2.png.1338c08acdc8dfc1ed37a4ecbc377c2b.png)
ZONE 51
-
Posts
3,778 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by ZONE 51
-
-
Done a quick animation earlier (below) (can take a copy if you want)
Next is a screen snap of xc weather, if you had to many beers you might experience this...
Anyway just got back on so i'm off to read through some pages on here!
-
Worth keeping check on sleet/snow for later today especially to the west of our region
-
GFS 18z all so de-warms the uppers.. we are being upgraded on snow potential for more of the region for Sun/Mon, this is a very interesting situation!
-
Image below compares the Thickness 850-1000hpa upper temps on the NAE 12z/18z at 1200hrs Sunday
We draw in colder air from the continent increasing the risk of snowfall as surface temperatures/dew points are lower across more parts of the SE then was indicated earlier Friday.
-
Looks as though we could be drawing up some even colder air from the continent on Sunday then was shown on the models earlier today, effectively we should be looking at an increased risk of snow for the SE (slight upgrade) more in a bit on this..
-
Welcome to the forum.nae showing snow for our corner now at 48 hours sorry cant post chart could anyone else let me know what they think of this
Chart for 48hrs NAE 18z does show snow developing over SE/EA away from the south coast 1200hrs-1800hrs.
But what will it show after 48! i think once snow sets in then it's on!(rather then turning back to rain)
-
Would like to provide this website link if anyone is looking for weather graphics/animation.
http://www.mikeaffor...r-graphics.html
-----
Could be some snow around Saturday.
Reason to not worry about Sundays/Monday snow risk, we have 36-48hrs until the event and a lot can change, several model runs to go on some, It's happened in the past where heavy rain/sleet chilled the air turning rain to wet snow which settled, and last of all no one said it won't actually snow!
-
11/2 @ 0000hrs Mon
Fine line for areas just south of London(heavy sleet/wet snow) i still expect a south movement of the snow areas by Sat night to affect... won't say now though! chart GFS 18z
-
Yes i think the occluded front weakens across the south tomorow, giving rain/sleet/snow patches across the SE, and as it heads into EA especially then the front increasing in intensity with sleet/snow i would think.just before i go
tomorrow night
maybe something wintry ?
looks more kent and parts of anglia
but something worth watching
-
Done an animation of the GFS 18z Thickness 850-1000 hpa charts Sunday 1800hrs-Monday 1800hrs, shows the system pulling down the colder air as it tracks east/southeast.
(animation at end of post)
Looking through the models it's a potential widespread snow event for our region, depending on track, further south/southeast this then pulling in colder air-mass, i expect the low to track a little more south as it moves across England than what is indicated at present, on Sunday/Monday i see the potential for convective thundery elements to be involved in this strong weather system, for our region i expect it to be a very wet period of weather with rain(FIRST) this through Sunday turning to snow into Monday, IF it does what i think then we can be looking at large snowfalls widespread. Possibly more snowfall Monday night into Tuesday.
Exciting and very interesting set up, one not seen that often, and uncertainty makes it more exciting!
ESS
-
I always stick with the models that indicate snow 0;According to Ian Ferguson on the models thread it looks like the west and midlands will only get the heaviest snow on Sunday despite the ECM and UKMO showing the East and Southeast getting the heaviest. I hope the East and southeast doesn't miss out again
-
Not my road this morning...
Looking interesting late weekend/early next week we could get the right set-up for significant snowfall across our region, the timing cannot be pinpointed yet and the amounts of snow can be estimated to a certain extent using the models, but really we can only say a risk of significant snowfall.
-
Short while ago the squall line went through Esher area(near Kingston)heading south/se , was very heavy rain, quite powerful gusts. quite an exciting!, must have been the trough feature(The thick black line on FAX)All calmed down now.
Over the next few hours surface/air temperatures+upper temps(850s...)dew points will fall, the air conditions becoming right for snow to fall, what we can expect is sleet and snow showers to move down from the northwest, heavy snow most likely to settle on low ground then lighter snow if ground is wet(heavy snow over powers wet ground). accumulations most likely over higher ground(Chiltens/Downs..) the deep North sea low moves into the south North sea later Tuesday/today, this pulling down some snow, so needs watching as we get into Wednesday, i expect the METO yellow warning of snow on Wednesday to extend further south to Kent and maybe further west, Risk that a warning could affect the SE today for snow.
-
Some useful information here..
Aberdeen/Dyce (69 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorBelfast/Aldergrove AP (68 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorBenbecula (6 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorBenson (57 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorBirmingham (99 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorBournemouth (10 m)6.0 °CRainBrize Norton (81 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorCardiff Airport (67 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorDishforth (33 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorDoncaster Airport (12 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorEdinburgh Airport (41 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorGatwick Airport (62 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorGlasgow Airport (8 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorInverness/Dalcross (9 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorIslay/Port Ellen (17 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorKinloss (5 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorKirkwall Airport (21 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLakenheath (10 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLeuchars (10 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLiverpool AP (26 m)4.0 °Csleet showersLondon City Airport (5 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLondon Heathrow Airport (25 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLondon Stansted Airport (106 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLossiemouth (6 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorLuton Airport (160 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorManchester (69 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorNewcastle Airport (81 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorNortholt (39 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorNorwich Weather Centre (37 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorPembrey Burrows (6 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorPrestwick (27 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorRNAS Culdrose (84 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorScatsa/Shetland Island (22 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorSouthend-on-Sea AP (15 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorSt Athan (49 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorStornoway (15 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorSumburgh Cape (5 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorValley (10 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorWattisham (89 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorWick (36 m)0.0 °CReport ErrorWittering (73 m)0.0 °CReport Error !!!
http://www.weatheron...t&DATE=--&CEL=CMost stations showing error not sure what's happened!
-
Here is an interesting chart
GFS 18z surface pressure+850s for Tuesday 1800hrs
The chart indicates freezing conditions across all areas
deep north north sea low pressure pulling in freezing winds+snow
dew points below freezing and surface temps very cold with very strong winds
surface winds 10m
Where gets this combination of low dew points/surface temps/very strong winds/snow is likely to get blizzard conditions
A wintry week next week.
-
Hi all
GFS 18z fires off our cold wintry blast from Tuesday morning,
500/1000 hpa Thickness 0600hrs Tuesday
Zooming into the same chart as above:
528 dam line clears south coast by early Tuesday morning
Wintry week coming up next week! we get several chances where we could see sleet/snow, a lot will change with the snow areas/amounts, and i expect an upgrade to the cold/snow situation next week, i also expect early warnings to be issued on Sunday by the METO, for UK snow, and to include parts of our region.
-
NAE 12z
0000hrs-0600hrs
Think are be sticking with this one..
although i am a little worried in these situations, but i do have confidence that something is to surprise us on this one, quite sure some areas north and east of London are going to get snowpounded.. BUT i do also expect snowfall across much of inland SE, i would imagine the yellow METO warning to extend south into west sussex later.Looking through the data/models and the current situation i think that snow is likely for most of our region.
-
Temps and dew points dropping overnight.
GFS shows the snow expanding into Kent for example, but west of our region in the main risk zone of large falls.
If snow is light/moderate if persistant can top up quite well, still have quite a covering from fri/sun events here, been exciting reading the mod thread especially although i hardly post as so busy. After the coming mild/stormy spell its quite possible were be back to the freezing cold and snow!
-
Snowing in Walton-On-Thames light-increasing steady. The snow is widespread and appears to be expanding into Kent, it is likely to hang around overnight.
Heres a radar screen snap at 545pm
-
Hi all, it looks like we should see some persistant snow forming tonight/snow showers, just been looking through the charts, NAE and GFS both indicate snow across our region into the early hours of Tuesday, this time round it going to all be snow
Thickness 850/1000 hpa
the North Sea helping to brew up convective clouds enhancing heavy snowfall near the east coasts with some snow moving right across towards London for example.
Surface winds-GFS
Surface winds NaeSurface winds-NAE
I expect Kent to be in the firing line overnight for the heavy snowfall and up into Suffolk/Norfolk/Essex, although some less significant snow could affect further west into areas as far as the far West Sussex/London west.
Staying cold with snow showers and some snow events at times in the days ahead
ESS
-
Forecast for Friday 14th and Saturday 15th December 2012
Stormy far north, snow over Scotland and Shetland
Risk of early snow over parts of Scotland Friday.
Heavy rain moves into Scotland through the afternoon and evening this could turn to snow, Saturday night Scotland and the Northern Isles/Shetland could see heavy snow in places, more likely over Shetland where storm force winds are likely to develop late Friday and early Saturday creating blizzards, These storm force winds affecting Shetland/Northern Isles, with the far north of Scotland at risk to of stormy winds Friday evening and Saturday.
Snow should turn to rain through Saturday afternoon over scotland, the Isles, and Shetland, although snow could still fall in places.
To view warning map see link below:
Posted in Atlantic storm thread a warning map, i have edited the text for here to show just the snow info, please see my full post on the link here - http://forum.netweat...00#entry2446927
not posted map here as covers other weather types.
ESS
-
Forecast for Friday 14th and Saturday 15th December 2012
Heavy rain and flooding, gales, stormy far north, snow over Scotland and Shetland
Risk of early snow over parts of Scotland Friday.
Heavy prolonged rain crossing England, Wales, Ireland though Friday morning and early afternoon, moving up across Northern England by afternoon, with gale force winds for most places, especially along coasts and hills, as the heavy rain moves into Scotland through the afternoon and evening this could turn to snow, heavy downpours following the rainfall across England, Wales and Ireland into Saturday night. On Saturday night Scotland and the Northern Isles/Shetland could see heavy snow in places, more likely over Shetland where storm force winds are likely to develop late Friday and early Saturday creating blizzards, These storm force winds affecting Shetland/Northern Isles, with the far north of Scotland at risk to of stormy winds Friday evening/night, and on Saturday.
Snow should turn to rain through Saturday afternoon over Scotland, the Isles, and Shetland, although snow could still fall in places.
All other areas at risk of heavy downpours through saturday with Southern England most likely to see these on Saturday.
My warning map is below:
Please keep check on warnings and updates on stormy weather developing today and tomorow
especially over the far north/Shetland later this evening and into Saturday where damaging winds are likely
(update-risk of severe gales developing today across Southern England, most likely SE)
(precipitation could turn wintry over northern England for a while early today)
ESS
-
Snow risk for Thursday over much of Scotland
Weather front moving through bringing snow, some significant falls in places.
Heaviest snow expected over southwest Scotland first then this moving into other western, northern and central areas of Scotland and a risk of this snow moving east though Thursday.
Map below shows where i expect the snow to be using latest model data.
ESS
-
Just trying out the Christmas skin, i like it! really cool!! and the snowmen are great, and the large 3d netweather.tv text is great, nice design, this years one is fine for me as last years was a little dizzy and had to change it, but this is ok. Wondering about any snow Thursday, it keeps changes so never know what it might do, can't imagine anything but either snow or rain freezing solid on everything.
![How_to_park_in_winter[1]-thumb-448x336-62944.jpg](http%3A%2F%2Fstatic.commercialmotor.com%2Fbig-lorry-blog%2Fassets_c%2F2010%2F02%2FHow_to_park_in_winter%255B1%255D-thumb-448x336-62944.jpg)
although i am a little worried in these situations, but i do have confidence that something is to surprise us on this one, quite sure some areas north and east of London are going to get snowpounded.. BUT i do also expect snowfall across much of inland SE, i would imagine the yellow METO warning to extend south into west sussex later.
Surface winds Nae
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 9th February 2013 17:00hrs>
in Regional
Posted