Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Dami]

I had a video call with friends and when i came off that, those lovely looking growing cells *gone*

[Zak M]

Some massive cloud has just appeared to my NW.

Looks like a mothership.

[Allseasons-Si]

Sferic in Brummy

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Had a shower earlier, but it just didn’t have that punch in it to electrify. A strange day where it’s been so close yet so far with convection. Wrong side of marginal sums it up! 

[Zak M]

16 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Some massive cloud has just appeared to my NW.

Looks like a mothership.

Found out that cloud was the shower to the north of Northampton. I have my camera already recording that cloud because I have a feeling if it does produce any lightning there will only be one strike!

[Allseasons-Si]

I was tracking that Brummy cell earlier and on the 4th photo you can see it smudging out on the tops,this is when it started dropping PPN

another pileus cloud again off the Leicester cell/s

No storms but some nice clouds to take advantage of

Edited May 8, 2020 by Allseasons-si

[Arnie Pie]

wow what just happened in the last hour.....cell and a half just developed out of know where, just behind me to my East......a lightning strike was recorded on the radar.... which i never heard but will go through my video recording later to see if i`ve caught something apart from a rainbow

 

[Zak M]

I can just make out the anvil of the Birmingham cell.

[James1979]

Looks like Estofex were correct in the end sadly.  Been a wonderful day for cloud spotting, got some great photos and time lapses today and it looked so close to those clouds producing something but just fell short. 

[viking_smb]

Whats the potential tomorrow daytime and night hours? 

[Zak M]

Oooo, looks like I may be in for one last chance here! Towering cumulus to my east along with a radar return.

[Chris Lea-Alex]

3 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

......lightning is still possible but I wouldn’t be surprised if the total number from today is only in single figures

Incorrect, Flash!

 

[Allseasons-Si]

1 hour ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Had a shower earlier, but it just didn’t have that punch in it to electrify. A strange day where it’s been so close yet so far with convection. Wrong side of marginal sums it up! 

I really thought that you was going to get a storm earlier,better chances for you and me tomorrow,hopefully.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

34 minutes ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

Incorrect, Flash!

 

shimmery moonlight I put 400 quid on that

[weatherobsuk]

A chance for the NW/North tomorrow due to a convergence passing over which will help initiate lifting over the Pennines and Yorks Moors, only a 25% risk locally for now but i'll take it over nothing.

[AMeltedFlake]

Main risk areas tomorrow?

[staplehurst]

3 minutes ago, AMeltedFlake said:

Main risk areas tomorrow?

Wales, N + W Midlands, NE England, Cumbria and more of Ireland

[viking_smb]

what about night hours?

[AMeltedFlake]

1 minute ago, staplehurst said:

Wales, N + W Midlands, NE England, Cumbria and more of Ireland

Thank you, I'm Wales/West Midlands, so fingers crossed

[Allseasons-Si]

13 minutes ago, AMeltedFlake said:

Main risk areas tomorrow?

BBC's take on it

METO's take on it.

i would like the METO's take on it

Edited May 8, 2020 by Allseasons-si

[Zak M]

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

BBC's take on it

METO's take on it.

Not looking good here in Bedford so my only hope would be some distant light shows to my W/NW.

[AMeltedFlake]

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

BBC's take on it

METO's take on it.

Thank you, just seen Convective Weathers post for tomorrow, and I was surprised not to see any green! But they may do when confidence improves

[Allseasons-Si]

4 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Not looking good here in Bedford so my only hope would be some distant light shows to my W/NW.

Things can and do change,i think we will just have to wait and see how tomorrow pans out.

Edited May 8, 2020 by Allseasons-si

[Zak M]

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SAT 09 MAY 2020

Valid: Saturday 09 May 00z - Sunday 10 May 00z

Heavy showers are expected to develop once again over parts of W England, Wales, N England, Ireland and perhaps the odd one in Scotland. These showers will be driven once again by diurnal heating. 200-700j/kg CAPE will be present, which will be enough to support some heavy showers and perhaps with the odd lightning strike. A strong cap might restrict the cloud depth, meaning that how much lightning is produced in some areas is questionable.

On Saturday night, some elevated showers/thunderstorms will drift up from N France, coming to a halt near the Channel Islands and just off the coast of N France. The amount of lightning being produced in these elevated heavy showers once again will be questionable. A moderate risk may be issued to some areas, but because Friday doesn't see much changes to Saturday, it is unlikely at this stage.

Edited May 8, 2020 by Zak M

[James1979]

Got a little reminiscent tonight of one of my best captures (from film here) of lightning over the years - this was back in Essex a good few years ago now, a little shower popped up from nowhere and suddenly got all electrical on me.  A rainbow across the sky and then lighting to boot all in one was the gift.