kev238
-
Posts
503 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by kev238
-
-
As far as I can tell, the snow potential really increases from Tuesday onwards. Anything before, should be considered a bonus unless you are right on the East coast.
In Nottingham we have had bits and pieces of snow over the past few weeks- I expect more if the models verify correctly especially if we do get winds of an easterly or ENE direction as suggested by some of the models.
-
Snow in Nottingham- unexpected at this stage. I am starting to get the feeling that this week is going to be a classi on the Eastern side of the Midlands- might be wrong-- just a gut feeling!
-
Beautiful small snowflakes floating in the sky in Nottingham. It will look pretty in the morning!
-
I think the outline for the next five days or so is clear. However, the specific detail is likely to vary. GFS brings more precipitation down tomorrow afternoon/ evening. Will it be correct?
Anyhow, if this morning is any indication then just look out of your windows--- how can anyone not enjoy sparkling sunshine and glistening frost on the ground??!!
-
Great output-- it is going to be chilly!!!!
I think there will be some unexpected surprises next week once we pull in the North East flow-- and the good things is with temperatures likely to be frigid for at least 10 days anything that falls from the sky is not going to go very far once on the ground.It doesn't take inches of snow to transform a landscape and make it look beautiful!
-
If you look at the warnings for some parts of the Midlands they are actually valid from 4pm until 3am. Well, I make it 1 hour into the warning period for many. Surely the warning is of as time period where something should happen. The warning does not mean continuous snowfall from 4pm to 3am- more a window of opporunity. If at 3am there is nothing lying on the ground then start the post mortems.
-
The Met Office last Sunday put up a warning for sleet and snow for Monday in a very specific area (Hampshire up to the Wash etc). The GFS didnt show this at all even at 24 hours. It pays to go with the human input when it comes to local scale features.
-
Well I think the best thing to do it keep a close eye on the bbc forecasts and also on the met office site. If GFS does turn out correct, then the real story will not be one of snow but of pretty serious floods.
-
I dont have a clue what it is going to happen next week. I am in Nottingham and so might be far enough North but then again possibly too far East to get snowfall with warmer temperatures etc spilling in from the North Sea. Then again, precipitation may not reach this far. Who knows. On the face of it, temperatures look to high on gfs tonight to support snow without altitude anyhow!
-
I think many people from the West Midlands/ South Wales area would probably take short term gain over long term ambition at the moment with regards to snowfall seeing as they have had precious little from this cold spell. Certainly where I am at the moment for Christmas (gloucester) would benefit from this short term thinking. It is easy to talk about the long term when your area has had snowfall on the ground and ice days etc but for areas where this has not been the case you can understand the view of take what you can for the short term and leave the long term as just that!
-
After days of model confusion, I feel there is a broad pattern emerging. Remaining cold in the North, becoming very wet and a touch milder from the Midlands Southwards up until the 30th or so, then a battle being drawn somewhere across the UK with the cold air winning (probably). After that, it is all up for grabs. I think it is impossibe to suggest where battle lines are drawn at this stage but somewhere next week will more than likely get a lot of snow!
-
It just goes to show that you should never give up hope on snow. Here in Nottingham, it has been snowing hard for about 45 minutes or so. Nowhere in any forecast was this suggested although I thought we might get a flurry of some description. Infact, it has been the best snowfall of the entire cold snap (not that difficult in this area as seemed to miss everything else!)
-
Unexpected snowfall is always the best-- woke up to a forecast of a wintry mix-- logged onto met office site and saw severe warning at 3pm-- white all over with heavy snow at 6pm-- completely wasnt expecting it and conditions are already far worse than the Winter Storm in Nottingham city!
-
nottingham-- we have dne pretty well out of this so far although not quite as well as places south of Leicester- between leicester and luton seem to have far more!
-
I am fairly hopeful for another interesting rush hour journey to work on monday and then I think there are signs of something interesting occuring on Monday night into Tuesday- the BBC have hinted at this in latest forecasts although uncertainty about where the Northern edge of the precipitation will be
-
What do people think about the chances for tomorrow- late afternoon evening onwards? The BBC to me are playing a bit cagey- I am unsure-- I feel we will get some snow but ti might be of the wet variety and struggle to lay unless it is heavy enough!
-
4 inches of fresh snow here in North Nottingham city- still falling and on top of quite a good base on grass and shady surfaces!
I am ready to say this is the best spell of winter weathr since I have been in Nottingham (1998) and prob the best snow week I have experienced since 1991 although it does not beat that (I was in Gloucester then!)
Chaos on the roads/ schools/ everything seems much worse today than on Monday!
-
I think Nottingham will do quite well out of this- all of the computer generated forecasts based on GFS say sleet but the BBC is specifically mentioning Birmingham through to Nottingham as being badly effected in the rush hour- I am unsure about amounts-- prob 5cm or so in urban areas and a whole heap more in hillier rural areas- what I am unclear about is what will happen during Thursday afternoon/ evening/ night-- will there be a big thaw as rain/sleet/ snow moves through!?7
On Monday the GFS was progging sleet on its metcheck forecasts for Nottingham for the Monday afternoon forecast and we got plenty of snow through to 9pm when it fizzled out- I think it automatically looks at where the -5 line is and concluded not snow although I may be wrong with this!??
I would have thought at this stage you ahve to trust what the forecasts show on TV alhtough there could be another correction North or Southwards at very short notice although there is very little sign of the latter in the last 24 hours!
-
look at the radar and you can clearly see snow fall to the north east of Nottingham-namely Newark way. Should make it here a a lighter version and then maybe begin to give Nottingham a covering much earlier than expected!
-
I am going to go for 10-15 cm for Nottingham- we seem to be in prime position this time
-
massive storm just clearing nottingham centre
still pouring with rain but thunder and lightning have subsided
an exciting end to the working week!
-
hey there.. bitterly cold in nottingham.. temperature has not got abive -2 all day slap bang in the city centre... dropping back now and in the last hour very fine snow grains/ ice pellets leaving an icy covering everywhere on top of the two inches of snow that is frozen solid... an awesome day and far above anything i was expecting at the start of the week
-
it gives me great pleasure to report snow in gloucester!! not really settling but nice to see it on the big day itself!
General Model Output Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Mainly dry for most areas away from coastal strips etc today and Monday. Tuesday- Wednesday- snow showers or longer spells of snow for many areas. Thursday and Friday- showers concentrating on the Eastern side of the UK would be my take for the weather of the next week.
Looking at the models most places should at least get a covering with the focus always being on Eastern areas for the largest accumulations.