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Everything posted by ZONE 51
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Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Next is a map showing hills and mountains Link below is for the Met Office snow maps http://www.metoffice.../snow-in-the-uk Edit-had posted an edited map of hills/mountains, i have now posted the actual original map! -
ramp Cold Weather Chat and Ramping Thread
ZONE 51 replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
!! Shopping for..snow -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not seen mentioned TWS(Thundery Wintry Showers) and Nick F .If there is thundersnow due then they will let us know! One of the most difficult things to forecast. -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/snow/snow-in-the-uk -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
http://www.thecomple...ns/meteorology/ After reading posts tonight i would like to provide this link above. A quote from the link below. -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
When i was at school i studied the weather... out of the window..-- Hold on a minute.. i'm sure i posted the 5th November chart last night showing the 528dam line sweep down from the north which would bring cold air and possible snow.. wheres it gone!(ON THE OUTPUT) here it is on the previous run: -
I had said last night"Keeping a watch on the Southeast through Friday, the potential i think for something thundery." You are right there Coast! not much about and nothing on the strike detectors. That purple blob on this radar over the Channel early hours of the morning was thundery but missed us, and like you say calming down, and it has.
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Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The warm spell that is potentially going to happen is likely to not affect what the rest of Autumn brings and certainly not winter, although it has been known that October warm spells are a forerunner of very cold weather in the weeks ahead. I expect the first cold spell to be a quick sharp snap of what is to come over the weeks ahead, Atlantic lows mixed with cold spells and snow. Some say that even if we have the right signals for a very cold winter it could still just brush by..of course that is quite possible, although i don't expect that to happen.. i'm looking for a tough pair of boots and a warmer coat then last year.. why would i do that? -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The next CFS chart is for the end of November It shows freezing conditions/big freeze into Eastern Europe -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Chart is CFS long range model, it shows a cold blast of Arctic air starting to sweep down on 5th November..usually frosty, or cold and rainy, this time it could snow! -
Keeping a watch on the Southeast through Friday, the potential i think for something thundery.
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Weather Watch - The Next 24-36 Hours
ZONE 51 replied to ZONE 51's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Heavy Rain Friday 19th Oct: Heavy rain moving into Southeast England and East Anglia through this morning, there should be a drier gap before further heavy rain heads up from France across the Southeast and into East Anglia through the day, there is the risk of heavy thundery downpours, this most likely into Kent, where we do see the heaviest rain we could see 20-30mm of rain. There is the chance the rain could end up a bit further west into Central Southern areas. Some heavy rain for parts of Southern and Central Scotland this morning, this moving up into Northern Scotland later, most likely during the evening and into Saturday where it could turn heavier and more prolonged. Saturday-mostly dry away from Northern Scotland. Risk of more heavy rain into the SE saturday eve/night. ESS -
The No Storms Club (NSC) 2014 Onwards
ZONE 51 replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Anyone out of the October no storms club yet..- 447 replies
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- no storms stormless
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Weather Watch - The Next 24-36 Hours
ZONE 51 replied to ZONE 51's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Severe Gales and Heavy Rain There is a deepening depression in the Atlantic and it's heading our way overnight tonight and through Wednesday and into Thursday, this storm system is likely to cause disruption, most likely in western areas, it brings with it heavy rainfall tonight, arriving now in SW/S England and also Southern Ireland, this heading to the east and northeast by morning. Flooding is expected from this rain in some areas, this most likely where the ground is very wet already, but very heavy rain or shower type thundery downpours could cause local flooding. It is likely to become very gusty across western and southern areas overnight 35-45mph inland and 40-55mph gusts in exposed zones, gale force winds developing, these most likely along the west and south coasts. Through wednesday there is the potential for severe gales to develop in the west, these most likely affecting Southwest England and Wales where damaging winds are expected, 50-70mph gusts here. ESS -
Here we take a look at what the weather conditions are likely to be over the next 24-36 hours, i would like to keep this to text only if you can. Please discuss the weather for the next day or two. The title is the best i can come up with for this, if this thread is accepted the title can be changed if there is a better title. Thanks.
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - October 4th 2012>
ZONE 51 replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Check this out, look at the intense rainfall heading towards the SE, anyone expecting 16-32mm per hour? -
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/ Met Office warnings (heavy rain and gales)
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - October 4th 2012>
ZONE 51 replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Been watching it develop since yesterday on sat, done a post in Atlantic thread. -
Severe Gales and Heavy Rain There is a deepening depression in the Atlantic and it's heading our way overnight tonight and through Wednesday and into Thursday, this storm system is likely to cause disruption, most likely in western areas, it brings with it heavy rainfall tonight, arriving now in the SW England and also Southern Ireland, this heading to the east and northeast by morning. Flooding is expected from this rain in some areas, this most likely where the ground is very wet already, but very heavy rain or shower type thundery downpours could cause local flooding. It is likely to become very gusty across western and southern areas overnight 35-45mph inland and 40-55mph gusts in exposed zones, gale force winds developing, these most likely along the west and south coasts. Through wednesday there is the potential for severe gales to develop in the west, these most likely affecting Southwest England and Wales where damaging winds are expected, 50-70mph gusts here. Image below is the storm developing in the Atlantic ESS
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Strong wind watch - South Expect it to become very windy, Risk of Gales developing, tonight/tuesday. ESS
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - October 4th 2012>
ZONE 51 replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Strong wind watch Expect it to become very windy, Risk of Gales developing, tonight/tuesday. ESS -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The data only goes up to 2003 on the sites i have used for this.I will add to the list at some point soon, other sites would have the data of course! -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
February's below CET 3.0 - 1950-2003 1954/55 1955/56 1967/68 1968/69 1969/70 1977/78 1982/83 1985/86 1990/91 -
Winter 2012/13 Pt 4... Expectations, Hopes And Wishes...
ZONE 51 replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I looked at my data, i took the coldest CET months from 1950-2003.(not including CET 2.0/3.0 only any below that number were added) CET below 3.0 December - 6 January - 10 February - 10 CET below 2.0 December - 2 January - 5 February - 7 This shows that February has the coldest CET months 1950-2003 -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
ZONE 51 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Found something interesting here: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2010JD015023.shtml- 2,514 replies
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