Darren Bown
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Posts posted by Darren Bown
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I think if it’s not happened by 10, that’s it, this kind of reminds me of 2015 I think, 1st July? Where big storms kicked off around 9:30pm in NW England.
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2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:
Distant rumbles from the sea
Looks like Cumbria, especially the south, would do well!
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Just now, Summerstorm said:
Not giving up yet but not looking great so far that Cell over Bala/Harlech way is heading straight into the Irish Sea so is not a lot of use for the NW apart from those on the coasts hopefully some new cells will fire soon though.
I think anything could form up to midnight really.
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Looks like the south has done well with this, kind of as per with set ups like this. Surprised it’s not kicked off up here. Especially with more potential here.
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4 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:
Evening @Darren Bown
That was probably the one that I heard thunder from about an hour ago... I think that one has sadly lost its electrical edge.
But things are very still here at the moment... There’s still hope.
I’m about 30 mins from giving up ?
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5 minutes ago, cheese said:
Think for those of us up north, this is going to be one of those infamous busts.
The radar gets worse each time!
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The radar looks even worse ?
EDIT shower gone up east of Aberystwyth, so it’s still kicking off
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1 minute ago, Mokidugway said:
It's going to go boom very soon ,keep the faith ,lol
We’ve swapped haha I was optimistic last night, you less so. ? I’m still hoping, instability is still to the west, and the showers can fire quickly!
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The showers in wales are being frustrating! Hope they develop as they move. I can see the top of the storm out in the Irish Sea currently.
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Strikes seem to have stopped.
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Hope the showers in central wales develop as those will head towards me and Manchester. The beast in n Wales will hit Liverpool.
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its starting to kick off in Wales. Perfect!
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We are probably just at the start of the instability, if nothing has happened by 8, then I’ll be a bit more pessimistic.
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Is it those showers in the SW moving north? I thought showers were to start in N Wales? I assume we are still looking in that area? I’m home now and after it clouded about an hour ago, it’s back to clear skies now
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2 minutes ago, The PIT said:
Times like the this you watch the radar. Storms are very difficult to predict and you should have learnt by now they have a habit of forming not in the right place. Also if you read the forecast it said it may have to be adjusted south. BTW no need to shout.
He has a point that the showers up here won’t get going for at least another hour, and for you, it will probably be more 8-10pm.
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Acas as I’m heading north to Warrington. Nothing expected until AT LEAST 5pm up here, more like 7ish.
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2 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:
and as if by magic and just to prove that the numpty known as 'ajpoolshark' needs to learn more, sferics detected over the brest peninsular heading for....yes, you've guessed it....the west country.....lololol
NEed to watch wales over the next 2-3 hours too, especially the north/east.
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Convective Weather has updated and this comment is brilliant for NW England.
’Surface observations suggest low-level wind convergence is beginning to develop over N Wales, and should continue to strengthen this afternoon, while expanding into NW England. This combined with increased forcing aloft should allow a few surface-based thunderstorms to initiate from about 17-18z onwards, initial focus over N Wales and then gradually shifting NE-wards across northern England during the evening hours. Particular focus is given to the western half of this MDT area.’
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‘Surface observations suggest low-level wind convergence is beginning to develop over N Wales, and should continue to strengthen this afternoon, while expanding into NW England. This combined with increased forcing aloft should allow a few surface-based thunderstorms to initiate from about 17-18z onwards, initial focus over N Wales and then gradually shifting NE-wards across northern England during the evening hours. Particular focus is given to the western half of this MDT area.’
This is brilliant for NW England.
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Clouds developing in stoke, and quite a breeze picking up!
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Just now, Staffordshire said:
Clouding over in the centre of Manchester as of the past 10 minutes, hope this won't inhibit things here.
I’m in stoke and it’s clear still, so perhaps convection is getting going as the air becomes a little less stable?
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Although looking at the met office, even though warnings are out, their forecast seems to be saying very few showers tonight.
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2 minutes ago, Gordon Webb said:
I'd go to the SE if I were as this cloud spreading from the south really is arriving at the wrong time of day
Still clear from stoke up to Manchester, so plenty of heat. NW England seems to be favourable atm.
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All eyes on Wales I guess then for stuff to start breaking out. Saw someone on UKWW post potential for super cells right where I am this evening?
Northwest England regional thread 3 /3 onwards
in Regional
Posted
A shower on radar popped up at Ellesmere Port. Let’s see.