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Everything posted by iowpompeylee
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bit of the old model fatigue about tonight in here. We’ve all been there. Pub run coming up! Let’s hope for a decent run ?? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you can’t enjoy this period of model watching you never will, most of the time it’s zonal gloom! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Absolutely the Ukmo and mogreps are 2 heavyweights we want on our team in this situation -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very highly rated are the MOGREPS. We would be foolish to write it off. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I prefer it, and your right it should be most accurate. Also have to say having a majority of mogreps stamps pointing towards cold on Xmas day, which they weren’t yesterday. I’m thinking this isn’t over yet!!! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great post! In Ukmo we trust ?????? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If I could hand pick a model to be onboard it’s the Ukmo,this isn’t over yet! History will tell us this will turn again later/tomorrow I think I will….. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You’d take it this time though. ?? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the 12z Ukmo for the south isn’t that bad. Gives us all easterlies by Xmas day night! I will take that -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly as I said earlier regarding the Ukmo, getting much colder Xmas day in the south. Looks to be the form horse! I will take that… could be a very seasonal Boxing Day for a few -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I like the this….. I like this a lot -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Going by my area… the Deep South coast. Looks to be chilly Xmas day, but the s/sw wind will switch to e/ne wind through the day and feeling bitterly cold Xmas evening! Looks to be the form horse at the minute! ?? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is great model watching, lots still on the table! Anyone who is a regular in here will know this happens during 99% of cold spells, this will change again!!! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is a very difficult situation to read, forecasters are scratching their heads even for a Christmas forecast. This is a rollercoaster! I’d much rather be on this than mild zonal. Signs are v good! Get the cold in first and the rest will follow! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If I had to bet my life on 2 models, it would be the ECM and the UKMO….. I wouldn’t survive every time…. But more often than not -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This chart makes me want to get more provisions for the festive period -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The holy grail for us south coasters -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I had done that too, until today -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would love to have the mogreps on board, this is a slight concern! Plenty of twists and turns yet….. enjoying it as we speak -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’s more like it, this is shifting more south! Please let it continue along this line -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What’s the betting the ECM is a stinker…… -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Me being picky and a romantic, would love this to shift south a bit more for a real seasonal Xmas -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If anybody knows me whatever I see bet on the opposite ?? -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
iowpompeylee replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyone with a nervous disposition I recommend a night off model watching tonight, I can sense which way this is going!