Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn

[Weather-history]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Low looks further south west a bit on the 0z? Coldest uppers staying further south and west.

[snowray]

Indeed, snow much further South, more of an undercut.

[northwestsnow]

UKMO 120-

Looks an improvement to me?

Im waiting for steve to give it the green light!!

Edited December 6, 2017 by northwestsnow

[snowray]

Even London gets in on the act!

[SMU]

UKMO following GFS lead... all going SW...

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

UKMO following GFS lead... all going SW...

Fabulous Steve- absolutely fabulous news- big snow event somewhere then!!

[Weather-history]

4 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

UKMO 120-

Looks an improvement to me?

Im waiting for steve to give it the green light!!

[snowray]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Fabulous Steve- absolutely fabulous news- big snow event somewhere then!!

If ever there was an 00z run to stay up for, this was it!

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Weather-history said:

OMG that looks amazing - 

[northwestsnow]

Just now, snowray said:

If ever there was an 00z run to stay up for, this was it!

Well i'm hoping steve puts a post together but its looking really good for some people !! Like SERIOUSLY good!!!

[snowray]

1 minute ago, Weather-history said:

UKMO better start sending a few of them snow symbols that have been absent for so long to the BBC me thinks....

[MattStoke]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Well i'm hoping steve puts a post together but its looking really good for some people !! Like SERIOUSLY good!!!

Might have to re-name this place 'Snow-on-Trent'.

[snowray]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Well i'm hoping steve puts a post together but its looking really good for some people !! Like SERIOUSLY good!!!

I SERIOUSLY think that the Met Office were hoping to avoid this one, could be country wide disruption from snow coming up.

[snowray]

Re-loads possible too!

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Might have to re-name this place 'Snow-on-Trent'.

From a snow potential perspective i think these are the best runs i have seen- for the pennines in particular- crikey we get clobbered thur night as welll!

They both look similar at 96 so this is coming into reliable now.. ok not 100% but the odds are getting shorter on potentially a memorable event-

00z runs are a huge upgrade !! (please EC don't ruin it)

[MattStoke]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

From a snow potential perspective i think these are the best runs i have seen- for the pennines in particular- crikey we get clobbered thur night as welll!

They both look similar at 96 so this is coming into reliable now.. ok not 100% but the odds are getting shorter on potentially a memorable event-

00z runs are a huge upgrade !! (please EC don't ruin it)

I still think it won't be nailed for a few days yet.

I can't even work out if I am under the GFS' Cheshire Gap streamer much of Friday. Appear to be on the north eastern edge of it after an early blast in the morning. Then again, the GFS snow charts are rarely reliable.

[northwestsnow]

Feb blizzard are you looking at the 00z runs? 

Am i dreaming? Looks beyond good Thur night the fun starts!!!

And crewe- think you will do very well tomorrow night too-

Edited December 6, 2017 by northwestsnow

[Bury88]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Feb blizzard are you looking at the 00z runs? 

Am i dreaming? Looks beyond good Thur night the fun starts!!!

And crewe- think you will do very well tomorrow night too-

Complete novice at reading these charts and you are local to me,  do you think bury and Rochdale are going to get a decent amount? 

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Bury88 said:

Complete novice at reading these charts and you are local to me,  do you think bury and Rochdale are going to get a decent amount? 

Look at the GFS00Z snow charts thur night- yes tomorrow

yes if thats right  or anywhere near right yes you will!!

[feb1991blizzard]

5 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Feb blizzard are you looking at the 00z runs? 

Am i dreaming? Looks beyond good Thur night the fun starts!!!

And crewe- think you will do very well tomorrow night too-

Looks awesome for someone, as I said earlier though, if we miss out, we will miss out on the cols side not the mild.

[feb1991blizzard]

Just throw this into the mix as well while its quiet,

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Just throw this into the mix as well while its quiet,

If i were being picky i'm not that keen on ukmo 144...and GFS rapidly goes down hill.

But if we get decent snow events tomorrow night and sunday i really won't care.

I just really hope EC looks similar to the other 2 at 96-120.

 

[northwestsnow]

GEM on board- has corrected south and west overnight!!

[feb1991blizzard]

5 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

If i were being picky i'm not that keen on ukmo 144...and GFS rapidly goes down hill.

But if we get decent snow events tomorrow night and sunday i really won't care.

I just really hope EC looks similar to the other 2 at 96-120.

 

Not holding my breath tomorrow, we are exposed to a WNWerly more than a NWerly so a very limited window of opportunity before PPN dries up, if you remember dec 2010 second cold spell, it was only when wind veered round we got 3 inches, places further West got huge totals, places further south exposed to Cheshire gap are best pick tomorrow.

[northwestsnow]

Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

Not holding my breath tomorrow, we are exposed to a WNWerly more than a NWerly so a very limited window of opportunity before PPN dries up, if you remember dec 2010 second cold spell, it was only when wind veered round we got 3 inches, places further West got huge totals, places further south exposed to Cheshire gap are best pick tomorrow.

I was under the impression wnw was absolutely the best direction for us- i think at minimum we will get a couple of cm...