[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Very benign Autumn morning, mist/shallow fog alternating with clear sky, 5.7c .

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Quite an odd day with lightbulb / hazy sun throughout, no blue sky and no cloud thicker than the 100% coverage of Cirrus. Maximum of 12.8c .

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Lovely to see the first frost since April, 0.6c at present with a pretty sunrise due to Cirrus.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

I am always relieved when the first evening after the clocks change is clear as it prevents darkness descending by 4pm!

Less good is how we lose sunlight from the garden day by day due to the neighbours house and tree, it makes drying washing an airers moving challenge lol.

Temperature dropping now, 10.9c after being 13.0c less than an hour ago.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

13 hours ago, MP-R said:

Another grotty day for the bin. Need that cold front to move through asap.

Through here before dawn and a perfect sunny morning! No fresher though!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

We've had some decent sunny spells between the gloomy Stratocumulus, quite hazy though with a lot of high cloud too, I think being near high ground as well as there being a strong wind is helping to break the cloud up, the temperature has responded with 17.9c the maximum.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

That unexpected moment when you go outside at nearly 22.00, after a thoroughly dismal day, with a grim forecast for the next morning, and the stars are shining!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

When LOWs pass to our North we always get stronger NW winds on the back end on a bright, showery day. It also happened in early June.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

56 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

Mapantz... yep even though I am probably far more inland than you.. I know what you mean. I could hear a racket of what sounded like wind rushing through trees in the distance but no winds near the house. I’m fairly elevated over newbury so you do tend to get the winds. It almost felt like being sheltered.  I just thought it was me imagining I could hear it all. But it did cross my mind for one fleeting point .. could it be at a higher altitude.. 

Quiet as anything here now. Got to go and sort my friends horses out in a mo so I’ll have a look. It could well be we just were sheltered from a unique direction of the wind! 

If you hear gusts nearby but not directly over your location they could be associated with a shower passing through that location.

Equally we live right under the Western edge of Salisbury Plain and often hear wind gusting, even howling, on the hills.

So many plausible explanations!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

16mm this morning, the wettest spell for quite a while . Did any predictions have the rain from the South being far enough West to virtually merge with the Atlantic front!?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Torrential rain in the last half hour after drizzle and showers earlier, to think the Countryfile forecast had the Atlantic fronts over this part of the region first thing this morning, instead we have a deluge from the South!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

I thought my eyes were deceiving me earlier but something of a repeat of yesterday, Mapantz confirms it, perhaps worse towards the South coast though.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

As Mike stated earlier it has cleared right up this afternoon with a subtle change in wind direction.

Said wind is gusting at the strongest so far today and although still warm at 17.7c it's noticeably fresher than this morning.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

It's gone like an eclipse now AJ with low cloud racing SW to NE beneath the 'dust' so no sun visible now , a yellowy orange glow and like twilight.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

I am assuming the orangey sun is due to Saharan sand / dust which I read last week might be pulled up by Ophelia.

The earlier sharp showers have left a sandy dusty residue everywhere.

[Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards]

What's with the thundery activity in Devon/ Cornwall!?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

We have been to Longleat and I was able to watch the Stratocumulus thin, break and burn off over the period of an hour to leave mostly blue sky and scattered small cumulus. 

Our boy went to sleep so we sat in the sun for 45 minutes, we both have reddened right cheeks and right arms!!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Very similar here with cloud persisting until sunset when it suddenly disappeared, therefore it's cooling off a little now with a heavy dew likely. I would love to have known how warm it could have got considering it reached 19c anyway.

Monday could truly be a very weird day with Southerly gales developing along with a lot of warm sunshine, wonder if it could be a record breaking fast drying washing day!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

This morning's grim drizzliness has burned off to a mostly sunny and warm/breezy afternoon, temperature is rising at 19.6c!!

[Model Moans, Ramps and Banter]

I totally agree that it is way too soon to be concerned. As a thought on this matter ; if the pattern that occurred for a lot of August into September had been in winter it would have been a decent one.

[Model Output Discussion 01/09/17]

1 hour ago, Man With Beard said:

Remarkable to see 19C or more right through the country in the second half of September. The ex-tropical storm acting as the perfect catalyst to waft the warmth northwards.

ECM was bang on the money for this one (if it turns out as currently modelled), and now the GFS/UKMO have followed.

Ophelia looking a bit more likely to be an Ireland affair (though still low confidence) - however, the latest ECM clusters show stormy weather likely to get to the UK mainland by next Wednesday - all clusters going pretty much the same way on that:

Or even in the second half of October!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

The first light sky over Salisbury Plain looks promising with broken cloud. It is drizzling, calm and muggy at 13.1c, assuming we're in a warm sector then.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

1 hour ago, Dorsetbred said:

So near, but so far away, with today's peak of 19.9°C at: 14:42, and a meager 0.2mm of rainfall..

 

Funny how a cold front with NW flow behind has resulted in such a warm day!

17.6c max here.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

And now this!! Hopefully the shepherds delight will happen tomorrow!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

34 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

1st October and the temperature is rising at sunset , we haven't seen any brightness all day though. 

17.2c and drizzling.

Within 10 minutes the sky lit up as the sun appeared as it was lowering and we now have mostly clear sky, so I assume a front has gone through.