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recklessabandon

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Posts posted by recklessabandon

    Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

    Human input into man made pollution into the atmosphere is 11% of 0.4% (all damaging current pollution/damage) that's the real figures. 

    Will try and find the video which was quite brief so doable 

    Except that's misrepresenting the problem. Global CO2 is more than 30pc higher than has ever been the known case on earth (and still rising), and certainly in the last million years, and it all started when we industrialised. 

    image.thumb.png.1697df9abe24c552f6653fc0f3ddc021.png

     

    • Like 3

    Drought Watch

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 hours ago, minus10 said:

    Incredible picture from Copernicus yesterday of the uk..clearly showing the green nw and brown se, although the brown stretching up into eastern scotland too..

    FZ3P7aeXwAMaWlo.thumb.jpeg.c76519f33b5ad7b2ad39030c9833c20e.jpeg

    interesting that you can see a 'finger' arcing north east through Northumberland; that is the Fell Sandstone which is a Principal Aquifer - the last of the water!

    • Like 2

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, mb018538 said:

    That won't happen....extreme plumes reaching this far north are always unstable and only last 1-2 days before breaking down. There isn't really a mechanism that can funnel 20c+ 850 air into the UK for 2 weeks from that far south whilst being stable. Always needs some sort of troughing out to our west to advect the air - like we've seen the last couple of days. These always collapse away.

    that only holds true if the typical upper air temps remain constant - which they aren't  - there is enough evidence to show they're rising....back in the 1980s i remember it all being about 'hot plumes from africa', then it was 'hot plumes from spain'....now its 'hot plumes from france'.....point being the climate zones are moving north on our half of the globe and those upper air temps are rising with it.

     

    • Like 3

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, PaulWK1972 said:

    Durham AWS now sitting at 36.0c.

    We'll see how the official obvs compare to that tomorrow,

    But as Durham Weather said already, the record has been obliterated. It's been smashed out of sight. 

    ^^same thoughts as i have just posted on.....its not been an incremental breaking of a record, its been kicked out the park.

    • Like 1

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Typhoon John said:

    Weather station reporting 35.9c so that's +3c on old record and more to come.

    On two days of remarkable stories, yes it is IMBY, but the records in the North-east haven't just been beaten by a half degree or 1 degree....they've been smashed by several degrees....and still climbing...for the coldest part of England this is a real shock.

    • Like 1

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by recklessabandon

    29 minutes ago, PaulWK1972 said:

    Nearest ones would be Durham University and Copley (though it's on high ground).

    I do think that readings from Airports would count though?

    Teesside Airport is very close to Darlington.

    Loftus in Cleveland leading in the NE....nearly 35C there now....

     

    • Like 1

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Evening thunder said:

    Yeah, in some ways I've been slightly surprised that some northern locations didn't have higher records than they do(did), due to a long land track available in the right set up, but now they will... records going to be smashed by a huge margin.

    what got very little press yesterday is that Newcastle ended up nearly 4C higher than modelled, largely due to the land track from the south - ironically despite the larger heat pool to the south today, there is some coastal modification showing so yes i think the record will go again, but not be yesterdays margins. somewhere in the southern parts of the north east like darlington or durham could really be in for a roasting though as the heat is funnelled from the vale of york...

     

    • Like 2

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Evening thunder said:

    I've noticed how this heatwave is most remarkable for more central-northern areas of England compared to averages and historical records.

    Here we had just one day above 30C yesterday, which compares to 9 out of 11 (and 11 in a row above 29C) in 1976. Parts of the SW, towards north/West Devon and into Cornwall broke their record yesterday, but also down to Plymouth. The Exeter area must be one of the few parts of the country left where the record is still from nearly 50 years ago (33.5C in 1976).

    And also that before 2015, this used to be the July record (and nearly was until 2019). Now we're going about 4C higher, after going 2.2C higher in 2019..

    and what is really crackers about that is on the current trajectory Newcastle is going to now have a higher record temperature than Exeter....

    • Like 2

    Temperature Record Monitor Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, TropicThunder said:

    I don't understand why there are so few official stations. Surely as a minimum every major town and city should have one.

    With only a select few stations in each area it doesn't feel like we get a true picture. I expect over the course of yesterday and today there will be many high temperatures hit that just don't get recorded.

    relics of the days when the MetO was a military organisation; i.e the stations are generally still only in places that were WWII air bases....example is this county of Northumberland, a huge area by UK standards, but there are only four stations; two around Newcastle Airport and two at RAF Boulmer, hardly representative though as the Airport is next to the city and Boulmer is on the freezing north sea beach! 

    • Like 2

    Summer 2022 Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by recklessabandon

    Boulmer on the Northumberland coast already a whisker (1C) at 11am from breaking it's August 1990 (all time) record of 28C ........wont excite those who like a headline, but to have temperatures like this when the sea is only 13C is quite remarkable...

    • Like 2

    Storm Arwen

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Destruction widespread overnight here on the Northumberland coast, roof damage to our house, trees down, cars damaged by debris, power cables popping etc etc 98mph was officially recorded closeby at brizelee nr alnwick, be interesting to see when the Boulmer and amble reports come in if there are 'upgrades'.....twas a long night.

    • Like 6
    • Thanks 1

    Storm Arwen

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by recklessabandon
    Updated

    29 minutes ago, Kiwi said:

    Good luck with your roof and I hope that the water doesn't cause too much damage!

    Thanks...the wind direction is a major factor as well as strength....most farms and villages in this area are designed to resist westerly influences, so we are really exposed to northerly winds - particularly tonight.

     

    Now into the realms of exploding power lines..

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
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