[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

Here come the snow showers 

Mostly light to start off with.

 

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

At this rate, the cold will last until next winter 

[Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?]

Who wants the cold to last right through to end of March then! 

 

 

[Model Output Discussion 01/09/17]

 

 

[Hurricane Irma]

The UK military does a wonderful job not just in times of conflict, but in times of peace too.

 

 

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

1 minute ago, More Snow said:

Are these yesterdays 12z??

Oh sh**t yep u are right. Saw them come up blue on Meteociel and thought it was today's DOH. 

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Is anyone else's UKMO stuck on Oz 96? It's been like that all day.

It's a poor UKMO 120 & 144 chart, with the HP not very far North and very much centered over UK :-(

[South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->]

I live at the foot of the Chilterns, Hoping any snow comes after I get home from work this evening as I have to drive up m40 from Heathrow, and I want to enjoy any snow, rather than be sitting in traffic for hours on end.

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

2 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

No comments, things must be bad!!!

Still looking very good. And this run has colder 850's from mid range. 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

ECM ENS 500HPA 28 day height anomaly updated yesterday.

 

 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

Probability maps updated today from METEO.

Covers Jan/Feb/Mar

 

 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

Some rain for the South tomorrow. First bit of decent rain since December begun.

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

11 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Hmm, although good news, I think I'll take that with a pinch of salt for the sake of my sanity.

 

 

 

Considering we are already 8 days into Dec, and the update is still highlighting a -NAO in erm...Dec Lol,  I think it needs a Mount Everest size pinch of salt. 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

 

[Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go]

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

And relax................ and SMILE.

A Santa surprise perhaps. 

 

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

7 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Yes seen this, I mentioned yesterday it backtracked slightly although others didn't agree.  Today's write up for 1st week into Dec definitely looks like the Atlantic wins out - but for how long is anyone's guess.  Still NO sign of a proper block to any sector of the North, up until the end of Dec week one that is.

 

 

[The Seasonal Forecast Thread]

WSI now going for a colder winter in Europe.

They have for the UK.

Dec: Slightly warmer than Normal

Jan: Slightly colder than normal

Feb: Colder than normal

 

 

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

ECM Week 4 cluster analysis.

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

METO probability maps updated. 

 

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

 

[Model Output Discussions 06z 04/11/16]

 

[Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016]

53 minutes ago, Seasonality said:

Link to the site please nice charts

Here is link to correct page.

http://www.met.hu/en/idojaras/elorejelzes/europai_elorejelzes/

And its anomaly for 1 week at a time not per day. 

[Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016]

First snow risk of the season to appear on the London GFS ensembles! haha