egret
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Posts posted by egret
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Strange this morning - radar showed a band of fairly heavy rain passing westwards past us but we got virtually no rain, maybe we were just to the N of it. Has it caught you Mapantz?
Perhaps it is coastal advection cloud running along the Ridgeway.
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I like Pauls example above as it amalgamates areas into easier to handle 'lumps'
I'm not speaking from a moderators point of view but from my own.
The thing about the UK weather is we mostly get it second hand from another UK region.
Today for example we might be expecting some convective (albeit a low chance) activity from the SW heading East.
Surrey would be well placed if he chose to, to report and repost between areas 4-5 thus preventing me having to constantly
switch between regions to find out what's coming. Ok that's a bit of a simplistic view but much better than having to run all over the forum
for information.
Just my 2p's worth!
If I think weather is coming from an adjacent region, I simply take a peek at the posts in that region - simples and saves having to suddenly change your favourites bookmark just because it has become busy and you have been abitrarily moved into a different area!
Also think the SW area goes too far N, we regularly note that weather changes N of the M4 so an overlap between S and N similar to that between (southern) E and W might be sensible.
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not sure i agree with this
been doing the local fax updates for the south east for ages
not going into the mod thread or the storm thread as would be accused of imby posts
i think the south east thread is quieter than normal but certainly not dead
a shame this was done so sudden but its your site i suppose
anyway i may be back in the winter
john
I agree entirely - MoD is a scary place at times and is so often being pruned. Our Regional thread (and also the SE one) seem much friendlier and less intimidating places, but more particularly have greater relevance when trying to assess rate of change in weather conditions be it sun burning off mist , travel of thunderstorms or advance of weather fronts. To sift through such detailed info for the whole country would be tedious in the extreme.
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A couple of pics that I posted in the convection thread, Corfe castle and some billowing clouds.
15.2℃ now.
Great photo of Corfe Castle - is that 'solarised'?
Several sharp showers here today but nothing spectacular - just normal April stiuff. Thought I was going to get drenched at Ringstead walking the dogs this evening but it petered out as the sun went down. A cracking evening and birds in full song.
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Well we managed to miss any real rain yesterday - just a very light shower mid afternoon. Surprising as it was positively steamy and we had very dark skies pressing in from the North and East.
Classic west country weather this morning , woke up to moderate rain, mild and drizzly currently with not a breath of wind. I sense there is more to come but as the saying goes 'rain before 7 fine by 11' so dogs can wait for a bit and then get a decent walk later.
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Woke up to pretty torrential rain and just looking at the radar it seems only the lucky ones will see sustained sunny spells today. Some places might end up with impressive daily rainfall totals due to large and slow moving showers.
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The air has been heavy all day but no rain here.
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I wouldn't take this as written in stone. The models are struggling for uniformity on this and we are only talking slight changes here. Thanks for correcting the date. A senior moment I'm afraid.
Meto forecast is giving us heavy rain Sunday PM, but as you say not set in stone (although I have a feeling I would go with that low as but perhaps less deep - drizzly rather than heavy rain). GFS still showing the area of heavier rain hitting the Kent / E Sussex and moving on down to the Channel Isles.
If it was winter I would be getting excited LoL
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Sunday – Wednesday. The GFS at 00z
The overview is that the colder air in the Atlantic is once again nudging it’s way in and winning the battle with the warmer air to the NE.
The 500mb anomaly chart for Sunday the 20th has colder air to the south and south west of the UK with a trough in the western Atlantic and the warmer air to the NE effecting Scotland. Similar story on Monday with the trough consolidating and deepening to mid Atlantic. This progression continues for the next couple of days with the colder air dominating the Atlantic and the much stronger heights moving northwards from the UK.
Surface wise Sunday has the low in the English Channel with a strong easterly flow over the UK but mainly dry except in south with a low and associated fronts in western Atlantic. By Tuesday the low has moved towards the Scillies bringing rain to the west and the Atlantic low has moved ENE. By Tuesday the UK is in a slack area of pressure but the Atlantic trough is moving steadily westward with front lying to the west of the UK and south west winds in Cornwall. By Wednesday the main depression is to the NW of Ireland 990mb bringing SW to S winds to the west of the UK and rain.
Outlook after that. Not going there.
Yes its an annoying feature for the South Coast tourist businesses! A few miles nudge one way or another would make a big difference. Its a shame this couldn't have held off for a couple of days. Still heartening however that the low is moving westwards rather than NE.
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I've found out that Bovington school got hit by lightning this morning, just looked back on the radar, there's several strikes all around me at about 9am. I didn't hear a dickie bird!
Thats surprising - the radar showed it worse over Poole way
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Sorry to hear about the asthma Lightningsprite, hope the air clears soon and gives you some relief. Do you have problem with pollen too?
The (reported) levels of air pollution cannot be helping you, perhaps we should grateful that our prevailing wind is normally off the Atlantic.
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Flat calm and very humid with scatterred outbursts of rain. Just had a couple of rumbles of thunder to add to the mix.
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Actually the BBC tv forecasts yesterday lunchtime and evening showed dense fog along the South Coast and it was spoken about by the forecasters, so even if no warning is issued one could interpret it for their own locality - unless you didn't see the forecasts.
Truly glorious day now after the foggy then low cloudy morning.
Emailed Meto severe weather alert for fog was issued at 4.37!
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The MetOffice need to cop one for not issuing fog warnings!! I was coming back from the beach last night, even with just fog lights on, it was almost impossible to see anything 10m in front of you. I got back home and it was the same, it's still like it now. Pretty poor from them!Currently 7.1℃
They did - at about 4.00 this morning. I wonder if 'now casting' improves their performance indicators? Oh - and did you catch anything last night? I was up in Suffolk a couple of weeks back and got loads of tiny codling - I just hope they don't all get netted out before the autumn as that seems to be what happens in recent years.
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The forecasts on TV are going for thunder showers pushing up from the channel from midnight onwards, yet the euro 4 model doesn't show a single mm on the precipitation charts, the high res NMM doesn't show much either, it's just the GFS and the WRF that goes for it..
Radar watching later!
Radar currently showing meaty shower heading up towards IOW but no lightning detected. Looks like it will be more for the SE but you might get a shower triggered as air rises over Creech?
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Hi guys, i have not been on in a while..
Not been well at all, but getting better.
Hope your all good and enjoying the nice weather we have been having lately.
IOW has been quite pleasant to say the least.
Cyclonic, sorry to hear you have been unwell but good to hear you are getting better - hopefully this recent sunshine will also help!
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Thick mist here first thing and quickly burned off to give a glorious morning. Sawn and chopped a load more firewood as we were getting low - the weather I love for such 'active' tasks!
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GFS 00z isn't so keen on much snow tomorrow now yes some is still on show but its not as widespread as a few days back, the early hours of Sunday and more especially Monday still have snow on offer for now
UKMO euro 4 (every 6 hours from 00:00 to 18:00)
Early hours of Sunday
Monday
Meto have just issued yellow alert for snow covering down to Oxfordshire and Wilts tomorrow so they are obviously not certain that Gloucester is its southward limit
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- Popular Post
- Popular Post
I think most of us can happily accept differences in views, preferences, regional perspective and differences in style and ability. What I find difficult to stomach is the frequent sniping and disrespect displayed by certain posters (aimed either at individuals or organisations).
The real danger is that the popularity contest becomes between this thread and similar threads on other sites. It would be a shame for NW to lose out due to the unhelpful posts of a few.
We need to ensure that those who are prepared to take time to analyse model outputs in detail and share their thoughts are not deterred by such sniping. Questioning or pointing out factual errors is fine -the 'peer revioew' process in action. When properly explained such challenge helps improve our understanding. Respect of others is the prerequisite.
There is a valid place for both lengthy and succinct posts. The lengthy ones serve to explain in detail just how conclusions are being arrived at and I hugely value the work of Gibby, JH and Tamara to name just three who take great care to present their reasoning in some detail.
We have lost a number of highly respected and effective forecasters and commentators over the years and it appears that sniping and trolling lies at the root of their loss. Why should people choose to spend time and effort to contribute, only to suffer such treatment?
Sadly I think 'sin bin time outs' and 'total bans' might be the only answer for the more serious offenders - particularly those who lack respect or constructive contribution. Just looking at the number of viewers at any one time shows the size of the 'silent majority' who presumably appreciate the contributions being posted here.
Sorry to be off topic but this comment is specifically directed within the MOD thread - other threads seem to suffer less from the problem. We have plenty of humour in the S&SW regional thread, but all of it good natured.
I shall shut up now (this is intended to be helpful, though doubtless others may dismiss it as a rant!) -oops, sorry Reef, just read your plea, delete this if you wish.
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A reasonable number of strikes showing off Finisterre at the moment (showers following behind the main frontal cloud). I suspect these will die out over the Channel but the odd one might make it to the S/SE coastline in the morning. It will be worth keeping an eye on the radar.
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The power of Romance!
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More flooding and 7 hour power cut here last night. At 10.00pm there were sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph.
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My daughter normally goes to Youth club on Friday evenings but it is 4 miles from here. Shes currently in her room sulking (inset day) as I told her it was unlikely she is going tonight as I won't risk our lives. Hopefully one day she will realise I'm not evil but looking out for her welfare!
Sorry but i side with your daughter on this one, banning Youth Club on Valentines Day is tantamount to Child Imprisonment!!!
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Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted · Edited by egret
Just had a short sharp hail shower backed up with one lightning flash and three rumbles of thunder.
Mapantz, have any mackerel or bass shown yet down your way?