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SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/2017 onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

Well from looking at the radar the storms are moving N/NE and getting pretty close to the south coast. It would seem to me that areas east of London will most likely miss out though on this first batch. Looking pretty lively though so could be thunder and lightning as the band moves up from the channel. 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

I do not quite know how the AROME performs with convection with 06z more emphasis is offshore compared to 00z annoyingly but it shows a region of organised thunderstorms (potential for a MCS) affecting the SE corner, where the most instability is. I'm sure there would certainly be sparks amongst that. If it all goes to waste It's time to find a new hobby. :hi::D 

IMG_2528.thumb.PNG.67955739d77908b300bfadd94eb59847.PNGIMG_2529.thumb.PNG.8bb6cb9de1a0532ad64bcec842739642.PNG

 

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

On the Sussex coast here... looks heavy to the south and west, the planes have got that droning sound to them that you get when it's stormy.

 

is now spitting with rain

 

 

 

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted
32 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Almost pretend I'm on holiday

DSC_0373.thumb.JPG.c753dd948fa9d633b01f1fd2337e4fe8.JPG

Looks nice Surrey :) 

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

In Romford this afternoon for a bbq, gorgeous day with barely a breath of wind. Hoping for some storms later, well after I leave. Looks like 25c will be reached again.

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

Turned very dark very quickly just now and its raining, might get a few rubbles soon from that big blob just south of London.:)

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

No thunder yet but it looks like the first downpour is arriving.

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

It's gone dark and cloudy and warm and there's no breeze and i'm sat like a lemon watching the radar cos washing on the line.:whistling:

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

Chucking it down now, in the mauve on the Met Office radar, no thunder though.

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k66yla Contributor

k66yla

Posted
  • Location: Ashford, Kent.
  • Location: Ashford, Kent.
Posted

Overcast and muggy here. I don't know what to expect weather wise as I've now moved 20 miles east. After spending 20 years in Maidstone I knew what to expect as the most exciting weather came up from the Weald or across the Downs and you could see it coming. Here I guess the Romney Marshes play some sort of part but don't know what...lol

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

Just started to rain a bit. 

whoopie.

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

Just posted this in the convective forum, but will post it here too. 

Seems spot on judging by this afternoons rain. 

But only time will tell.

 

 

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

That big blob of red could do with heading a bit more north say Bedford and get stronger as it does so.

Not like i want any stormy ness you understand.

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

The sun is out now again, the temperature I rising rapidly and the humidity is on the up. That rain was the warm front so we are now in the humid airmass, just a case of hoping it will destabilise spectacularly later.

Btw welcome Blazerblue, best of luck for a good light show later, I had the pleasure of spending the first 8 years of my life in Lowestoft and frequently visit family there.

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Blazerblue Experienced

Blazerblue

Posted
  • Location: Halesworth, Suffolk
  • Location: Halesworth, Suffolk
Posted
40 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

 

Btw welcome Blazerblue, best of luck for a good light show later, I had the pleasure of spending the first 8 years of my life in Lowestoft and frequently visit family there.

Thanks, moved here from west midlands a few years ago, still not used to the winds we get here!

Even though the radar is showing rain coming this way, still disappearing before it gets here, although it is quite dark and cloudy. Fingers crossed we get at least a bit of a storm later tonight. 

 

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cloudsabove Enthusiast

cloudsabove

Posted
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, clouds, aurora
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
Posted

Heavy rain here, and this cloud base:

KFAnderson2017IMG_0623.jpg

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted

I'm not overly confident tbh, Can see it either heading more SW again or end up just a shower or two.

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interested & confused Rising Star

interested & confused

Posted
  • Location: Ashford, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Over 18C please!
  • Location: Ashford, Kent
Posted
3 hours ago, tomp456 said:

Just posted this in the convective forum, but will post it here too. 

Seems spot on judging by this afternoons rain. 

But only time will tell.

 

 

Looks like a lively night on the cards :D we could certainly do with some rain!

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essexweather Enthusiast

essexweather

Posted
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex
Posted (edited)

Evening guys, quick post as the girlfriend is dragging me food shopping :rofl:

Had a good look through the 12Z ECM and latest run of UKMO UKV for tonight and it does indeed show imports reaching the South-East of England from 22Z onwards.

ECM (image below) shows a likely MCS arriving over the home counties around midnight whereas the UKMO shows the rain hitting us but the heaviest precip with thundery activity going up the Dover Straights.

Going to be a long night if you're staying up. All eyes to the radar and lightning maps :D

Edit: Plenty of cape around too according to ECM

maps.png

cape.png

Edited by essexweather
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