Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

ICETAB

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    160

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ICETAB

  1. ICETAB
    GFS looks like it is moving towards the ECM in the medium range
  2. ICETAB
    It looks like some western areas will get a snow, rain and then back to snow event.
  3. ICETAB
    Anyone got a link to the ECM ensembles. I need to see them because the comments on here are not consistent. Some saying its an outlier and others saying it has plenty of support.
  4. ICETAB
    I'll be very interested to see the verification stats for this model after next week has passed. It seems to me that it has been rock solid over the past week, would you agree?
  5. ICETAB
    Well, I'm surprised by the ECM this morning. I reckon this run will sit on the milder side of the ensembles again. I think its wrong...
  6. ICETAB
    No Undercut on the ECM @ T120
  7. ICETAB
    Anyone know of a site that shows the ECM progression in smaller time periods. I can't see what happens to the 850s between T48 and T72. Time gap is to big.
  8. ICETAB
    With out doubt. You guys are further east and higher up. I might end up driving there if I don't get any.
  9. ICETAB
    The GFS still shows a warm sector for our region. The UKMO model is not bad though. The forecast on the met office web site shows rain for my area (Northwich) on Monday which goes against their model. So it would seem they are backing the GFS. Worth mentioning that the NAE is showing snow. This has been wrong in the past though.
  10. ICETAB
    Nice upgrades for the length of time the cold stays with us this morning. The UKMO, GFS and GEM all look excellent for cold. From an IMBY perspective, it doesn't look like snow will fall in the NW (Cheshire) area on Monday. Met show rain. So it would seem they are leaning towards the GFS model since the UKMO looks more like snow in that area, where as GFS shows rain. The models will change detail so fingers crossed that warm sector gets wiped out in future runs.
  11. ICETAB
    GFS 06z not even close to its previous output. None of the models have a clue past day 4...
  12. ICETAB
    Snow event Monday night into Tuesday for many on the 06Z GFS. Cold air stays a bit further west.
  13. ICETAB
    We have an undercut at T144 however we need unother one to prevent a link up with the high to the south I think. Could go wrong at T168. I know I know, I shouldn't be worrying about T168. Still lots of changes to come I feel.
  14. ICETAB
    Big improvment. Looking good for an eastly at T144. Come on!
  15. ICETAB
    I'm not so sure. If you look at T144 on wetter it looks like a shortwave is going to cut off the high to the south to allow an Eastly flow to develop. Would like to get SM thoughts on this.
  16. ICETAB
    UKMO T96 chart out on wetter and it looks more like the GFS.
  17. ICETAB
    How long has this model been running, any stats for it yet? T144 looks amazing!
  18. ICETAB
    Upper air temperatures slightly colder out to T60 on the UKMO this morning
  19. ICETAB
    Is it late? T96 chart out on wetter http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsukmeur.html. Looks good...
  20. ICETAB
    What time is the UKMO out?
  21. ICETAB
    ECM shows a snowy eastly at T144
  22. ICETAB
    The GFS excites me from an IMBY POV. Not often the west sees potential like this...
  23. ICETAB
    It suprises me that nobody has mentioned the JMA at T192. Anyone got a link to the 12z ECM ensembles. Where did the op sit in relation to other runs?
  24. ICETAB
    I have a feeling that this GFS run is going to be cold in FI. Heights look better around Greenland and that trough is moving further east than the previous run.
  25. ICETAB
    I've just been looking at the same thing. It wouldn't take much of a change to get an Eastley from T120 on the GFS. ECM looks similar although not as good.
×
×
  • Create New...