South West/Central Southern Regional Discussion Discussion 16th July 2013 onwards

[AWD]

hmm, looks suspiciously like anaprop returns bud, they're sporadic in intensity which adds to my suspicions....can't get sat24 imagery to load though so can't confirm one way or the other

I don't know if it is or not. A couple of strikes around the Dorset coast now being shown on the ATD.

[SteveB]

Maxed out at 31.4c in Weston, currently 29.4c

 

Dewpoint is 18.5c, Humidity is 52%

[AWD]

From Ian;

"WILTSHIRE Increasing chance now of showers or storms developing in some districts through rest of this evening."

[snowdog]

I am right in the centre of this cloud,and there is not much rain falling from it!

[butler_son]

I am right in the centre of this cloud,and there is not much rain falling from it!

 

Any lightning? Wanna know if I should go to Holt Heath to try and photograph it.

[lfcdude]

From Ian;"WILTSHIRE Increasing chance now of showers or storms developing in some districts through rest of this evening."

 

 

Cue a little dance........

 

clouds at the minute 

 

Edited July 22, 2013 by lfcdude

[gottolovethisweather]

From Ian;"WILTSHIRE Increasing chance now of showers or storms developing in some districts through rest of this evening."

 

Hopefully not long before this little lot turns electrical for some in this region.

 

 

[AWD]

12z WRF-NMM model shows a gert clump of storms heading into the SE quarter of England but still with something smaller affecting the West Country Tuesday morning;

That's actually not to disimiliar from the 12z NAE either.

[snowdog]

'Butler Son' I Haven't seen any lightning or heard thunder

[A.J]

blimey, thunder and lightning from nowhere!!!....torrential rain, my goodness, those cells went up quickly!

[lfcdude]

blimey, thunder and lightning from nowhere!!!....torrential rain, my goodness, those cells went up quickly!

 

watching clouds go up here potterne 

[gottolovethisweather]

AWD, Ian F or someone in the know.

 

Can you inform me as to where Tuesday's developments are going to come from. Am I right in thinking it will be in connection with the frontal mass out to the West and Southwest. I don't foresee much hope of an imported MCS given the proximity of all that cloud, currently.

 

 

Edited July 22, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[Sainsbo]

It's coming over rather dark here, and the clouds look fantastic. I will try and take a picture if I can find my camera..

[butler_son]

First rumble of thunder heard! Welp here we go again Dorset.

[TimMB]

Humidity has shot up to 75%, not sure what relevance this has. Is higher humidity relative to lower temperature? It was 30c earlier with humidity at 50% and it was "comfortable". Now it's 24 and I'm sweating buckets!

Edited July 22, 2013 by TimMB

[Sainsbo]

First rumble of thunder here!

[gottolovethisweather]

Hearing distant classic deep-based rumbles in Newbury now, very distantly of course.

[AWD]

AWD, Ian F or someone in the know. Can you inform me as to where Tuesday's developments are going to come from. Am I right in thinking it will be in connection with the frontal mass out to the West and Southwest. I don't foresee much hope of an imported MCS given the proximity of all that cloud, currently.

1830CEST 220713 satellite image.jpg

It's shown to develop ahead of the front to the south west of the UK, starting off over north Spain and developing further as it heads through Biscay and north into Southern England.

No idea if it's going to be a MCS situ or not, like you say, probably unlikely here but possible further east.

[Andy Bown]

A real lesson for anyone who dispairs at no development by 4pm! Rapid development in half an hour and a lot of lightning near Salisbury and up towards Swindon. Cbs high based to the East of here.

[gottolovethisweather]

It's shown to develop ahead of the front to the south west of the UK, starting off over north Spain and developing further as it heads through Biscay and north into Southern England.

image.jpg

No idea if it's going to be a MCS situ or not, like you say, probably unlikely here but possible further east.

 

Thanks AWD, I just have a silly fear of things not going quite as planned. Especially given the potential shown by Shaferknakkers on the Beeb, sounded mental.

[lfcdude]

can here thunder in distance 

[AWD]

Thanks AWD, I just have a silly fear of things not going quite as planned. Especially given the potential shown by Shaferknakkers on the Beeb, sounded mental.

It's happening now, lets hope for further developments to the west too.

[lfcdude]

ok north of potterne... their is lightning! saw streak across sky and follow by rumble 

[AWD]

Thanks AWD, I just have a silly fear of things not going quite as planned. Especially given the potential shown by Shaferknakkers on the Beeb, sounded mental.

What did Thomasz say? I missed that forecast.

[Dorsetbred]

Salisbury & Swindon in the fortunate rain firing line at the moment from the line that cruised past us to the west sharing 2 drops of rain and no storm activity.

Edited July 22, 2013 by Dorsetbred