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Storm & Convective Discussion - 02/07/15 Onward - Heat & Plumes

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

So then, from current charts does Weymouth look anywhere near or am I sitting on the fence missing it all again whilst both sides get nailed?

I would be totally open minded. As Ian F said, it's a lottery and things could easily pop up from France, further East.

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the fat controller Newbie

the fat controller

Posted
  • Location: Highcliffe on sea
  • Location: Highcliffe on sea
Posted

Am a bit confused. Yesterday the BBC graphics showed big storms coming out of northern France tomorrow evening overnight and spreading north. Tonight the graphics only showing these storms forming 20/30 miles inland from the south coast then speaking north. Am I to assume that no storms for the coast tomorrow night?

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

So then, from current charts does Weymouth look anywhere near or am I sitting on the fence missing it all again whilst both sides get nailed?

Most probably, but then everything could shift your way. I've had a bit of T&L so won't be too gutted if I don't see anything tomorrow. I'd be more happy if storm starved got something tomorrow.

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richep Apprentice

richep

Posted
  • Location: Bridgwater,somerset
  • Location: Bridgwater,somerset
Posted

The 3KM NMM shows storms maturing around Bristol/West Midlands and then moving in to the East Midlands/Parts of East Anglia during Saturday morning.

Bit like what the bbc graphics were showing . Random scattered showers becoming more organised and intensifying as they reach further north. I reckon showers/storms will be fairly weak this far south.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

Really? I see them dying out as they reach Bristol with major development over Ireland?

I'm only relaying exactly what the NMM3 shows. I'm not allowed to post these charts from my source, unfortunately

Edited by Mapantz
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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

Really? I see them dying out as they reach Bristol with major development over Ireland?

 

At least its being realistic :D

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James 'Jamie C' Croucher Rookie

James 'Jamie C' Croucher

Posted
  • Location: Weymouth, dorset
  • Location: Weymouth, dorset
Posted

I really do hope so!! Gonna get somewhere out bournemouth way I think, keeping an eye on developments during the day... Best go charge the camera up just in case!! I was a mess last night, excited for people up north getting their light show but absolutely dying inside as I wasn't there to view it!!

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Tomorrow night:Southeast England high risk for supercell and tornadoes.

Hope you're right...this from any particular source?

Latest UKMO precipitation forecast an improvement for the SE :D

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Cornishdave Apprentice

Cornishdave

Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
Posted

The first cell produced a lot of anvil crawlers with faint thunder, the second cell produced more c-g lightning.

Makes you wonder if a night storm is better looking from the outside than the inside?

wow that's amazing, normally down here in Exeter we seem to get lots of low cloud, I'd love to see an anvil from a distance like this, thanks for sharing hopefully we may get a storm down here tommorow eve
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Cornishdave Apprentice

Cornishdave

Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
Posted

Looking forward to tomorrow night, could be a whopper! :D

yes fingers crossed for us down here, I'm hoping for something
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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted (edited)

Interesting graphic from UKMO regarding tomorrow night / Saturday morning, Plenty of cape for it to drift into 

They are also now showing potential on Sunday afternoon

post-17481-0-23631500-1435869263_thumb.p

post-17481-0-97830500-1435870008_thumb.p

Edited by ChezWeather
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Snowshine Enthusiast

Snowshine

Posted
  • Location: Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, snow, warmth, and thunder.
  • Location: Warwickshire
Posted

The 3KM NMM shows storms maturing around Bristol/West Midlands and then moving in to the East Midlands/Parts of East Anglia during Saturday morning.

The West Midlands always seems to miss storms though.

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UKSupercell Enthusiast

UKSupercell

Posted
  • Location: East Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Supercells n snow
  • Location: East Hants
Posted

Wow the Netherlands is absolutely on fire right now. 300-400 strikes per minute around Nijmegan and Arnhem, crazy. Must be supercells. 

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

 

Tomorrow night:Southeast England high risk for supercell and tornadoes.

 

and a hurricane? :)

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eddy88888 Apprentice

eddy88888

Posted
Posted

hope we get a good storm in dorset tommorow eve im in ferndown just a few miles from bournemouth airport, need it nice and hot muggy humid sky to go orange then those nice deep approaching deep rumbles then boom lovely, i feel storm starved as you can tell lol had nothing down hear yet keep missing out.

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Strong Tornado Potential:

4g4VW4.jpg

 

Can you explain...?

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Interesting graphic from UKMO regarding tomorrow night / Saturday morning

They are also now showing potential on Sunday afternoon

I was just looking at that myself, huge change of graphics from earlier.

Re Sunday, hail icons showing up for here.

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

Wow the Netherlands is absolutely on fire right now. 300-400 strikes per minute around Nijmegan and Arnhem, crazy. Must be supercells. 

any live cam of it?

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

 

and a hurricane? :)

No

 

That's what fish said. 

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