January 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

[NorthYorksWeather]

No change here at 3.1c, 0.4c below the 1981-2010 average.

A rise likely tomorrow as its already 7c here today after a low of 4c.

Tuesday we were forecast to get to double figures however it now looks like we wont get above 6/7c.

Estimating Jan finishing at 3.3c.

 

[Summer Sun]

Estimated figure is 4.3c to the 29th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 3.8C a rise tomorrow to 3.9C so an close to average month and a dry one whatever happens tomorrow.

Edited January 30, 2017 by The PIT

[Summer Sun]

Hadley remains offline

The estimated figure is 4.3c to the 30th

[NorthYorksWeather]

Firby remains online.

Despite yesterdays mean temp of 5.6c we have remained at 3.1c, 0.4c below the 1981-2010 average.

We were forecast double figures today a few days ago but today's max is 5.2c so far today.

[The PIT]

Sunny old Sheffield on 3.9C which will be the final figure. Still the fifth driest on record all depends how much rain we get tonight.

[damianslaw]

Expecting a marked downward adjustment this month, at least 0.3 degrees, possibly 0.4 degrees, even 0.5 degrees, so good chance we may just creep into the 3's. A very near average CET month whatever the finish, had the block to the east pushed further NW by a couple of hundred miles, then a cold CET could have been recorded, nothing major but perhaps enough to knock a degree off what looks like being the finishing mark.

Here it has been rather topsy turvy sort of month temp wise, first week alternating cold and mild days with some decent frost, second week mild to start then cold, third week near average, last week generally cold, and an ice day on the 26 Jan, the weekend gone was colder than predicted as well. Even today only climbed to 8 degrees, hardly very mild.

However, despite some cold conditions, we recorded three days only with snow falling, and nothing lying very dissapointing, more snowless than last Jan even. 

The most notable aspect of the weather has been the dryness, think NW England has only had 50% of average amount. How different this winter is shaping up to be compared to last winter, I've said many a times how extreme wet periods have often been followed by notably dry periods, its been relatively dry since August here now.

 

[NorthYorksWeather]

Finished on 3.2c here, 0.3 below the 1981-2010 average.

[Roger J Smith]

The estimate was 4.45 after 31 days. 

I would expect the adjusted final value to be 4.0 to 4.2. 

[Chris.R]

January here in Crosby finished with the following temperature stats:

Lowest min -3.0°C (5th)

Mean min 3.2°C (+0.8) - 6 air frosts (-1.8)

highest min 7.7°C (7th)

Lowest max 1.5°C (26th)

mean max 7.1°C (-0.1) - 1 double figure max - 5 days  below 5°C - 0 ice days

Highest max 10.2°C (11th)

lowest daily mean 0.2°C (5th)

highest daily mean 8.5°C (7th)

Month mean 5.2°C (+0.5)

1981-2010 averages 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate/gctb66ydw

[The PIT]

Finished at 3.9C -0.3C below average but would be called basically average I would think by the met office. No doubt Johnh would correct me.

Rainfall just 39.3mm 48.5% of average the 6th driest on our records.

[DAVID SNOW]

On ‎01‎/‎02‎/‎2017 at 16:34, Roger J Smith said:

The estimate was 4.45 after 31 days. 

I would expect the adjusted final value to be 4.0 to 4.2. 

I still think we will have a record breaking downward correction this time, at least 0.5 of a degree.

[Roger J Smith]

Yes, I would not be that surprised if they settle on 3.8 or 3.9, but 4.0 or 4.1 seem most likely. Somebody must be on holidays over at Hadleyland. 

[Don]

3 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

Yes, I would not be that surprised if they settle on 3.8 or 3.9, but 4.0 or 4.1 seem most likely. Somebody must be on holidays over at Hadleyland. 

I hope they settle on 3.8

[JeffC]

10 hours ago, Don said:

I hope they settle on 3.8

Me too!!

[Roger J Smith]

Maybe they're afraid of a blast from Trump? 

[Midlands Ice Age]

18 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Maybe they're afraid of a blast from Trump? 

Looking at January's CET, it is now showing 4.8C. Can this possibly be correct?

In other words they are showing a 0.4C UPWARD adjustment.

Perhaps its their plan to thwart Trump?

MIA 

[J10]

On 23/01/2017 at 10:58, Summer Sun said:

4.8 to the 22nd

1.2 above the 61 to 90 average

0.3 above the 81 to 10 average

_____________________________________

Current high this month is 5.3c on the 11th

 

So still saying 4.8c after the 22nd.

[Midlands Ice Age]

24 minutes ago, J10 said:

is still saying 4.8c after the 22nd.

Ok..

Thanks then J10..

Someone must be ill, or possibly on holiday. 

MIA

Edited February 4, 2017 by Midlands Ice Age

[J10]

Perhaps there is a problem with one of the recording sites. Obviously I cannot update any scores until they are confirmed. So bear with us. 

[Dancerwithwings]

On 2/2/2017 at 21:36, Don said:

I hope they settle on 3.8

 

On 2/3/2017 at 08:13, JeffC said:

Me too!!

Me three

[Dami]

I did 4.8

[Chris.R]

I had 1.7! 

[Roger J Smith]

We can have a new January contest where people try to predict the actual final value. Bonus points for saying when that will appear. My entry is 4.0 rounded from 4.02 and appearing Monday 1034z. 

[Matthew.]

Just been reading Two's Jan CET page 12 and somebody gives a interesting theory to possibly why the CET hasn't been updated. Hope there wrong!http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/default.aspx?g=posts&t=17221&p=12