Lewis

Storm Chasing Lewis Style! YOU gotta watch all of it!!! no skipping through it.

Chased a lovely cell earlier, all recorded, uploading it too 750mb, it was a good 25 min chase. Will post the link later We have Live streams now on the website, Chris Johnson is chasing a cell currently "video link may go down during low 3G coverage". http://www.null/chase-events/ Anyone else had any good storms?

Seems most of the action is to be around the West Midlands, Chesire Gap, Lincolnshire running through down to the East Midlands & Later EA. At the moment I'm in the "GAP" once again, for Yorkshire we need showers to start forming NNW of us. Some impressive cloud tops out there today, good look all and those of you chasing stay safe! If you guys get pictures, and/or videos of storms today, even if there's no lightning but plenty of rain/hail etc, send them to me and i'll put them on our website Edit* Just had some hail stone in Hull and heavy rain. ukstormchasers@gmail.com

Had a quick flick through it, ace.. Can I put this on the UKSC website? If you could give me some info about the video, where it was taken, what you experienced etc.

My take on things A deep upper trough digging South Eastwards throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, with slack low pressure at the surface will make way for favorable convective instability. ML Cape along with a negative lifted index, coupled with slack low pressure & convective inhibition will all contribute to an increasing risk of thunderstorms, across large areas of England & Wales. Throughout today Central, South Eastern & West Midland regions have experienced a rash of heavy showers, with Hail, strong winds, and lightning, as we head into this evening and overnight any showers will quickly die off with more organized precipitation having the tendency to continue across the far North East of England, and through in to Scotland, precipitation mainly hugging the Coastal regions. As we head into tomorrow the areas greatest at risk of thunderstorms is the North, North East, and Eastern parts of England, running through to the East Midlands during the late afternoon. There is an increasing chance of a more organized/cluster of thunderstorms/heavy showers forming across these areas, pushing South/South Eastwards. Where showers are prolonged an increased risk of localized flooding is likely. Into Thursday, the risk once again continues, but this time for more central areas of Southern England, SE England, West Midlands, and North Wales.

Tomorrow, and Thursday for you by the looks of it, fingers crossed for you.

Was just wondering if I'm allowed to do what I've done on the UK storm Chasers facebook page, having a netweather logo on my page, I didn't think it would be a problem seeing as though a lot of users use this website, and we are all on here. https://www.facebook.com/pages/UK-Storm-Chasers/320341941362083 Let me know if you want it removing. Also Paul, is there any chance of activating my PM's now and possibly reviewing my 10 posts? Thanks Lewis

The models, GFS certainly painting a much cooler flow this weekend, some snow for the Scottish Highlands, and maybe down to low levels at times, a bit of a north/north easterly shot, but no doubt something we was crying out for all winter, amazing really, if that was in December or January, this forum would be in melt down and no doubt the uppers would have been much colder. Still, it's a fairly potent blast for this time of the year. April showers springs to mind, all be it a little colder this weekend than usual.

Hoping to get out myself to do a bit of chasing tomorrow, was on standby today but nothing cropped up other than a few rogue cells to the South East of me across Lincolnshire.

Anyone out chasing then over the next 2 days?

A deep upper trough looks set to head South Eastwards throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, slack low pressure at the surface will make way for conditions favorable for convective instability. The current data I have had a look through is taken from the GFS low res model, it gives a rough idea on conditions although the NMM model which is at a much higher resolution will confirm the percentages and certainity locally for convective action. Showers will be widespread during tomorrow, thundery across NI, North Western England, and North Wales, during the day becoming more widespread across more central areas, at the moment N Wales & The West Midlands are more favorable later morning early afternoon for some heavy showers, with Hail, Torrentail rain, and Lightning. A hundred to 200 ML CAPE with a negative Lifted Index of 0 to -2 across these areas along with favorable conditions for updrafts, will certainly increase the chances of the showers being thundery than not. As we head into Wednesday the risk transfers to more Eastern and North/North Eastern areas. Again with CAPE levels a little higher, and a more negative Lifted Index (LI), organized precipitation will bring an increasing chance of thunderstorms, a much higher chance for these areas with regards to the amount of energy out there, and certainly a greater chance of showers becoming more organized and forming a more general area of thunderstorms/thundery showers. As we head into Wednesday afternoon, and then into Thursday, the risk extends southwards across central Southern England, East Midlands, and then London/Home counties. North Wales/Chesire gap looks also to be a prime location throughout Thursday. Although the chances of a MCS is relatively low, there is a possibility for a time during Wednesday where conditions may become favorable, and it's something to keep an eye on. Will keep you guys updated. Lewis UK Storm Chasers/ UKSC https://www.facebook.com/pages/UK-Storm-Chasers/320341941362083

Nothing remotely wintry here in East Yorkshire. Had some much needed rain for sure, but this neck of the woods is under the influence of that warm sector sitting to the East of us. We did good out of most areas though throughout the winter. Looking good for West and South Yorkshire perhaps later.

Hi Guys, Finally the website is now live, i've been in and out of hospital over the past few weeks or so, but i've managed to get the website live, bear with us as there's a lot of work on the website to come. I would like to request "if possible" someone to lead the forecasting of thunderstorms/severe weather, you can apply in this thread. I'm still waiting on a reply from Paul for custom data sets in the form of feeds for the website (CAPE/LI etc). The website URL is http://www.null/ The facebook page is: https://www.facebook...320341941362083 Hopefully we'll be able to have some chases soon, once this cooler weather decides to bugger off For current members of the chase group/team if you add me to facebook https://www.facebook...yorksforecaster and send me your name of course, a little about yourself, and a picture if you have, and any specific special moments of magic with regards to you witnessing some serious weather/thunderstorms, i'll add you to the "meet the team section of the website". Over the course of the next week or so i'll be working on live streaming media, and setting up all the custom RTMPS for users so they can use our server to stream too. Looking forward to getting out soon guys! =D UKSC team

Well if the current output comes off from the GFS, Scotland, NE England, and Eastern coastal counties could get some serious early spring snowfall! First blast Tuesday throw to Friday/Saturday, with another one coming in Sunday/Monday from the north. unbelievable charts at this time of the year. Them North Sea SSTS have risen quite quickly, so could be some serious convection about, low chance of lying snow during the day though initially. overnight accumulations I would say.

Well if the current output comes off from the GFS, Scotland, NE England, and Eastern coastal counties could get some serious early spring snowfall! First blast Tuesday throw to Friday/Saturday, with another one coming in Sunday/Monday from the north. unbelievable charts at this time of the year. Them North Sea SSTS have risen quite quickly, so could be some serious convection about, low chance of lying snow during the day though initially. overnight accumulations I would say.

Instead of packing the BBQ, bacon, burgers and sausages, you'll be packing the cooking stove, tins of heinz BIG soup and bread and butter with those temps. Certainly going to be a shock to the system after most of us bathed under 19-22c temps for a good period of time, enjoy your camping trip, time for me to go get the last pleasant day of fishing for a while! lewis

After such a lovely warm & settled period of late our weather looks set to become much colder as we head into the early part of next week. Day time max's of 22c turns too day time max's of 8-9c or lower, harsh frosts at night, and dare I say it, snow for the lucky, or unlucky some! As a winter coldie myself, I would normally be happy to see something wintry on the horizon, but the pro-longitude of this current settled pattern has been very pleasant, and has made fishing/carping much better, the last thing us fisherman need is night time frosts, low temps, and possibly some snow, as it was looking promising for a belting early spring period of fishing, just hope the carp don't go back into hibernation! It's becoming a regular theme for this country around this time of the year picking up a PM flow briefly delivering some potential snowfall, mainly to Scotland but down the eastern side of the country, and Northern areas. Have not really looked at the models other than the GFS this morning, so I'm not 100% certain on the GFS, and whether or not there's cross model agreement on the whole scenario that the GFS paints. Could the coldest of the air, and the lower pressure of the flow be shunted east? or will it be shunted west? Lewis

Hi guys, Myself and Dell Trott, and also Chris Johnson are setting up a network of storm chasers in the U.K. Some of us, either don't like flying, or cannot afford to get out to the states, but boy I bet its thrilling out there! So we are trying to promote storm chasing in the U.K, and trying to develop a network of storm chasers, so we can chase, meet up etc and hopefully capture some of the best storms around the U.K If you would like to become part of our network, you don't necessarily have to be a chaser to be part of what we are trying to do. We have setup a facebook page in which you can like and follow our discussions/ideas; https://www.facebook...320341941362083 And I'm currently working on the website for storm chases to be uploaded etc, and information. I'll be seeing if I can purchase some data feeds from Paul, CAPE, Lifted Index, and sheer vector charts etc so we can provide the modeled conditions whilst chasing. Our website URL will be null If it's ok in summer, we would like to keep everything in-house on the netweather forums, because netweather is very active, and it will be good for those that can't get to the U.S to get involved at home. Our idea is a non profit idea, it is all community based, and we just want to have some fun whilst staying safe along the way. At the moment i'm currently investing in some streaming equipment. We will have our own private RTMP servers to upstream our live data, and we will be looking to give chasers around the UK their own private channel to stream too and record too. If you want to be part of it, anyone is welcome, you may like our facebook page and we will post more information on there at a later date, and also this thread. Looking forward to the first chase. They'll never be any costs involved, it will always be free, as I will be putting in the funds to make this happen. It's a hobby Lewis

I would like to have a crack at designing/developing this if Paul/member of the the netweather team let's me, I would spend the next 5-6 months developing it ready for next winter. Just give me the green light, and i'm onto it. Lewis

Can you add me please. HU9 4RX (Hull) And can you put SFL instead of ~SFL~ thanks Lewis (Would PM you but It won't let me).

Seems like it's getting to that time of the year again where it's a personal battle between some members based on what weather preference either wants, we've had the battle of the Atlantic, battle of the snow, battle of the cold zonality, and now it's the battle of High Pressure. In meteorological terms we are entering spring, so we will start to see weather patterns slowly changing to what we would expect at this time of the seasons, it does not mean that we won't see any colder weather, and because some people post about very mild temperatures, you only have to look at the charts to know that it's going to be around average, and people get excited about the warmer weather, we all have our weather preference at the end of the day, mine's snow, severe gales and thunderstorms, I hate summer/blazing temps without thunderstorms as it's boring weather, but I don't mind an ice cold fosters or stella in the beer garden in it . I made a huge mistake last year on these boards by looking for milder weather, and I became obsessed when models where showing something warmer, without thinking about the other thousand or so members preference, sometimes it can be amazingly obvious and become a nuisance to other members, and it's surprising how such posts like I did last year can become so dictating and really change the general mood/theme of the thread. My new rule is the weather will do what it wants to do Hope I don't sound like I'm coming across like a bafoon.

Pleasantly mild? Just looked and when there's HP in charge, temperatures of around 12-14c is average for this time of the year, so I would not call it mild..... It's the first post you've made that has actually shown high pressure for once.

Shows what I know, currently been snowing for the last 2 hours! Note to myself *Don't make such bold statements lol.

Rain turning increasingly to snow here now, with thick wet snow flakes.

The NMM has the heaviest of the precipitation just North of the Wash Southwards, judging by the precipitation charts and track on the NMM, we'll be both lucky to get 1mm. lewis