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BLAST FROM THE PAST

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Everything posted by BLAST FROM THE PAST

  1. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    South Wales is ‘The South’…..Berkshire is The South, north Surrey is The South….heavy snow BFTP
  2. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    this to This! Come on it’s awesome PROPER snow depths BFTP
  3. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    Very very interesting indeed. Great factual thread this, the ice rebound is a head scratcher. keep it going Dave ….been and is a great read BFTP
  4. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    1. Not getting NE’lies is not a downgrade especially when deep cold is still flooding in. Different parts of the country fair better from different directions. Eg N/Nw or E with cold embedded. 2. Thanks for explaining your viewpoint. you are quantifying a downgrade from ‘some’ runs that were showing cold of an extra-ordinary level. now we can see why you say there’s a downgrade and yes a slight downgrade from ‘them’ runs. Now compared to many runs on the weekend we have been upgraded BFTP
  5. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    The most misleading post of the day and why so many get confused BFTP
  6. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    A snaphot doesn’t always tell a tale Downgrade? Maybe chilly for SE? no, widespread cold…. the point I make is make sure you look at the run, what leads up to that ‘snapshot’ before worrying about a downgrade or upgrade. BFTP
  7. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    The 12 z was a stormer too. Different in deep FI but more or less same cold but different angle. Whets the appetite somewhat BFTP
  8. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    And cold hits before this day 10….so day 10 is BREACHED! BFTP
  9. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    another perfect run…..they slip then come back, the theme has remained. Is this run right….general theme is…suspect a few more tweaks here and there to come. But a good way to say good night BFTP
  10. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    liking this a lot. -8 down eastern side and spreading with a potential NNW/SSE diving low/trough…..and much less influence from SW so should be a better/cleaner N’ly shot…..prolonged cold, deeper cold from north BFTP
  11. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    Not just that, but that westerly inertia is coming but with cold embedded and jet on southerly trajectory…..I think GFS is sniffing this idea looking at individual 12z ensembles BFTP
  12. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    There we go BFTP
  13. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    It’s fine, just at the point now where the cold is embedding and blocking solid. It’ll either slide or the block will exert further. Attack would be a snow machine. For me as I’ve said, many twists to come, even this run hasn’t resolved it….but shows also that there’s no definitive Atlantic breakdown. Indeed this run would highlight Tamara’s re-inforcing post from earlier. Plenty to look forward to….and I think back to Matt Hugo’s post too….blended with my own view….happy as a coldie. BFTP
  14. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    AzLP….feel free to attack from the SW when you are ready BFTP
  15. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    0z 12z look at NW part of Hudson Bay…..that lower anomaly prevents the GHP draining into North America….result a more solid and steady GHP BFTP
  16. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    Why doesn’t the chart archive work? BFTP
  17. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    You forgot 86….Feb 86 was a sub zero month. For those micro analysing the runs upgrade/downgrade etc and how 06z is upgrade. Very cold, dry and complete collapse in deep FI with no cold come back BFTP
  18. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    Exactly that, BFTP
  19. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    The theme remains generally. There’s no upgrade or downgrade at day 8+, just variations. Like I said last week, we won’t resolve the detail for midmonth until into next week BFTP
  20. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    No just another slight variation on the theme. Bitterly cold following with heavy snow for the south. Hell of a run….again BFTP
  21. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    Not Met Office anymore….. BFTP
  22. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    My concern is my flight to Salzburg for my ski trip to Kaprun 20/1/24. BFTP
  23. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    As you know I pm’d you way back in Dec that I anticipated a SSW early Jan ….for me it’s here and happening. I don’t think Cohen is talking about the end of winter is nigh on over here. I’ll stick to my gins, deep cold landing point 14-16 Jan…..bonus with initial thrust for S/SE in t48 hrs….but that will ease….main thrust remains 14-16. This strat warming has/is imo currently being underplayed and will have a big knock on effect. Don’t expect ‘continuous’ deep cold….but
  24. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    GHP re-invigorating….now this is the run of the year……severe cold embedded BFTP
  25. BLAST FROM THE PAST
    That is serious cold weather BFTP
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