Convective / Storm Discussion - 14th May 2014 onwards

[vladthemert]

met thinks we will miss out here but lincoln will get firecrackers. However they predict us get heavy showers tuesday.  We will see how acurate they are. 

 

Estofex has west under level 1 large parts 50% theat and whole uk 15% threat.

[Evening thunder]

Had some thunder and lightning last night at home apparently, and got a text saying 'Ooh loud' meaning loud thunder a short while ago at home. I bet they get more this evening too while nothing happens here in Egham, I tend to miss much more interesting events at home than I see up here..

 

Me and a friend are contemplating chasing tomorrow though.. so hopefully will see something!. but the latest GFS pushes it north quicker! and possibly out of our range quicker.. not liking that at all. Seems to always be pushed away from the SE or where ever I am

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Clear sky here with some small cumulus bubbling up and the temp is rocketing!! Feeling humid too

[The PIT]

Looking like it will be a dry day here after all.  Never mind.

[Supacell]

Clear blue skies and 20c with a dewpoint of 14c. It is looking good for my area this afternoon now if the latest met office precipitation forecast is to be believed for this afternoon. 

[Jane Louise]

Although my weather station is reading at 23.6 c it's absolutely scorching out there. I saw some Altocumulus Castellanus but this was towards the hills to my East. Somewhere and someone is going to strike lucky at some point. There's nothing more exciting then a thunderstorm to occur after a lovely hot scorching day. I have my fingers crossed still Lol.

[StormChaseUK]

Conditions really do look wonderful today, like 1990's old school setup.  South West up it Wales/West Midlands could have a noisy evening,.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Towers just starting to go up here in Surrey

[Bobby]

The sky has gone dark and fairly stormy looking to my S/SW. Some dark clouds to the S too. Current skies:

 

[Convective]

Can hear the odd distant rumble from that cell crawling towards Cumbria.

[Mapantz]

Between 8 and 9pm looks favourable for the south west initially, anywhere from the IoW and west.

As we progress in to tomorrow, the risk becomes more widespread for southern counties.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Between 8 and 9pm looks favourable for the south west initially, anywhere from the IoW and west.As we progress in to tomorrow, the risk becomes more widespread for southern counties.

 

Can we move the IOW east by about 50 miles? 

[Cyclonic]

Can we move the IOW east by about 50 miles? 

Nuuuu, leave it where it is, very warm outside, great cloudscape, cool glass of wine, reading awesome book on my kindle, sat in garden watching my dog roll around getting dirty after have a bath grrrr lol

If it thunders, bonus, if it dont, i will drink more wine

[Mapantz]

Can we move the IOW east by about 50 miles? 

I think you'll get your chance tomorrow am, but as we all know in these setups, it's bound to change.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Nuuuu, leave it where it is, very warm outside, great cloudscape, cool glass of wine, reading awesome book on my kindle, sat in garden watching my dog roll around getting dirty after have a bath grrrr lol

If it thunders, bonus, if it dont, i will drink more wine

 

 

I think you'll get your chance tomorrow am, but as we all know in these setups, it's bound to change.

 

This sounds like a plan! 

[Harry]

I think there's plenty of scope for the projected path of storms to shift 50 miles east or west.

 

NMM/NRM charts later this afternoon tend to be quite accurate iirc.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

totally clouded over now.

[Polar Maritime]

Some towers starting build here to my W/N/W

Edited May 19, 2014 by Polar Maritime

[Mapantz]

No trains running here today, so I'm waiting for the free coach service being laid on. I just took a snap overlooking Holes bay in Poole, not much going on, milky skies and quite humid.

[Mokidugway]

Small cumulus appearing now on stiff breeze , feels like a rerun of yesterday !!....... sons just called to say he's heard thunder at home , bugger !!....

Edited May 19, 2014 by Mokidugway

[Convective]

Ahh the radar within a 15 mile radius of the coast of here always cuts off the precipitation.. I wish there was a way around this, so that the radar would function normally around me

[Weather-history]

Timelapse of shower that passed through this morning

[Mapantz]

Ahh the radar within a 15 mile radius of the coast of here always cuts off the precipitation.. I wish there was a way around this, so that the radar would function normally around me

Probably not a great deal of help.. Edited May 19, 2014 by Mapantz

[Weather-history]

What I always find baffling is that the cells are/become electrified over the sea but over land they cease to be as such.

Why?

[Liam J]

Clouded over from the south temp still holding up above 20c with a muggy feel, radar looks like we could catch a heavy downpour shortly.

Edited May 19, 2014 by Liam J