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Posts posted by Deep Snow please
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3 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
Temp really plummeting now. Ground temps are way below freezing, the roads are an ice rink!!
Something up with how those vids show on site.
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Looks like that north west area of Wales near Bangor will get pasted the next few hours going by radar. Enjoy.
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20 minutes ago, SLEETY said:
Yeah rubbish here and now that tweet that the easterlies next week where SE always does well will be warmer than normal because of the higher than average temps across Europe,means it wont be nice and dry snow,if we even get any.
Dissapointed now
Need a really long fetch Northerly now,to save this pathetic attempt of a cold spell here.
Nothing wrong with dry snow. Accumulates quicker to start with.
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Sorry if this in wrong place mods, no idea where it should go. Was looking at Blizzard time-lapse and came across this documentary by chance. Knew absolutely nothing about this beforehand. A real interesting programme and shows what severe snowstorms really look like. It's amazing the amount of resilience these people had and organisation the states found to help them.
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42 minutes ago, Day 10 said:
Boom, what a chart that is!
Well at least they won't need to tell anyone to stay at home under that, good luck getting out!!!
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How much trouble would I get in if I sunk the IoM - seems to be ruining the party.....
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Just now, Andrew Griffiths said:
That’s what I was thinking.
Seems to be for the North West of Wales rather than us though...
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Is that the starting of a streamer forming out in the Irish Sea?
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5 minutes ago, Rammie said:
I'm in northants. Do you see anything over the next two weeks that will give me anything lower than -2c.?
Yes. Snow cover and the clear cold pooling to our north and east on latest runs.
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1 minute ago, Geordiesnow said:
I'm still craving for a PROPER cold spell from the North or East, ones where you dont have to worry about warmer layers in the atmosphere.
Surprisingly the UKMO at 48 hours is slightly colder than the GFS, uppers of -6 I feel more comfortable seeing snow falling than uppers of -4 that is for sure.
As we both hail from the same area I get why you'd love an Easterly, they were the best for Tyneside, but I seem recall when I first started posting in thus thread being told Easterly's are less reliable this side of the pennines and we want a Northerly or some sort of polar low
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This might be a little bit of a ramp but so what.
We now have reliable cold other the UK with many areas already seeing wintry showers or full on snow events (2 inches imby and even more in some other areas although starting to thaw a bit earlier). It's the third day of falling or lying snow here, with a potential 4th tomorrow and 5th on Thursday.
We have reliable time frame cold available on all models going into this weekend, and a potential snow event for the far south tomorrow. We have by far the best synoptic for a prolonged cold and snowy spell since January 2010, with the right lining of the stars I'm now confident that by the 3rd week of January we could have over a foot of snow even to low levels, and long lasting cold to keep it in place with temperatures widely below - 10 in city centres with big UHI's such as Manchester and London.
This winter will be severe, I can say this with confidence because one of the things that links every severe cold spell in British history is below average flights, naturally with Covid the number of flights has been far below average - indicating that January and February will be severely cold and snowy. Let's enjoy this historic period of weather.
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On 26/11/2020 at 12:55, Atleastitwillbemild said:
I've often had this in mind as the no.1 top suspect for that incredible December. Major eruptions happen all the time (well not really but hisotrically common) and they don't often lead to dramatic effects for Europe, but Eyjafjallajokull was special in that it's located right in the area we want normal weather patterns to be disturbed. I have absolutely zero scientific evidence to back my gut hunch up with but I just have a strong feeling that eruption played a huge part.
Probably entering into the realm of lunacy here but didn't the Iceland volcano ground flights across much of Europe as well, I've long thought reduced air travel has an impact on weather and increases snow chances. A very good sign for this winter if that is the case with Covid grounding so many planes.
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31 minutes ago, icedust said:
Hi all
06Z Euro4 looks interesting for us Cheshire Folk, and nearby. Possible polar low development in the Liverpool Bay area tomorrow night.
Note the very cold 500mb temp of -36C. A pre-requisite for Polar lows. But Euro4 was very poor last night for this morning's accumulations. So we will see.....
Definitely one to keep an eye on.
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2 hours ago, Backtrack said:
New met office warning for snow tomorrow from a front moving south!!!!
Can we make it 3 out of 4 with falling snow and 4/4 with lying snow tomorrow.
Best cold snap in a long time
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6 minutes ago, Paul_1978 said:
Why are you (and others for that matter) looking for problems 264 hours away and beyond when anything within T+120 is up for grabs, and there a SSW in the offing?
Because they want to discuss the potential evolution of the models in different scenarios as this thread was intended for rather than ignore anything not snowy.
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Got the ruler out - somewhere between 1.5 and 2 inches - pretty good for the first course of winter.
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16 minutes ago, Freeze said:
Some people aren't satisfied until they get a deep covering maybe a foot or more.. I'd be satisfied with seeing a few flakes falling, that's how low I've set my bar, doesn't matter what the synoptics look like anymore..
I think quite a few people on here are too obsessed with wanting to be around for a historic whether event they can't appreciate the run of the mill ones. Or even the slightly remarkable ones. There's a couple of inches of snow outside, go enjoy it.
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1 minute ago, Frost HoIIow said:
Easing off now. I'd say we've had about 4 inches or thereabouts. 2nd snow cover of the Winter. Not bad going considering we're not even out of December yet. Hopefully more to come....looks that way.
Yup. In some winters and event like the past day (or few days imby) would be the snow event of the winter yet if some of the current model runs verify, this could be an afterthought. Madness.
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Still snow here, but certainly get the feeling it will turn at some point sadly.
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Probably the greatest snow event since I moved here - although haven't had the ruler out to confirm.
North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards
in Regional
Posted
First signs of the Cheshire Gap stream for those in Chester/Stoke etc now, rain on the radar though.