BLAST FROM THE PAST
Members-
Posts
7,642 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
11
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by BLAST FROM THE PAST
-
I’m liking the synoptic development of the 06z a lot….and as crazy as it sounds it’s a run that is pretty much on my money. Timings look pretty good too. Icon and 06z GFS sliding the LP into near continent is how I saw and still see it. Then where the GFS heads to in deep FI….yep I like it and ‘generally’ how I think it will pan out. HP moving north/ NW settling there with troughing to our E /SE = cold to very cold with chances of snow aplenty…..Our winter is arriving it would seem. BFTP
-
So my take on it. ECM and UKMO more on the money (and quite a few GFS ensemble runs). Snow moving S S/E after striking Midlands, Mid Wales Notrth etc as the LP slides into Low Countries. Cold HP to move over the UK from West (cold nights particularly). Then I’m ‘really’ keeping my eye on the developments after that….potentially where even more wintry set up develops. Lots to watch and wait for…but I’m with the UKMO and ECM direction with the shift S of the LP after it hits our shores. BFTP
-
Personally I’m focused beyond Friday, ie from 10-14 Feb inwards….but am watching with interest the developments. Living in the SE I’m not anticipating anything next week, but if my suspicions are correct, there’s some potential serious winter weather to come. Don’t discount that strong anomaly signal for HP to our NW BFTP
-
For me we / I zoned in for 10-14 Feb for the next cold spell to strike (with Scotland/North maybe a touch earlier) before I went skiing last month. I think the latter half of Feb that many places across the board are in with a chance of decent snowfall throughout the rest of the month. I suspect some parts of our islands will get walloped but if anywhere is to miss is the far south/SE on the initial contact….. We shall see how this develops…..an easterly down the line ‘with bite’ imo is not out of the equation. All aboard the rollercoaster. BFTP
-
northwestsnow way too early for MetO to jump in (though I suspect it’s very much on their ‘radar’ of thoughts). However, 10-14 for me on track, Scotland and far north before as was likely. Watch mode now for increasingly wintry synoptics to appear, with the south also in the mix for a ‘proper’ winter episode. BFTP
-
Back from Austria, beautiful week but progressively thaw conditions in resort, plenty of good snow 1570 metres upwards. I posted 10-14 Feb re cold signal/set up prior to leaving, I think that’s still about the right timescale….albeit Scotland and high levels of Northern England could see something v early next week. BFTP
-
BLAST FROM THE PAST Posted Sunday at 17:35 Location: Redhill, Surrey I’ve got a feeling that a HP for mainly the south and near continent is looking to set up shop after the weekend….and dig it’s heels in. Going to wait until Wednesday and see where we are then….as there can be adjustments …but Kaprun for 20-27 is looking HP dominated with chilly nights but mildish sunny days. Still there’s a lovely snowbase in place and a Glacier BFTP So we are at Friday, and to me the HP looks like it will ‘generally’ be in situ as suggested. I suspect we’ll be in a similar place on my return on 27th. Be nice to return to something far more juicy looking, but for now have a good week….I think I might. ECM for 29/1….be interesting to see what it looks like at t48. regards BFTP