jukebox

I would'nt pay much attention to the BBC 5 dayers mate. Quite often they dont call the weather for the present day correct let alone 5 days out About as much use as Metcheck imo.

100% chance of you seeing snow but about a <50% chance of it sticking If it does snow and settle it may produce some travel disruption for the evening but it will turn to rain/melt any snow as the warmer sector pushes through. Be a night for fraggling at the streetlights and maybe popping a bag of the white stuff in the freezer till next year as at the moment things dont look to good for a renewed cold spell in the forseeable

Latest NAE brings snow risk to a larger part of the midlands West mids, Staffs,Stoke,Derby etc look more favourable for abit of snow but I would suspect those with a bit of elevation or those who can get the heavier bursts and some evaporative cooling will do ok ?? Dew points look a bit marginal to me but as this chart is for 6pm then temps should start falling as evening falls so this could spring a surprise or two

Wednesday afternoon may get interesting again for some parts of our region

Good morning all. Looks like the met have got some of our parts in for a bit of snow tonight Risk of disruptionWarningValidWest Midlands: Shropshire Staffordshire Stoke-on-Trent Telford + WrekinWidespread Icy Roads & Heavy SnowSun 31 JanThere is a moderate risk of a severe weather event affecting Northern Ireland and parts of Wales, Southwest England, the West Midlands and Northwest England. Sleet and snow showers developing overnight Saturday into Sunday may bring accumulations of snow, especially over higher ground, and lead to widespread ice on untreated roads and pavements. Issued at: 1103 Sat 30 Jan though I'll believe that when I see it Although the most recent NAE shows this for tomorrow So in short maybe a few lucky people may see a bit of snow overnight and into tomorrow morning though I would'nt expect to much accumulation just some nice beefy showers.

Apparently my friend you are very wrong Care to share your source of information because all weather forecasts national and regional forecast snow. also most if not all of the models do to?? Not sure on depths but you WILL see snow tonight. As I mentioned earlier it was never forecast to get here till around midnight anyway so its a bit foolish to write it off yet mate.

LOL. That m***** era chuff, I remember a few years back on here and over on TWO that one certain individual used to bang that drum so loud and I used to love reading people ripping em to shreds but they always stood firm . I cant remember the name of the person but it would be interesting to hear there stance now ??

Good to have you on board mate. Anyweather mentioned earlier that there could be quite a bit of intesification tonight so I,m hoping for a bit more but either way it,ll probably all be gone by tomorrow night

Latest NAE pushes the precip further east so I,d imagine that we should all see something out of it though looks like turning to rain later tomorrow so if you get any enjoy it cause it wont be around much longer I feel and the longer term outlook at the moment aint great

Will you be participating in a spot of fraggling tonight sir????????

Good post that man This was never progged to get here before midnight anyway so why all the doom and gloom?????????????? Give it a chance to get here at least before writing it off. And why is that people always have a FEELING about something but are proved wrong at the end of the event?? At least try and post a chart as to explain why you think something is going wrong and then people can learn as to why you think that before jumping on the wrist slitting band wagon

Best to think that way mate then anything is a bonus lol I'll make sure I get you some pictures then mate lol. I believe that the NAE is a higher res than other models and its faired pretty well so far. Like I said earlier though theres still time for upgrade or downgrade and if it intensifies over the sea then it could be the holy grail for us. Think we,ll have a better idea tomorrow but these situations are what favour our area most without a shadow of a doubt

For some reason I dont find those charts on accumulation that accurate ? Could go either way but the fact is it starts falling at night so should stick but theres still time for it to go titticus verticus. Last nights snow was only a weak affair really but it went from wet crappy sleety rain in the day to half decent snow during the night with decent recoverings for some.. Dont think we can be sure at the moment about amounts but the potential is there definately. LOL The potential seems to be getting better mate but if we do get any accumulation then from what I read at lunchtime then you should be expected to walk all the way to Cannock to school young man lol

And to finish the run this little beauty to whet the appettite

Latest NAE projections look like a good upgrade to my eye compared to the last output....................... More of the region looks like joining in the fun but its totally at odds with the latest bbc forecast.. Which one will win or backdown this time after yesterdays fiasco?? My moneys on the Nae for now................

Evening all. Tomorrow looks very interesting for our neck of the woods especially the western side I mentioned last night that the models were all over the place and that they should upgrade and bring the low further N/E and today our wishes have been answered I think around midnight tomorrow night the western side of the region should start seeing something ,possibly sleety to start with, before spreading to a good part of the region by the morning. The western and south west parts of the region will do the best out of this situation if it pans out as progged at the moment but theres still time for things to change..... These are the type of scenarios that bring us the best snow events in this region and if the front can make a little more inroads and sustain its intensity then there is every chance that this COULD be the main snow event of the season for some!! I would'nt like to put a depth of snow guess forwards, as for last nights event when I mentioned some places could get about 3" it was stated that that I was to optomistic lol If you take a look here http://www.sat24.com/ then you can see the atlantic system trundling along but also a westerly flow on the continent. Let the battleground commence

These are the best snow situations for our area in general when we get attacked by moist air from the west and it collides with cold air already established and gives us a severe dumping. But as has been mentioned its definately one to be watched as it could very easily upgrade or downgrade. More runs needed methinks .

The way the models have performed recently then you'd be a fool to write it off just yet ! On the countryfile forecast it was mentioned that the band would just stop and sit there before being stretched and veering off into two opposite directions. I think at least 12 hours maybe even 6 hours before the event before we know for sure mate. If the precip is heavy enough then im sure that the cold already in situ coupled with evap cooling would ensure that somewhere gets a pasting if it can make it?

Just another 150 or so more miles more north west and then for the front to stall for a few hours and bingo was his namo That COULD bring copious amounts of snow.....

Light snow here stil,l but as the temp has dropped cars have a light covering now in fact just looked again and paths and main road are patchily covered countryfile weather now .

I,m sure this was showing rain midweek aswell when we had the snow! I find it hard to believe as Coleshill has got a fair bit of elevation I think and where the met office recording station is its very open to the extremeties... very strange..

Not at the moment its not but if it continues then later when temps drop it will stick more readily. Admittedly it probably wont amount to a massive amount but beggars cant be choosers and over the last few years we'd have given an arm or a leg for these conditions.

Yes but people are having light to moderate snow and nothing is showing on the radar! Also I believe that some down south are getting a pounding from the snow and again nothing on the radar! Radar,s no good better off just looking up and seeing whats falling

I still think some of us will do ok from this later. Maybe not as much as was thought yesterday but still time for some pleasant surprises later. Does anyone know whats actually caused the situation to be so marginal today ? Warm sector, high 850,s etc ?????