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Everything posted by seabreeze86
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS looks wedgy to me not that it matters at this range but something to watch to keep us cold for longer -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All within the envelope as Bluearmy would say The main take from the day is heights are almost a certainty in get to Greenland everything after that is up for grabs -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Big snow event for the north though -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes the ECM day 10 chart would be very cold at the surface but it looks odd almost like it’s ran out of ideas -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Small ridge from the pacific helping instead of hindering this time perhaps? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 6z control is better than the 0z around Greenland and better push of the cold from the north as a result -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think we will begin to see more runs finds these wedges as we get closer to the reliable If they actually help us or not is another matter -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes that’s true but the small improvements in the 6z have had the positive effects I hoped they would -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If the ECM op was showing consistency in how it breaks down the blocking I’d be more concerned but it’s all over the place As ever more runs needed -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM now brings the retrogression to day 8 and we get our first very cold day 10. Supported by its ensemble suite GFS having is usual wobble before a cold spell although is and the top of its ensembles -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
seabreeze86 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Both fantastic and now at day 8 for the retrogression we are reeling it in now