Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024

[Sparkiee storm]

Cell developing over Bristol.

[Cain]

Hopefully the one near Bristol will be the start of things kicking off 

[Supacell]

I normally use the AROME as my main go to and then see how other high res models compare.

I'll be heading out shortly. There are two focus areas for me from looking at the charts available. N. Wales into the NW of England and the West Midlands pushing up the Western side of the Peak District. Due to where I live I'll be concentrating on the Midlands possibilities. Hopefully it comes off as planned.

[Reefseeker]

 LetItSnow! Same here in Surbiton, where it's very hot when the sun is out - quite frequently - and the skies have had that stormy look to them since this morning. I mentioned to Eagle Eye, if we're too far east for the main storms, maybe the French ones can pick up some energy in our area.... if they make it this far west...

[Scuba steve]

Popped into the Irish region thread expecting some posts and the last post was March 28th

[Cain]

Bristol cell has electrified by seems of it on blitz map 

[Lynxus]

 Cain yeah. Suprising how quick it appeared and now thunder from it.

Skies here went from crystal clear to CU everywhere within 30 mins

[Biggin]

Anyone got the steering winds ?

[Cain]

 Lynxus I’ll probably see it from my area as I got high elevation so will be keeping an eye hopefully something will develop closer to me 

[Eagle Eye]

 Reefseeker

Latest runs keeping the storms right along the French coast. A few showers overnight but they look weak and rather unthreatening so I don't think we'll see anything at all unfortunately. 

[Josh Rubio]

Here’s my view in Leicester. Can see towers bubbling up in the distance, approaching here. 

[Mapantz]

 Biggin

700hPa wind vectors

[MikeUpjohn]

Heading out chasing from Macclesfield in the next 20 mins. Targeting South of Chester

[Alderc 2.0]

Storms over northern France farting out nearly 500 strikes per min. 

[WeatherArc]

Some lovely bubbling cumulus just south of Birmingham, tell tale signs of the cap weakening, keeping an eye on that Bristol cell. Further development looking likely.

 

[lottiekent]

Well as we’re not a warning here in the SE I’ll expect the mother of all storms later. Never seem to do well if in a warning area at the moment.

Up to 25.7c despite MO only predicting 21c

[Cain]

Just about seeing the tops of the cell near Chepstow from my area but keeping an eye on the ones near mine head as well 

[Turquoise]

more cells now developing now south of Cardiff, can see explosive development starting to initiate to my south west from Cheshire, towering cumulus. All of this should organise into big storms and gradually move NNE

[Cheshire Freeze]

 Turquoise You just know we’ll go through the gap between the Wales and Midlands MCS. Calling it now!

[Karl83]

Currently under the M48 and have thunder and lightning

[DeepSnow]

Some stormy looking clouds bubbling up here now coming off the Bristol Channel, those north of us will probably get some storms once they build more.

[Turquoise]

 Cheshire Freeze more than likely, might be ok for a distant lightning display especially if they persist after dark which the models seem to suggest could...

[Cain]

 DeepSnow hopefully the kick off soon an not when they move to far away 

[DeepSnow]

 Cain Most definately will for me, they always build up over me or near me then go boom once too far north of me

[Cain]

 DeepSnow yeah same even though I’m on like 40mins up the road from you 

Might hear some rumbles from the one Near Chepstow way as it’s just across the valley from me