amount of rain for Sunday on the GFS

[Mark Neal.]

Upgrade in the amount of rain for Sunday on the GFS

Any pictures of the charts for Sunday, looking like we could get 20mm+ rainfall..

[Coast]

Any pictures of the charts for Sunday, looking like we could get 20mm+ rainfall..

I've put a few together back a few posts Mark, but it is looking like a very wet Sunday, however the latest GFS has the most intense rain further North of our area:

No MetO warnings yet

[Mark Neal.]

I've put a few together back a few posts Mark, but it is looking like a very wet Sunday, however the latest GFS has the most intense rain further North of our area:

No MetO warnings yet

Thanks for the animation, was most helpful!

[Coast]

Thanks for the animation, was most helpful!

Subject to change on subsequent runs of course and it's only GFS at this stage, but MetO have currently for Sunday:

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Saturday mainly fine, although southern areas probably becoming cloudier later. Northern UK fine again Sunday, however southern parts turning wet and windy later. Wet and windy for most on Monday.

Issued at: 0313 on Thu 20 Sep 2012

[Steve C]

I've put a few together back a few posts Mark, but it is looking like a very wet Sunday, however the latest GFS has the most intense rain further North of our area:

No MetO warnings yet

I wonder if this means we'll get strong winds here then?

[Mark Neal.]

I wonder if this means we'll get strong winds here then?

Looks to me that there will be some high winds associated with this low coming up, so could get very gusty and windy. Gale force on the coast though and out in the channel?

[Coast]

I wonder if this means we'll get strong winds here then?

Looks like gusty, not particularity high sustained. We'll know more tomorrow when the hi-res charts start coming into range but there looks like a strong onshore breeze and gusts up to force 7?

It really gets going after dark and into Monday

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Has anyone clicked on the GFS on expert charts and then run through from Sat night to Tuesday...LOL That Low is not going anywhere :/

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=euro&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=78&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Not sure how good these charts from the GFS are...

Saturday midday

Tuesday Midday

The track is going to be key to where the most rainfall goes...Radar watching? Or will the models lock it down

[Coast]

Here we go, first out of the blocks is NW:

http://www.netweathe...ert;reg=7;sess=

Radar watching? Or will the models lock it down

Models will be better tomorrow afternoon, but then it's radar watching and an interesting weekend of weather I just wish it wasn't in my part of the World spoiling a weekend!

[Steve C]

Here we go, first out of the blocks is NW:

http://www.netweathe...ert;reg=7;sess=

Models will be better tomorrow afternoon, but then it's radar watching and an interesting weekend of weather I just wish it wasn't in my part of the World spoiling a weekend!

Well I'm off to Sprunehorpe of all places. It looks like I'll get the heavier rain then.

There's currently a heatwave in my office. The fan is on full blast. I'm just eating my lunch...

It contains this ingredient. Bedfordshire = India!

http://www.chilli-festival.com/blog/article/24/Tesco-Stock-Bedfordshire-Super-Naga---UK-s-Hottest-Chilli-Pepper/

[Steve C]

I can't help myself with my profanities...

A town in North Lincolnshire...

[Suburban Streamer]

met office warning for sunday

roughly m4 line southwards -

http://www.metoffice...ather/warnings/

Edited September 20, 2012 by Suburban Streamer

[Steve C]

met office warning for sunday

roughly m4 line southwards

http://www.metoffice...ather/warnings/

Interesting. They've gone for a low probability / high impact scenario at the moment. Must be a nightmare to forecast, as it relies on a tropical storm's movements.

[Snowangel-MK]

There's currently a heatwave in my office. The fan is on full blast. I'm just eating my lunch...

It contains this ingredient. Bedfordshire = India!

http://www.chilli-fe...-Chilli-Pepper/

Who would have thought Bedfordshire could produce something so exotic, but then I'm guessing Salvatore Genovese is not native to these parts

[Snowangel-MK]

Yellow Alert of Rain for London & South East England :

Bracknell Forest, Brighton and Hove, East Sussex, Greater London, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Kent, Medway, Portsmouth, Southampton, Surrey, West Berkshire, West Sussex, Wokingham, Windsor and Maidenhead & Reading

Issued at: 1233 on Thu 20 Sep 2012

Valid from: 0000 on Sun 23 Sep 2012

Valid to: 2359 on Sun 23 Sep 2012

There is a risk that wet and windy weather will spread north from the Bay of Biscay on Sunday to some southern areas. However there is a large amount of uncertainty at present such that it is possible that the rain may not reach our shores at all. The public should be aware of this risk and keep up to date with our forecasts as we approach the weekend.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/?regionName=se&from=rss&sn=DE71A750-7382-3C7A-D88D-E30C70FE35AB_1_SE

[Suburban Streamer]

There's currently a heatwave in my office. The fan is on full blast. I'm just eating my lunch...

It contains this ingredient. Bedfordshire = India!

http://www.chilli-fe...-Chilli-Pepper/

i've not tried that chilli but been growing some as usual this year....3 plants and wow they are soooo strong i simply can't eat them. Took some to my local indian restaurant and the manager put the whole thing in his mouth and went bright red, eyes watering etc....i can't even give them away!

Edited September 20, 2012 by Suburban Streamer

[Steve C]

i've not tried that chilli but been growing some as usual this year....3 plants and wow they are soooo strong i simply can't eat them. Took some to my local indian restaurant and the manager put the whole thing in his mouth and went bright red, eyes watering etc....i can't even give them away!

Something I must do next year. I've known a couple of people who've done this and produced some surprisingly hot chillies.

What sort of chillies are they? I reckon they'll be a good ingredient for some dish.

The heatwave is over in my office. Fan off again, but the heat was good while it lasted!

[Snowangel-MK]

Interesting. They've gone for a low probability / high impact scenario at the moment. Must be a nightmare to forecast, as it relies on a tropical storm's movements.

Yep, must be....

Issued at: 1258 on Thu 20 Sep 2012

Valid from: 0005 on Mon 24 Sep 2012

Valid to: 2359 on Mon 24 Sep 2012

There is a risk that wet and windy weather will continue to spread northeast on Monday. However there is a large amount of uncertainty at present. The public should be aware of this risk and keep up to date with our forecasts.