Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[feb1991blizzard]

Hold horses for just a few frames - I think this ones going to deliver in FI!!

[knocker]

8 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

When what we all want is as cold as a witch's gazonga!

Oh not all, I and especially Sidney were quite shocked to read that

 

[Seasonality]

4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Hold horses for just a few frames - I think this ones going to deliver in FI!!

Lol. Chasing FI again o_O Meanwhile in Poland. Snow as soon as Sunday night and then through next week. Not to mention the bit earlier in November. 

 

Edited November 25, 2016 by Seasonality

[Seasonality]

2 minutes ago, knocker said:

Oh not all, I and especially Sidney were quite shocked to read that

 

Sydney should be a red squirrel. Not an American import.

[Bofh]

Why is it whenever i look at the charts this time of year there's a bloody high pressure system just to the east of us pumping arctic air -10 uppers into europe and we miss it :/

Then i wonder why i visited the model thread in the first place.

Too many times has it got down to the wire and one of Nicks shortwaves scuppers it.

 

Edited November 25, 2016 by Bofh

[feb1991blizzard]

COULD BE RUN OF THE SEASON COMING UP wrt uppers + surface temps,  -  PUNT   -   -8c covering large part -  Northerly  -  then Easterly with temps staying below freezing all day _ particularly in the SE.

[booferking]

3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

COULD BE RUN OF THE SEASON COMING UP wrt uppers + surface temps,  -  PUNT   -   -8c covering large part -  Northerly  -  then Easterly with temps staying below freezing all day _ particularly in the SE.

But i thought it was FLAT haha.

[feb1991blizzard]

11 minutes ago, booferking said:

But i thought it was FLAT haha.

Nearly - not quite - if that continental air would have made it over - temps well below freezing all day.

[northwestsnow]

Don't..look..at...ukmo...

[booferking]

4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Nearly - not quite - if that continental air would have made it over - temps well below freezing all day.

Yep agree would be ice days, one thing i have notice the Ridge pushing up from the gulf into the eastern seaboard when it is more amplified it helps the low cut under the Atlantic Ridge nearly every-time.

[Snipper]

Slightly lost the plot as far as the next week is concerned. So is there reasonable chance of some cold? Not looking for 20ft snow but something cold. Like a bit if frost.  Are we looking forward to everything going to be kicking off next week. Or is that the following week? Week after some time?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

I would say Tues 29th looking coldest day of next 2 weeks, before it turns milder Wednesday, hopefully not too wet

[Guest]

Stick to Meto updates. Saves a lot of stress. Broad brush - their forecasts have been pretty good last couple of Winters.

These model outputs we see quoted on here have more ups and downs than a prostitutes knickers!

[lassie23]

Have they tried switching the GFS off and on again

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Ay soon we'll be hearing no sign of cold before late Dec, as currently it's mid Dec, it was late Nov, then early Dec

[DAVID SNOW]

I don't get this "Compared to last December" Malarkey , if this December ended up very mild, it would still be an improvement on last years!

[Seasonality]

1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Nearly - not quite - if that continental air would have made it over - temps well below freezing all day.

You mean like this nice cool air I'll be enjoying next weekend?

[northwestsnow]

ECM....pass...me..the...sick...bucket....

 

[lassie23]

34 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Ay soon we'll be hearing no sign of cold before late Dec, as currently it's mid Dec, it was late Nov, then early Dec

No sign of cold until 2018 at this rate.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

ECM....pass...me..the...sick...bucket....

 

not quite sick bucket, to me looks mainly dry, dry is the key for Dec, which I nominate as the wettest, most westerly month of the year, closely followed by Jan

this to me is sick bucket chart 

[Frost HoIIow]

35 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Ay soon we'll be hearing no sign of cold before late Dec, as currently it's mid Dec, it was late Nov, then early Dec

Indeed. I will believe it when I see it. Meanwhile in central, eastern Europe & Scandinavia they are poised to nick all the proper deep cold. As usual it avoids western Europe like the plague. Nothing new there then. Anyway might be another frost here tonight - "faux cold" as we call it on here 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

No sign of cold until 2018 at this rate.

and then likely our average winter temp to rise by 0.0001° every degree counts for marginal events at low levels south

[northwestsnow]

9 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

not quite sick bucket, to me looks mainly dry, dry is the key for Dec, which I nominate as the wettest, most westerly month of the year, closely followed by Jan

this to me is sick bucket chart 

For..coldies...day..10..ECM...is..sick...bucket...

[I remember Atlantic 252]

still I would say 13° and dry is miles better than 6° and wet

[Don]

I hate winter!!!