January 2018 C.E.T. forecasts (with optional precip contest)

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

3.8 c and 35mm

[Summer Sun]

5.7 to the 1st

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

1.2 above the 81 to 10 average

 

[Chris.R]

5.4°C here, 0.5°C above the 1981-2010 average. 

[BornFromTheVoid]

The current 12z GFS has the CET close to 6.0C by the 10th, 1C warmer than the same run yesterday.

[Summer Sun]

6.4 to the 2nd

2.8 above the 61 to 90 average

1.9 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd

[alexisj9]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

6.4 to the 2nd

2.8 above the 61 to 90 average

1.9 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd

I'm not worried, well I am a bit, think I went to warm. Temps will nose div soon and I feel stay on the cool side for a while. Even the gfs isn't warm, just not synoptic winter wonderland.

[NorthYorksWeather]

4.1c here to the 2nd, 0.5c above the 1981-2010 average.

[Roger J Smith]

Tables of entries for temp and precip contests here:

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/75427-cet-competition-the-scores-ongoing/?page=8

65 entries for temps, consensus is 4.4 C

49 entries for precip, consensus is 90 mm.

[J10]

I can't believe I missed this especially as I was doing the scores for this earlier. Probably would have gone 4.0c and 110mm.

[Roger J Smith]

I vote to count your entry, nothing much new to see since midnight and with your efforts scoring in mind, I'm sure nobody would object. Have been giving 3h grace periods to precip forecasts anyway, so will count that one for certain. 

Thank my post if you agree, folks. 

[Summer Sun]

No update from Hadley

Metcheck         6.36c    +2.21c

Netweather      7.1c      + 2.91c

[Summer Sun]

6.4 to the 3rd

2.8 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd & 3rd

[BornFromTheVoid]

There's some data missing from the last few days, so I wouldn't trust the 6.4C on the site completely yet.
With the GFS, the 06z has the CET around the high 4s by day 10, and toward the low to mid 4s by the end of the first 2 weeks, which means close to the 81-10 average. With the MO outlook going for a warm up in the second half of the month, an above average finish currently seems most likely.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 5.9C +1.3C above normal. Rainfall 21mm 25.9% of average. The lack of an major cold being shown in the models at the moment suggest any slight warm with result in easily getting above average. However a long way to go.

Edited January 5, 2018 by The PIT

[Mapantz]

Sat at 9.1°C here lol

[Summer Sun]

5.8 to the 4th

2.2 above the 61 to 90 average

1.4 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd & 3rd

[Chris.R]

5.5°C here, 0.6°C above the 1981-2010 average. 

[NorthYorksWeather]

4.3c here to the 5th, 0.8c above the 1981-2010 average.

 

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 5.4C +0.7C above normal. Rainfall 24.6mm 30.4% of average

[Summer Sun]

5.1 to the 5th

1.4 above the 61 to 90 average

0.7 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd & 3rd

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 4.9C +0.3C above normal.

[Chris.R]

4.9°C here, 0.2°C above the 1981-2010 average. 

 Drops looking like continuing as long as the off-shore wind lasts. 

[Roger J Smith]

I was finally able to post some scoring for the December precip contest, the amount was 113.7 mm and top score goes to Timmytour. The entire scoring can be seen in the scoring thread (see link in my post at the end of the December thread).

[Summer Sun]

4.5 to the 6th

0.9 above the 61 to 90 average

Bang on the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 6.4 to the 2nd & 3rd

[Chris.R]

4.1°C here, 0.6°C below the 1981-2010 average. Today is a sub-zero day mean so far. 

Edited January 8, 2018 by Chris.R