South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 27th 2012>

[afcone]

Sod the weather models and the prozac-infused MOD thread, I'm taking this as my official, Met Office-sponsored ramp!

[snowbob]

That's exactly what it will be afcone

One flake

Blink and you will miss it

Edited November 27, 2012 by snowbob

[john pike]

Sod the weather models and the prozac-infused MOD thread, I'm taking this as my official, Met Office-sponsored ramp!

be interesting to see the updated fax later

the raw ukmo chart for the 1st

top right chart would certainly look feisable

[gottolovethisweather]

Let's play nicely guys n gals, I've had to enforce some order in here without MK and Coasts presence.

[weathergeek]

Yep I just squealed at the sleet forecast for Sat night here, lol! I'm just glad to have some lovely seasonal coldness - hats and scarves and no drizzle/rain!

H x

[Dexter29]

Yep I just squealed at the sleet forecast for Sat night here, lol! I'm just glad to have some lovely seasonal coldness - hats and scarves and no drizzle/rain!

H x

Me too, I'm getting my Christmas tree Friday and going to an outdoor Christmas fete over the weekend, will be nice wearing scarf and gloves - much more festive

[Snowangel-MK]

Let's play nicely guys n gals, I've had to enforce some order in here without MK and Coasts presence.

Thanks gtltw

[Mrsf16]

Oooh 40% chance in Peterborugh according to Met office

[msx999]

ukmo says sleet sat evening

and so it begins....

bbc weather going for sub zero temps next week for london too.

[Eskimo]

Oh well, looks like our netweather meetup will be on hold, it was nice knowing you guys...we'd be under 2 feet of snow!

Edited November 27, 2012 by PerfectStorm

[john pike]

Hi perfect

Seems to be a trend on that day

Mmmmmmmmmm

[Keraunic]

Is it going to snow on the day of our meet-up? Oooh! We might get snowed in. Cool.

[Nick F]

Is it going to snow on the day of our meet-up? Oooh! We might get snowed in. Cool.

Well, it's certainly looking more odds on that we may see snow that weekend, looking at the models this evening. I'm happy being snowed in with weather minded people, but makes it awkward not being at work the next day. Hope we can all get to MK in the first place.

Edited November 27, 2012 by Nick F

[john pike]

saturday

i see cold and wintry showers here

more especially anglia way

528 air over us and very cold

3 degrees and a very chilly easterly breeze

sunday

again wintry showers in the south east

cold easterly flow

if only we could get a stronger wind

however only early but i like these

these will move around over the next couple of days

although our block to our east has retreated slightly

it still looks strong

[john pike]

Yep I just squealed at the sleet forecast for Sat night here, lol! I'm just glad to have some lovely seasonal coldness - hats and scarves and no drizzle/rain!

H x

what you going to do when you see the updated fax charts

covers ears

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=317&y=151&run=18&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

[john pike]

very cold and dry to the 1st

then precipitation showing

the 3rd has nearly got agreement and it is colder

now fi is the 4th as has over 10 degree spread

some bitter ensembles

the mean does not go above average for the entire run which is quite rare

back soon with my ramp chart

[Eskimo]

If anyone hasn't liked my Facebook page yet, please do if you like...will be updating information regarding the weather regularly.

https://www.facebook.com/LondonAndTheSouthEastWeather?ref=notif&notif_t=page_new_likes

[john pike]

hi pixel

what do you think of the fax charts tonight?

[john pike]

my ramp chart tonight

i had a fair old selection tonight, which is a better sign

[Dean E]

Evening folks,

Cracking run from the CFS today, but with its reliability lately being rather untrustworthy, I'm taking it with a very small pinch of salt.

The uncertainties continue this evening, with no real clear indication of whats going to happen after the weekend. But even the weekend is still open for some doubt. I am keeping a close eye on that small disturbance that is due to move south towards our area Saturday/Sunday night. Would be marginal but seems to be on the right side at the moment. Its hard to draw any sort of conclusion from Saturday onwards at the moment.

Latest fax chart at 120hrs is very good, with a strong High over the Svalbard region which is slowly moving South West over time. I would expect this to help gain some sort of block over Iceland/Greenland over time and if correct, would allow the real cool pool to approach, which there is some very cold heights over that region as I speak.

Keeping a close eye on the stratospheric modelling too, which has led me to keep an eye on the CFS for now...

Hopefully we'll get some agreement soon, otherwise I'll end up with no hair!!!!

SM

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/windchill/3h.htm

keep your eye on these

not many people use them but when you factor this in you can see how cold it will feel

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/500-hpa/3h.htm

use this to check the dam line dark blue is good on this

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/precipitations-convectives/3h.htm

good link for precipitation although not 100% accurate

hope these help

[Mark Neal.]

If anyone hasn't liked my Facebook page yet, please do if you like...will be updating information regarding the weather regularly.

https://www.facebook.com/LondonAndTheSouthEastWeather?ref=notif&notif_t=page_new_likes

I liked it earlier, nice page!

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/windchill/3h.htm

keep your eye on these

not many people use them but when you factor this in you can see how cold it will feel

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/500-hpa/3h.htm

use this to check the dam line dark blue is good on this

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/precipitations-convectives/3h.htm

good link for precipitation although not 100% accurate

hope these help

Could be a few surprises for sure!

Certainly some time over the weekend before the block folds for us to get wintry showers, perhaps even a dusting if we get lucky in a few places.

Edited November 28, 2012 by Mark Neal.

[john pike]

repost from fax charts last night incase anyone missed it

saturday

i see cold and wintry showers here

more especially anglia way

528 air over us and very cold

3 degrees and a very chilly easterly breeze

sunday

again wintry showers in the south east

cold easterly flow

if only we could get a stronger wind

however only early but i like these

these will move around over the next couple of days

although our block to our east has retreated slightly

it still looks strong

[Floatylight]

Morning all,let hope its dry today?

Having a day off to clean my kitchen cupboards joy!

Santa doesnt visit messy houses you know.

The rest of the year i dont mind heehee(jj)

Well woke up this morning to more delightful reading in the mod thread ...not!

So for the first time ever i posted in there,it might not get deleted as it was diplomatic (i thought)?

everyone says they staying away from mod thread,i now think why should we?

One down, few to go

Btw feels nippy this morning