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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

NHC will issue advisories on Tropical Depression 9 from 10pm UK time. 

Most models suggest a strong TS/category 1 into the Panhandle. 

Edited by Nick L
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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Still a tad messy but the LLC is under the convection and the NHC now brings it to 60mph.

rgb0-lalo.gif

 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Looks much better today, should get a name at the next recon pass.

rbtop0-lalo.gif

 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Hurricane watch issued for the Panhandle. 

 

Edited by summer blizzard
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Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)

The upper level lows in the western Gulf and partially over Florida are both weakening. This means shear is relaxing over TD 9 and it appears that the MLC and LLC are moving toward each other... once this system becomes stacked, then the chances of a hurricane landfalling along the N GOMncoastline can start to be seriously assessed. Odds are it will be into or not far (within, say, 200 miles) west of the Florida Panhandle. Just my two cents.

As always, for official guidance, please refer to the NHC outlooks.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

NHC being pretty conservative in strength, recon found 46KT before it left

Does look like a strengthening system finally though.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Dry air but the satellite presentation looks brilliant. 

Latest update increased to 45mph,  forecast to make landfall at 70mph with a 6 foot storm surge.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Maximum sustained winds are now 60mph, forecast to be a hurricane at landfall. 

Interestingly our seasonal ACE total is running marginally above the rolling average.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Recon has found a found a partial eyewall and 71KT flight level winds.

She's finally starting to blow.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

Michael Phelps is on this tonight streaming live if anybody is interested, i think he said hes parked up in Apalachicola should be good viewing

http://stormscapelive.tv/

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Now at 65mph, 18 mile eyewall open on the west side. 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Eyewall now closed. Not sure whether the NHC have to wait for the surface wind speed or not but this may be upgraded to a hurricane at the next advisory.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Victory!

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin.

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Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
18 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Victory!

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds in Hermine have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Hermine is now upgraded to a hurricane, the fourth hurricane of 2016 in the Atlantic basin.

 

hi can you change the thread title so more people can find this, ta

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Looking much better now..

ScreenHunter_256%2520Sep.%252001%252015.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

Just a shame it has to make landfall 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Made us wait and it's a shame we don't have another 24 hours but the end result has certainly been impressive. 

Gusts to 95mph on the coast.

GOES22252016245C5eqZr.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)
  • Location: Tonyrefail (175m asl)

Yes, looking very impressive at long last. Could make landfall as a cat2.  At least that coastal region of florida is sparsely populated which will hopefully mitigate  the damage to property and lives. 

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